We're gonna need a healthy Tony to make any sort of run. Sure, his impact is overrated (Tony's plus/minus is down there with Kirby's), but his presence makes Cojo and Mills that much better, since we can swarm opposing teams with either a defensive pg (CoJo), a shooting pg (Mills), or a scoring pg (Parker). Teams also still gameplan for Parker, which is a big plus that takes defensive attention away from Mills/Cojo.
Kawhi also needs to tape it up and get out there. Sorry, I don't buy Pop's line of bull that he's two weeks away and can't extend his fingers.