Monroe/Splitter is a good, balanced frontcourt. However, Monroe is overrated and thus will likely be overpaid. That and Duncan might not retire even if the Spurs win the le.
As for the #1 pick scenario, as crazy as it may sound, I don't think it's worth losing Kawhi and Danny even to get Embiid. The Spurs would have no SF at all. If you include Deng in a sign-and-trade...hmm. The Spurs would have to take back some salary somehow.
Still, the Cavs have a new GM and he would get crucified for only getting Kawhi, Danny, the #30 this year and a likely low first-round pick in 2016. I don't know if they can do much better, but the public will think so.

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