Super Tuesday thread

[baseline bum]

She won virginia yeah. I chalk some of that up to political insiders and a big campaign advantage in the state. But you forgot Minnesota and NH. Obviously swing states shift through the years but you have to believe part of the reason she does well in red states is her neocon past (and present). She won't win those states in a general election.

Minnesota hasn't given an electoral vote to a Republican since Nixon. It's hard to call it a swing state.

[Shastafarian]

Minnesota hasn't given an electoral vote to a Republican since Nixon. It's hard to call it a swing state.

It hasn't gone for a Republican since then but the margin of victory has been relatively close. I wouldn't be shocked if the margin was under 5% with her as the nominee.

[Shastafarian]

http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/s...=27&f=0&off=99

Check out 1984, 1992 (Ross Perot effect), 2000, 2004

[rmt]

Hillary will win Minnesota - lots of Muslims there who will turn out to vote against Trump. It is the only state that Trump has come in 3rd and that Rubio has won.

[Reck]

Trump looking like a loser in Alaska.

[Pelicans78]

Cruz is up in Alaska.

I think the last debate hurt Trump more than expected. He was supposed to win every state besides Texas, but ended up losing 4 states and barely won Vermont, Virginia, and Arkansas.

[Pelicans78]

Trump is catching up to Cruz. Down by just 1%.

[Mitch]

I hear the turnouts in Alaska are amazing which could mean like 100 extra people showed

[angrydude]

Hillary will win Minnesota - lots of Muslims there who will turn out to vote against Trump. It is the only state that Trump has come in 3rd and that Rubio has won.

Minnesota is extremely liberal. Wisconsin is the swing state up there.

Minnesota has an inferiority complex. It wishes it was a cool state like NY or MA so bad but it just isn't so rather than be itself it tries to copy what it thinks they would do.

[Reck]

Trump 3 times a loser tonight.

Little Marco better start working with Ted.

[hater]

media in meltdown mode

The Winter of Trump amazing night. One for the ages

Join the Trump train or get deported to Mejico

[RD2191]

media in meltdown mode

The Winter of Trump amazing night. One for the ages

Join the Trump train or get deported to Mejico

You really are an insufferable got.

[Fabbs]

Originally Posted by Mul roll

Bern got the Hispanic vote in Nevada.
Not sure if he is getting it tonight.
Nevada was won by Shillary getting the hotel and casino workers vote. WFT?

Blacks vote heavily for Shillary? WTF?

That's because they have no idea who this old white man Bernie Sanders even is.

So Blacks *know* Shillary. Why so heavily support her?

[Reck]

So Blacks *know* Shillary. Why so heavily support her?

I dont know, maybe because she's been working with them for like 30 years now? She's done a lot for the black community.

Apart from her little blip of a up when she said bring them to heel (Referring to crimes comitted by young black men) she's being solid with them.

[RandomGuy]

Shaping up to be a Cruz vs Trump campaign if the midget can't win a state, Cruz might walk away with Texas and Oklahoma

Cruz got both.

[RandomGuy]

There’s been a lot of debate among pundits about this — in particular, about whether Trump has a “ceiling.” Some of it has been pretty aggravating to follow because it tends to conflate Trump’s ceiling (the share of voters who would be potentially be willing to vote for Trump) with his floor (the share who will stick with him no matter what). It also tends to neglect that Trump is more popular in some parts of the country than others. So far, he’s received as little as 21 percent of the vote (in Minnesota) and as much as 49 percent (in Massachusetts).

The simplest test of Trump’s mandate (or lack thereof) would be if every other candidate dropped out and Trump were matched up with Rubio or Cruz one-on-one. However, Tuesday’s results made that less likely. The dilemma is that while Cruz has done better so far, winning more states (including three on Tuesday), votes and delegates than Rubio, there’s reason to think Rubio will do better going forward. In contrast to Cruz, who has benefited from a calendar full of states with lots of evangelical voters, Rubio’s best states are probably ahead of him and he has higher favorability ratings than Cruz.

As a result, we’ve increasingly seen the campaigns, especially Rubio’s and Kasich’s, talk about winning at a contested convention in Cleveland. I’m of a few minds about this. First, the fact that the other campaigns are resorting to drawing up plans for a contested convention has to count as a pretty good sign for Trump. Second, the talk may be premature. As the calendar turns toward states with more aggressive (sometimes winner-take-all) delegate rules — particularly Florida and Ohio on March 15 — it will become easier to rack up a delegate majority even with plurality support. That probably works to Trump’s benefit, although it also means that Cruz or Rubio could rack up quite a few delegates if they “get hot” later on during the campaign.

Can Republicans Still Take The Nomination Away From Trump?
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...ay-from-trump/

Democrats I spoke with last night all seem to be anticipating running against Trump.

It remains to be seen if Trump will really get the nod. I still put the odds a bit against him. Too much headwind from the establishment alternatives.

[Splits]

media in meltdown mode

The Winter of Trump amazing night. One for the ages

Join the Trump train or get deported to Mejico

Accept the bet or shut your mouth.

[Blizzardwizard]

Bernie did better than I thought he would last night, he was never gonna win the Southern states, but if he can win some more swing states he might have a chance.

[DMX7]

If Bernie had won Mass. it would have been a of a night for him.

[Mitch]

Cruz got both.

You don't say?

[InRareForm]

Hillary Clinton 1 to 19 odds on democratic party winner.

Bernie Sanders 14 to 1 odds on democratic party winner.

via oddschecker.

[Dirk Oneanddoneski]

Given recent polling I voted in the GOP for Kasich. The primary is the election in my district for the most part.

You could've voted for someone pro marijuana that wants to audit the fed but instead you voted for Rupert Murdoch and Fox news?




Don't tell me you didn't know Kasich used to come off the bench for Bill O'Reilly on the O'Reilly Factor

[Dirk Oneanddoneski]

[Pelicans78]

I don't see Trump winning enough delegates to clinch before the convention.

[MultiTroll]

Originally Posted by Fabbs
So Blacks *know* Shillary. Why so heavily support her?

I dont know, maybe because she's been working with them for like 30 years now? She's done a lot for the black community.

Apart from her little blip of a up when she said bring them to heel (Referring to crimes comitted by young black men) she's being solid with them.

Examples?