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  1. #1826
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    49,723
    Ok, talking playoffs.

    The Packers are the weakest defensive team among the big 4. That's NE/Den/Seattle/Packers. So it all comes down to that home field advantage.

    No team in the history of the leqgue is any better than that Belichick/Brady combo. Now add that defense. If they are home, they will represent the AFC. Peyton on the road in the cold....nope!

    Nobody can beat Seattle at home not even the Pats. in a meaningful game. Its real important they play there. As of right now that is a ..? Arizona is done due to injuries.

    The Pats vs the Seahawks.....is what we will see.

    If both teams show up healthy, I'd have to give the Seahawks the nod. The RW factor being the difference.
    Last edited by Avante; 12-17-2014 at 01:45 AM.

  2. #1827
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    49,723
    I always get a kick out of stuff like.......what teams do the refs favor, hahahaha!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


    Look at who the elite teams are


    Pats...Tom Brady
    Seahawks....Russell Wilson/monster D
    Broncos...Peyton Manning
    Packers...Aaron Rodgers
    Colts...Andrew Luck
    Cards...great D
    Cowboys,...Tony Romo

    Who wins the weak NFC South.....Drew Brees

    look at the bad teams


    ans...no QB
    Jags...no QB
    Jets...no QB
    Redskins...no QB
    TB...no QB



    Hmmmmmmm?

  3. #1828
    Board Man Comes Home Clipper Nation's Avatar
    Post Count
    54,257
    I always get a kick out of stuff like.......what teams do the refs favor, hahahaha!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


    Look at who the elite teams are


    Pats...Tom Brady
    Seahawks....Russell Wilson/monster D
    Broncos...Peyton Manning
    Packers...Aaron Rodgers
    Colts...Andrew Luck
    Cards...great D
    Cowboys,...Tony Romo

    Who wins the weak NFC South.....Drew Brees

    look at the bad teams


    ans...no QB
    Jags...no QB
    Jets...no QB
    Redskins...no QB
    TB...no QB



    Hmmmmmmm?
    But I thought the running back was more important and that it's still a "two yards and a cloud of dust" league?

  4. #1829
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    49,723
    But I thought the running back was more important and that it's still a "two yards and a cloud of dust" league?
    You have never understood what is being talked about there.

    Who are the defending SB champs, yep....a team that plays that monster D/runs the ball..right? What team went undefeated....yep, that Dolphins team with Csonka/Morris/Kick and that D. Look at the 85 Bears, those Steeler teams. Those Packer teams of the 60's had 4 HOFers to be on the D and two HOFers to be at running back.

    Look what happened to Peyton Manning and that prolific passing attack vs that stud D of the Seahawks in the SB.

    This is how it works....

    When you can run the ball, the D gets a longer blow, the offense is in third and short instead of third and long. Now that opposing D is guessing. When you run the ball you wear down a D, which pays big dividends come that third quarter.

    Look at the Cowboys this season, what are they doing differently now, could it be......running the ball?

    Look at this....Russell Wilson is just a game manager, Andrew Luck is far better......ok so how come the Seahawks are a far better team, oh yeah......run the ball/defense.

    Great QB's don't lose the game for you, they protect a lead. They move the chains.
    Last edited by Avante; 12-18-2014 at 12:24 PM.

  5. #1830
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    49,723
    I'll try again....

    Slow down people, ok? Start looking at the big picture not week to week or even a few seasons. Give things some time..ok? Acting like a re ed banty rooster over a game/season....rookie!

    I'm a Niner fan, we have seen it all. We've been the very best, and we have sucked. So ya simply go with the flow and look at the big picture. How many teams have been more successful than my Niners? How about....the Steelers, Cowboys, those way back in the day Browns teams and that's it. I go with ...the big picture...not just 2014.

    In 1985 the Bears were as good as any yeam had ever been for one season. They were sorta like the Seahawks today, stud back, great D and a solid QB. They also didn't have a great receiving gang.

    Anyway....

