Reply With Quote
Like I said in the Trump thread, what he mostly has going for him is a large field of candidates.
Sabermetrics pioneer: There aren’t enough 'morons' to elect Trump
The father of Sabermetrics is clearly not a fan of Donald Trump, and he is using his own statistical analysis to explain why the Republican front-runner will not be the 45th president of the United States.
In a post published this week to his website led "Trump, as in Rump," author Bill James, who is known as one of the pioneers of the analysis of baseball and in-game statistics, broke down his reasoning in a variety of ways.
"I don’t think that Trump can win, frankly, because I don’t think there are enough morons to elect him. A certain percentage of the American public is just morons; that’s the way it is," James wrote in one section. "When you divide the public in two then divide the voters in one of those halves among five candidates or more, a candidate can win by dominating the moron vote because it only takes about one-seventh of the total population to take the 'lead' under those cir stances."
http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-g...19731?lo=ap_d1
Like I said in the Trump thread, what he mostly has going for him is a large field of candidates.
He would beat Cruz head-to-head. Not really sure Rubio would get enough votes just with Kasich's voters. Most of Cruz's supporters would go to Trump. Those types of voters can't stand Rubio since he's dishonest about immigration and he's a special interest's candidate. Trump is just too formidable at this time. He's not just barely winning. He's crushing the field.
I'm hopeful that the theory stated in the OP is correct.
But if the choice is only Cruz or Trump? Bleh
go trump go
But in a general election situation, James posited, "when you’re talking about needing 51 percent of the whole population
Maybe the author needs a lesson in the electoral college.
Donald Trump Supporters Are Even Scarier Than You Think. These Numbers Prove It.
20 percent of Trump's base disagree with the freeing of slaves after the Civil War,
a staggering 70 percent would still like to see the Confederate flag flying above official grounds in their states.
One-third of Trump's primary supporters in South Carolina favored "barring gays and lesbians from entering the country."
Another third of his supporters think Japanese internment was an appropriate measure.
How South Carolina Became Trump Country
66 percent of voters in the recent New Hampshire Republican primary supported banning Muslims from the United States—and they handed Donald Trump a resounding 20-point victory.
terrorism is the No. 1 concern of a majority of Republican voters, and Trump supporters have some ideas about what to do about it.
Two-thirds of Trump backers support a federal registry of Muslims; only 44 percent believe Islam should even be legal.
his Muslim wall is gonna be every bit as politically beneficial to him as his Mexican wall—and it has."
http://www.motherjones.com/politics/...-trump-country
America is no better than any other country, being full of paranoid, ignorant, xenophobic, racist assholes. aka, The Repug Base!
This is true, however, it could get really dicey if there's a challenge like in year 2000 with the current SCOTUS makeup...
LOL...
I think Trump has a pretty good chance of winning if he is the republican nominee.
Which of the democrats ho might win the nomination have less baggage?
In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if he took a landslide in electoral votes like Reagan did.
I think the article in the OP is correct, and polls prove it....let's see how fraudulent GOP voter suppresses the Clinton/Sanders vote...
Who???
yes. if the democrats dont win, its just a big conspiracy
It would have to be since they are one ones manipulating the election process.
What's next? They gonna bring the plyometrics guy to say why trump has no chance?
Yep. But it's something these Trumpanzees don't get.
And you think Ted Cruz has a chance of sniffing victory in a general election?
Agreed. Opposition to him is split.
The big question will be if the general disgust with Hillary will trump the distrust of Trump with moderates.
It's like the first one to smell a fart.
They always claim elections fraud, that means they are the ones doing it.
Trump is the only one with a shred of integrity between the two.
somebody took this clowns cookie.
There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)
Posting Permissions
