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  1. #976
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    49,723
    19-11 on the season already hit on Indy Thursday

    Denver
    Miami
    Pittsburgh
    Cincinnati
    San Diego
    I like to play good teams coming off a loss. What do you look for?

  2. #977
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
    My Team
    Oakland Raiders
    Post Count
    100,825
    14-14

    SD-7.......Phillip Rivers!
    Den -9.5.....Manning vs Geno!
    Giants +3.....dog is 16-3 last 19 in this series
    Cincy - 6.5....good team back at home coming off a road loss
    Pitt + 2....Big Ben is 18-1 in this "spot".

  3. #978
    Veteran Aztecfan03's Avatar
    My Team
    Arizona Cardinals
    Post Count
    4,292
    don't forget his additional picks.

  4. #979
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
    My Team
    Oakland Raiders
    Post Count
    100,825
    So far he got Denver, Miami correct. has missed on Cincinnati, Minnesota, Pittsburgh.

    he's got Chargers, Cowboys, Giants riding

  5. #980
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
    My Team
    Oakland Raiders
    Post Count
    100,825
    3-4 so far, with the giants game pending

    hit Denver, Miami, Dallas... missed on Cinci, Minnesota, Pitt, and SD

  6. #981
    Veteran Aztecfan03's Avatar
    My Team
    Arizona Cardinals
    Post Count
    4,292
    3-4 so far, with the giants game pending

    hit Denver, Miami, Dallas... missed on Cinci, Minnesota, Pitt, and SD
    technically 4-4 on the week with the colts pick but the eagles will give him another losing week

  7. #982
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
    My Team
    Oakland Raiders
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    100,825
    technically 4-4 on the week with the colts pick but the eagles will give him another losing week
    i reflected that in the betting tracker thread

  8. #983
    Veteran Aztecfan03's Avatar
    My Team
    Arizona Cardinals
    Post Count
    4,292
    i reflected that in the betting tracker thread
    yeah i know. he already added that game to his score here.

  9. #984
    Board Man Comes Home Clipper Nation's Avatar
    Post Count
    54,257
    Old Fat-Gut
    ANOTHER losing week
    That "spot"
    "Betting expert"
    "NFL historian"
    "This is gonna be fun hahahahaha~~~"

  10. #985
    Veteran Aztecfan03's Avatar
    My Team
    Arizona Cardinals
    Post Count
    4,292
    Not sure where else to post this- I am staying away from the Chargers for the next two weeks.

    They are at home vs. KC next week but are getting even more injured and Andy Reid is 13-2 coming off his bye(Btw, thanks NFL for 2 straight games against division foes coming off byes) Also, they have to play the next thursday vs denver and not sure if that affects them next sunday at all.

    Which leads me to: A thursday road game at denver? No thank you.

  11. #986
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    49,723
    Might as well play my Niners - 3.5 tomorrow night.

    They have covered 10-1 vs the divison the last 11 on MNF vs the division

    They have beat the Rams by at least 10 the last two times they played.

    They are 8-1ATS last nine on MNF and have never lost on MNF in the Harbaugh era.

    Already looking at week seven.

    The Pats at home on a Thursday night vs a team that is minus 62 points.

    Baltimore at home vs one of the worst road teams in the league Atlanta.
    Arizona minus whatever vs a Raider team that had it's big game.
    Buffalo at home again vs another bad road team Minnesota.

  12. #987
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    49,723
    Not sure where else to post this- I am staying away from the Chargers for the next two weeks.

    They are at home vs. KC next week but are getting even more injured and Andy Reid is 13-2 coming off his bye(Btw, thanks NFL for 2 straight games against division foes coming off byes) Also, they have to play the next thursday vs denver and not sure if that affects them next sunday at all.

    Which leads me to: A thursday road game at denver? No thank you.
    Smart move, then after their bye week jump back on them at home vs Raiders and Cards. Then it really gets tough with...

    at Ravens
    NE
    Denver
    at Niners
    at KC

  13. #988
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
    My Team
    Oakland Raiders
    Post Count
    100,825
    Giants +3.....dog is 16-3 last 19 in this series
    Pitt + 2....Big Ben is 18-1 in this "spot".
    Might as well play my Niners - 3.5 tomorrow night.

    They have covered 10-1 vs the divison the last 11 on MNF vs the division

    They are 8-1ATS last nine on MNF and have never lost on MNF in the Harbaugh era.
    when are you going to learn? historic trends are irrelevant

  14. #989
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    49,723
    Stud QB's, hmmm?

    Rodgers won
    Brady won
    Manning won
    RW lost
    Luck won
    Rivers won

    3-3 as far as ATS goes.

  15. #990
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    49,723
    when are you going to learn? historic trends are irrelevant
    Tampa Bay 0-6 ATS heading into a bye.

    Indy had a load of historical trends on their side Thursday night. Where were you there?

    Miami is a great HD.

    Chicago 5-2ATS last seven vs Atl

    NE 8-2ATS vs Buffalo last 10

    and I could go on and on.

    Minnesota has a rookie QB not ready yet, I thought he was.
    Yep the Browns are a different team now.

    Dallas 5-2 last 7 vs Seattle.

    Denver 4-1ATS last five vs NYJ.
    Last edited by Avante; 10-13-2014 at 01:27 AM.

