I like to play good teams coming off a loss. What do you look for?
don't forget his additional picks.
So far he got Denver, Miami correct. has missed on Cincinnati, Minnesota, Pittsburgh.
he's got Chargers, Cowboys, Giants riding
3-4 so far, with the giants game pending
hit Denver, Miami, Dallas... missed on Cinci, Minnesota, Pitt, and SD
technically 4-4 on the week with the colts pick but the eagles will give him another losing week
i reflected that in the betting tracker thread![]()
yeah i know. he already added that game to his score here.
Old Fat-Gut
ANOTHER losing week
That "spot"
"Betting expert"
"NFL historian"
"This is gonna be fun hahahahaha~~~"
Not sure where else to post this- I am staying away from the Chargers for the next two weeks.
They are at home vs. KC next week but are getting even more injured and Andy Reid is 13-2 coming off his bye(Btw, thanks NFL for 2 straight games against division foes coming off byes) Also, they have to play the next thursday vs denver and not sure if that affects them next sunday at all.
Which leads me to: A thursday road game at denver? No thank you.
Might as well play my Niners - 3.5 tomorrow night.
They have covered 10-1 vs the divison the last 11 on MNF vs the division
They have beat the Rams by at least 10 the last two times they played.
They are 8-1ATS last nine on MNF and have never lost on MNF in the Harbaugh era.
Already looking at week seven.
The Pats at home on a Thursday night vs a team that is minus 62 points.
Baltimore at home vs one of the worst road teams in the league Atlanta.
Arizona minus whatever vs a Raider team that had it's big game.
Buffalo at home again vs another bad road team Minnesota.
Smart move, then after their bye week jump back on them at home vs Raiders and Cards. Then it really gets tough with...
at Ravens
NE
Denver
at Niners
at KC
when are you going to learn? historic trends are irrelevant
Stud QB's, hmmm?
Rodgers won
Brady won
Manning won
RW lost
Luck won
Rivers won
3-3 as far as ATS goes.
Tampa Bay 0-6 ATS heading into a bye.
Indy had a load of historical trends on their side Thursday night. Where were you there?
Miami is a great HD.
Chicago 5-2ATS last seven vs Atl
NE 8-2ATS vs Buffalo last 10
and I could go on and on.
Minnesota has a rookie QB not ready yet, I thought he was.
Yep the Browns are a different team now.
Dallas 5-2 last 7 vs Seattle.
Denver 4-1ATS last five vs NYJ.
Last edited by Avante; 10-13-2014 at 01:27 AM.
the problem is just how arbitrary they are...
Dallas 5-2 in last 7 vs Seattle? how many of these are in the Wilson/Lynch/Sherman/Carroll era? anything before 2012 is basically completely irrelevant.
another problem is how pointless they are
Denver 4-1 in last 5 against the jets... is THAT why you took them? or maybe just because the jets are terrible and the broncos are elite.
Where were you Thursday night when it went exactly as the trends said it would?
Calm down little fella, don't act like one of the kids here over a couple games...ok? Tons of football to be played.
Here's a play for week seven.
The Falcons are the worst road team in the league "AT" Baltimore next wek, the Ravens one of the best home teams. You see any reason to play Atlanta?
Last edited by Avante; 10-13-2014 at 01:45 AM.
im not acting like it over a couple of games. its a couple of seasons
Dude, you honestly haven't noticed how close things are now compared to those jive around seasons? Come on man, sure ya do so why the bull ?
I'll win my 60-65% like I do every year. Stop being a fool.
they've actually been remarkably similar. you were under .500 both of those seasons and you're under .500 now. it's really consistent
I was totally buried by this time in both those around seasons. I was 500 coming into this week and this is only my second losing week. And we all know it does get easier in the second half.
I have no doubts how this will end up, none and you will look silly. If I were something like...6-16 or something like that, ok, but that's not the case at all.
I had a couple bad breaks in week one, since then I 'd gained back those 3 losses. Today I had a team with zero wins play way over their heads, yep...Raiders. I had a total disinterested Giants team show up and a Bengals team really missihng their stud receiver....... happens. Oh yeah, and a rookie QB prove he's a rookie.
Last edited by Avante; 10-13-2014 at 02:00 AM.
you about a bad break in week one, but i dont see you giving your denver win back today. the game was over with the jets covering and they threw a pick-6 with 15 seconds left in the game that bailed your pick out
you would have to pick 11 consecutive games correctly without a single mistake to drag your % up to 59.5 ~ 60
oh and the raiders are 3-2 against the spread this year![]()
You have been following this real closely so you know I rarely get a break, I've lost three games after leading by more 20. Yep, I finally....got a break.
I'm right there little fella, it's not as if I'm wy down in the hole so stop acting like I am...ok? Slow down...ok?
, I've lost three games by a combined 7 points.
you also won miami today by 0.5 points... we can go at this all day. you are under .500 as usual
Funny how when I won Thursday night using trends that all worked you had no comment, funny how that works.
I'll hit my 60%-65% just like I do every year, why you act like a dumb kid over this....????
Little man we aren't even at week 7 yet, and I;m down...2...games, come on little guy. if not for a bogus weather report where I was going to play 220.................
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