It doesnt have anything to do with our favorable matchup with them or their weak defense or any of that.
Its the fact that MEM will get to bang up with OKC in a matchup that they think they can score an upset. I dont think they can quite pull it off but they will for sure match up well with them, defend them tough and will give them a very difficult out, probably more so than POR, GS and for sure D
BTW, Both DAL and MEM showed a lot of fear and respect against the Spurs by playing an OT game last game of the season, trying to avoid us in the first round, something very different than a couple of years back.