If this team could find a consistent 3 Pt shooter......

[GSH]

There you go and you know I never threw it out statistically bc you made the math calculation for me.

When you say things like that, his straw man gets very unhappy.

[littlecoyotecoin]

Straw man? No. A large part of the discussion has been about wanting to discount that game. I didn't bring it up, so it's not even mine, much less a straw man.

[steeledl]

I hope Simmons is shooting 500 3's every day.

[SAGirl]

I hope Simmons is shooting 500 3's every day.

He certainly isn't lacking confidence and he's more than just a 3 pt shooter. He's versatile, which means he doesn't need to shoot in volume to have an impact. Just enough so they respect his shot. At this rate, Simmons will need to bail Danny out.

[littlecoyotecoin]

He certainly isn't lacking confidence and he's more than just a 3 pt shooter. He's versatile, which means he doesn't need to shoot in volume to have an impact. Just enough so they respect his shot. At this rate, Simmons will need to bail Danny out.

Those last two threes he made sure were nice, tbh. He looks better and better.

[Obstructed_View]

No one said one game cons utes regression toward the mean. But, you can't throw it out, either, which is what you seem to be wanting to do, or at least as SAgirl is wanting to do. That is as much part of the data set as is his bad numbers. There is no reason to throw it out except that it doesn't fit the narrative that he is now a 33% shooter. But, throw out the data if you want, even if it constructs a month that is pretty much right in line with his large sample career number.

And, no one's been trying to put lipstick on a pig that has been his shooting for the first half of the season. It's pretty well do ented that it's been bad in comparison to his career number. The exception being that January is shaping up better and may be a start toward a reversion toward the mean. The fact that it's skewed a little by one game doesn't really matter if you look back at it next year and he shot 41% for the rest of this year. It's made a big deal of here and now, though, but it shouldn't matter much.

But, sure, 33% is pretty bad for him. No argument.

The obsession with throwing out that game because it was "one game" though, that just doesnt work. A month is made up of maybe 10 games. You don't just get to throw out 10% of the data because it doesn't fit the narrative, and again, January is right in line with his career number. If you sprinkle those makes over three or four games it makes him more consistent, but doesn't change the monthy shooting percentage, so who GAF?

And these last two months, using a null hypothesis that he is a 41% career shooter, I have to say that Nov and Dec being .33 or whatever, doubtfully cause you to reject the null. But, whatevs.

Danny is not a career .41 shooter from 3. Due to his performance in Nov and Dec, he is now a .33 3 point shooter.

I concede.

I'm not in favor of throwing out the game for the very reason you mention. The fact that Danny HAD a good game is reason for optimism. Here's hoping he puts more of them together going forward.

[littlecoyotecoin]

I'm not in favor of throwing out the game for the very reason you mention. The fact that Danny HAD a good game is reason for optimism. Here's hoping he puts more of them together going forward.

Maybe a weakened opponent will further him on his way tonight!

[SAGirl]

Maybe a weakened opponent will further him on his way tonight!

Hoping for the best for Danny. I don't mind if he doesn't make any tonight, won't say a peep. I want him Monday.