pathetic to see my country men talking up paraguay- the same team that finished last in 2014 qualys with a negative 14 goal difference and won all of 3 games, and for what: tying argentina and uruguay and beating jamaica thanks to a blooper; a colombia team that has maybe 4-5 decent players and whose only merit this cup was to beat brasil 1-0, and one of if not the worst brasil team of all time. not to mention a chile team that is the shortest and oldest in the cup, has no defense and no forwards (FYI, chile has beat argentina in an official match ONCE in all its history, when messi and co. were laying down to get coco basile fired). of course chile looks good against bolivia and ecuador (which was missing their best players to injury anyway). they'll be lucky to beat uruguay.
check the betting sites, argentina is comfortably the favorite. IMO not because they are so great or because they have messi (who is still the best on earth right now), but because everyone else is playing like crap and doesnt have near the talent argentina does. and like i've been saying for the past 6-7 years now, this generation of players, in america AND europe, is weak. it is absolutely a failure to lose this cup, but if that happens it will be primarily martino's fault (and to a lesser extent, the overrated aguero/higuain/di maria for squandering chances). But if they score even 20% of their chances, that should be enough to win, despite martino.
as for messi, unless he scores some big goals like he did for barca vs munich and atletico, a win is meaningless for his legacy, because they are supposed to win. a loss, unfairly, will be a stain for messi no matter what. such is life