    The Seahawks were 3-3 and it's not looking good......remember? And it was....Russell Wilson can't.....that defense can't.....that was 7-1 ago. Now it's looking like they are once again the team to beat the NFC, the Cards have no QB, the Packers are weak on the D. The Cowboys aren't beating them twice in Seattle.

    The Pats are 2-2 and just got their ass kicked by the Chiefs, well that's it for Tom Brady....right? Hahahahaha!!!!!!!!!!!

    Slow down people, give things some time, ok?

  6. #1831
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    49,723
    I have no interest in the Jags vs ans game tonight. None! So I'm going to say the home team wins it. See if this.....two bad teams, go with the home team....works. No $$$$ play, no nothing, not even sure I'll watch it.

  7. #1832
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    49,723
    Cutler to the Texans, hmmmmm? That just might work.

    It's looking like....

    Broncos vs Pats
    Packers vs Seahawks

    ...isn't it? Who could that up?

    I'm not drafting Mariota or Winston in the first round.

    Armani Cooper is the guy who could make a huge impact immediately.

    Did Clowney make his $$$$ and really doesn't care all that much about earning it?

  8. #1833
    Believe. Malik Hairston's Avatar
    My Team
    Denver Broncos
    Post Count
    11,370
    Avante

    Another chance at playing this trend this week, the Redskins are a +8.5 home dog..

    I'm not going to play them straight up, but I'll probably tease them with the Pats or Seahawks..
    Trend wins again..

    Home dogs at 8 or higher are now 29-9 in the past 38 games..

    It's going to be tested tomorrow, though..Bears, Cards, Jets and Bucs are all home dogs at 8 points or higher..should be interesting..

  9. #1834
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    49,723
    Trend wins again..

    Home dogs at 8 or higher are now 29-9 in the past 38 games..

    It's going to be tested tomorrow, though..Bears, Cards, Jets and Bucs are all home dogs at 8 points or higher..should be interesting..
    The Lions have owned the Bears with Cutler, going 7-1ATS in this "spot".

    I do see that trend coming into play with the Jets vs Pats. But have sworn off Geno Smith, so will pass.

    While I think the Pack will cover that big number, I don't need to buck that trend (too much). Yep, it is too strong.

    Ok week 16, 56-46 plus $1860

    Carolina - 3.5/under 41.....can't see Manziel putting up 20 in his first road game. Plus....9-1 under in last 10 Browns games.
    Baltimore - 5.5....must win situation
    Minnesota +6.5 ...the Dolphins are fading the Vikes coming on.
    Pitt-3...must win situation
    Detroit-8...that D vs a QB who hasn't played in how long?
    Last edited by Avante; 12-21-2014 at 10:28 AM.

  10. #1835
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    49,723
    4-2

    60-48

    plus $2040

  11. #1836
    Believe. Malik Hairston's Avatar
    My Team
    Denver Broncos
    Post Count
    11,370
    Trend went 2-1 in the early games, so 3-1 this week with Arizona to go..now 31-10..

    All-in on the Cowboys today, betting huge..Colts already clinched a playoff spot, Cowboys can clinch the division with a W..

  12. #1837
    Believe. Malik Hairston's Avatar
    My Team
    Denver Broncos
    Post Count
    11,370
    4-2

    60-48

    plus $2040
    Good calls..

    I lost on Baltimore, too, I even teased them to get a pick 'em, and they still lost..they're the team I hate betting on the most, tbh, they always disappoint me..

  13. #1838
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
    My Team
    Oakland Raiders
    Post Count
    100,825
    The Lions have owned the Bears with Cutler, going 7-1ATS in this "spot".

    I do see that trend coming into play with the Jets vs Pats. But have sworn off Geno Smith, so will pass.

    While I think the Pack will cover that big number, I don't need to buck that trend (too much). Yep, it is too strong.

