Truth? I'm a little s -shocked at what I saw out of Tim in the latter part of the regular season, and the playoffs. If he could somehow come back like he was in the '15 playoffs, it might change the calculus. But it would be a miracle, considering. Much as I hate thinking it, I think the wheels have finally come off. Behind him, the Spurs had two PF's and Boban. That's a major hole, and I think the Thunder's success is going to start a new Big Man Arms Race in the offseason. That's going to make that hole even harder to fill.
Parker is still a good point guard, but not a great point guard anymore. I think he has now played the 5th most NBA minutes of any PG in history, plus all the summer ball. My gut tells me that his trajectory isn't upwards. One of my pet stats is FTA/100 possessions (or FTA/FGA). At his prime, Parker got the benefit of 7.5-8 FTA/100. This season, that was down to 4.4 and in the playoffs he only took 2.8. That's significant - some people will understand why, and the others I'll never convince. But it's not the fault of the refs. It's about what kind of threat he represents on the court, and it means he's going to struggle to get his teammates easier shots. That's sort of a big deal for a PG.
Oh, and I saw that picture of Diaw looking like Fat Bas , 4 months after their last Championship. He's an X-Factor kind of guy, but he wasn't so much this season. People kept saying that he was saving it for the playoffs like Robert Horry. That didn't happen. He played more like Fat Bas .
That's this season - I'm thinking about next season. When players get as old as some of ours, they drop off. It's sort of like gravity. They've defied it, to a great extent, for a long time. But I think we saw evidence of it catching up this season. So the question is, "What will those guys look like at the end of the next 82-game season?" Will they be better? I don't think anyone thinks that. Will they be as good? That's not what my gut says, if I'm being honest. I agree the gap between the Spurs and the Thunder in the playoffs was relatively small. I'm saying it will be bigger next year. If the goal is to "contend", that's fine. If the goal is to win Championships, it's a problem. Opinions are worth what you pay for them, but that's my two cents.
Yep. I'm not one who daydreams about having our own private All-Star team. But it helps to have role players who are at the top of their game, or near it. Former starters who are on their last legs aren't always the same thing. I know you know this - but if you're going to bring in several new role players, it's going to take some time for everyone to get comfortable playing with each other. That also doesn't make me believe we'll be seeing #6 next season.
Put that all together, and it's a pretty good case for taking one season for a real re-build.