  16. #991
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
    My Team
    Oakland Raiders
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    100,825
    the problem is just how arbitrary they are...

    Dallas 5-2 in last 7 vs Seattle? how many of these are in the Wilson/Lynch/Sherman/Carroll era? anything before 2012 is basically completely irrelevant.

    another problem is how pointless they are

    Denver 4-1 in last 5 against the jets... is THAT why you took them? or maybe just because the jets are terrible and the broncos are elite.

  17. #992
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
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    49,723
    the problem is just how arbitrary they are...

    Dallas 5-2 in last 7 vs Seattle? how many of these are in the Wilson/Lynch/Sherman/Carroll era? anything before 2012 is basically completely irrelevant.

    another problem is how pointless they are

    Denver 4-1 in last 5 against the jets... is THAT why you took them? or maybe just because the jets are terrible and the broncos are elite.
    Where were you Thursday night when it went exactly as the trends said it would?

    Calm down little fella, don't act like one of the kids here over a couple games...ok? Tons of football to be played.

    Here's a play for week seven.

    The Falcons are the worst road team in the league "AT" Baltimore next wek, the Ravens one of the best home teams. You see any reason to play Atlanta?
    Last edited by Avante; 10-13-2014 at 01:45 AM.

  18. #993
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    Oakland Raiders
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    100,825
    Where were you Thursday night when it went exactly as the trends said it would?

    Calm down little fella, don't act like one of the kids here over a couple games...ok? Tons of football to be played.
    im not acting like it over a couple of games. its a couple of seasons

  19. #994
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
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    49,723
    im not acting like it over a couple of games. its a couple of seasons
    Dude, you honestly haven't noticed how close things are now compared to those jive around seasons? Come on man, sure ya do so why the bull ?

    I'll win my 60-65% like I do every year. Stop being a fool.

  20. #995
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    Oakland Raiders
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    100,825
    Dude, you honestly haven't noticed how close things are now compared to those jive around seasons? Come on man, sure ya do so why the bull ?

    I'll win my 60-65% like I do every year.
    they've actually been remarkably similar. you were under .500 both of those seasons and you're under .500 now. it's really consistent

  21. #996
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
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    49,723
    they've actually been remarkably similar. you were under .500 both of those seasons and you're under .500 now. it's really consistent
    I was totally buried by this time in both those around seasons. I was 500 coming into this week and this is only my second losing week. And we all know it does get easier in the second half.

    I have no doubts how this will end up, none and you will look silly. If I were something like...6-16 or something like that, ok, but that's not the case at all.

    I had a couple bad breaks in week one, since then I 'd gained back those 3 losses. Today I had a team with zero wins play way over their heads, yep...Raiders. I had a total disinterested Giants team show up and a Bengals team really missihng their stud receiver....... happens. Oh yeah, and a rookie QB prove he's a rookie.
    Last edited by Avante; 10-13-2014 at 02:00 AM.

  22. #997
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
    My Team
    Oakland Raiders
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    100,825
    I was totally buried by this time in both those around seasons. I was 500 coming into this week and this is only my second losing week. And we all know it does get easier in the second half.

    I have no doubts how this will end up, none and you will look silly. If I were something like...6-16 or something like that, ok, but that's not the case at all.

    I had a couple bad breaks in week one, since then I 'd gained back those 3 losses. Today I had a team with zero wins play way over their head, yep...Raiders. I had a total disintersted Giants team show up and a Bengals team really missihng their stud receiver....... happens.
    you about a bad break in week one, but i dont see you giving your denver win back today. the game was over with the jets covering and they threw a pick-6 with 15 seconds left in the game that bailed your pick out

    you would have to pick 11 consecutive games correctly without a single mistake to drag your % up to 59.5 ~ 60

    oh and the raiders are 3-2 against the spread this year

  23. #998
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
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    49,723
    you about a bad break in week one, but i dont see you giving your denver win back today. the game was over with the jets covering and they threw a pick-6 with 15 seconds left in the game that bailed your pick out

    you would have to pick 11 consecutive games correctly without a single mistake to drag your % up to 59.5 ~ 60
    You have been following this real closely so you know I rarely get a break, I've lost three games after leading by more 20. Yep, I finally....got a break.

    I'm right there little fella, it's not as if I'm wy down in the hole so stop acting like I am...ok? Slow down...ok?

    , I've lost three games by a combined 7 points.

  24. #999
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    Oakland Raiders
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    100,825
    You have been following this real closely so you know I rarely get a break, I've lost three games after leading by more 20. Yep, I finally....got a break.

    I'm right there little fella, it's not as if I'm wy down in the hole so stop acting like I am...ok? Slow down...ok?

    , I've lost three games by a combined 7 points.
    you also won miami today by 0.5 points... we can go at this all day. you are under .500 as usual

  25. #1000
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
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    49,723
    you also won miami today by 0.5 points... we can go at this all day. you are under .500 as usual
    Funny how when I won Thursday night using trends that all worked you had no comment, funny how that works.

    I'll hit my 60%-65% just like I do every year, why you act like a dumb kid over this....????

    Little man we aren't even at week 7 yet, and I;m down...2...games, come on little guy. if not for a bogus weather report where I was going to play 220.................

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