    Ok week 16, 56-46 plus $1860

    Carolina - 3.5/under 41.....can't see Manziel putting up 20 in his first road game. Plus....9-1 under in last 10 Browns games.
    Baltimore - 5.5....must win situation
    Minnesota +6.5 ...the Dolphins are fading the Vikes coming on.
    Pitt-3...must win situation
    Detroit-8...that D vs a QB who hasn't played in how long?
    4-2

    60-48

    plus $2040
    how on earth did you go 4-2 in a week where you posted 5 games? you went 3-2, bub

  14. #1839
    Board Man Comes Home Clipper Nation's Avatar
    Post Count
    54,257
    Old got trying to inflate his record on the sly
    "Betting expert"

  15. #1840
    Believe. Malik Hairston's Avatar
    My Team
    Denver Broncos
    Post Count
    11,370
    He bet the under, tbh..you guys are shorting him..

  16. #1841
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
    My Team
    Oakland Raiders
    Post Count
    100,825
    He bet the under, tbh..you guys are shorting him..
    good call, duly noted. its the first time he's ever made an O/U play on spurstalk, so i wasn't really looking out for it

  17. #1842
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    49,723
    Trend went 2-1 in the early games, so 3-1 this week with Arizona to go..now 31-10..

    All-in on the Cowboys today, betting huge..Colts already clinched a playoff spot, Cowboys can clinch the division with a W..
    I will be adding that trend to my bag of tricks next season, it's legit. Thank's for bringing it to my attention.
    Last edited by Avante; 12-22-2014 at 10:35 AM.

  18. #1843
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    49,723
    Old got trying to inflate his record on the sly
    "Betting expert"
    Dumb ass actually thinking anyone would give out 5 plays and then...4-2....hahahaha!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Stupid, how come you never ever ever get anything right?

    Have gone 59 -44 since week one, yep....expert!

  19. #1844
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    49,723
    good call, duly noted. its the first time he's ever made an O/U play on spurstalk, so i wasn't really looking out for it
    Why not actually read my picks....ok? That is the only way you missed that.

    Not as much fun counting all these winners is it, hahaha!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Not 60-48, actually 59-47, my bad.

  20. #1845
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    49,723
    Anyone still not getting Russell Wilson, the guy is amazing.

    Andrew Luck is also great but he has this...."when will he throw that INT"....let's admit it.

    Wilson has won more games in his first three seasons than any QB in history. He is the greatest/dual purpose QB we have ever seen.

    Power rankings (playoff teams)

    1.Pats
    2.Seahawks
    3.Broncos
    4.Packers
    5.Cowboys
    6.Cards
    7.Steelers
    8.Colts
    9.Ravens
    10.Lions
    11.Bengals
    12.Falcons
    Last edited by Avante; 12-22-2014 at 11:19 AM.

  21. #1846
    Board Man Comes Home Clipper Nation's Avatar
    Post Count
    54,257
    Anyone still not getting Russell Wilson, the guy is amazing.

    Andrew Luck is also great but he has this...."when will he throw that INT"....let's admit it.

    Wilson has won more games in his first three seasons than any QB in history. He is the greatest/dual purpose QB we have ever seen.
    Struggle Wilson is just a game manager on a stacked team. That's it and that's all.

  22. #1847
    Veteran N0 LyF3 ScRuB's Avatar
    My Team
    Carolina Panthers
    Post Count
    10,789
    how on earth did you go 4-2 in a week where you posted 5 games? you went 3-2, bub
    Lol that awkward moment when you don't read his posts

  23. #1848
    Veteran N0 LyF3 ScRuB's Avatar
    My Team
    Carolina Panthers
    Post Count
    10,789

    Wilson has won more games in his first three seasons than any QB in history. He is the greatest/dual purpose QB we have ever seen.
    No he's not. Cam Newton is a better QB and dual threat. Wilson just has to play conservative

  24. #1849
    Banned
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    49,723
    Struggle Wilson is just a game manager on a stacked team. That's it and that's all.
    Derek Anderson is better right, hahahaha!!!!!!!!!!!! Damn you're dumb!

  25. #1850
    Banned
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    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    49,723
    No he's not. Cam Newton is a better QB and dual threat. Wilson just has to play conservative
    What do the stats tell us?

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