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  1. #26
    sha na na na na kneeeees Axl Rose's Avatar
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    Stop with the defeatism

  2. #27
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    And if nc is so close, why does Nate disagree and why are reports saying that Hillary has pulled out of the state? Nov 8 just may come as a shock to you dude you're letting your emotions get in the way of reasoning.
    Where do you hear that she's pulled out of NC? I heard she's pulled out of OH - that she hasn't been there since Labor Day - but not NC and I don't think VA is in play.

  3. #28
    sha na na na na kneeeees Axl Rose's Avatar
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    Per Clinton news network trump has moved within 1 in pa

    http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/26/politi...lls/index.html

  4. #29
    sha na na na na kneeeees Axl Rose's Avatar
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    Where do you hear that she's pulled out of NC? I heard she's pulled out of OH - that she hasn't been there since Labor Day - but not NC and I don't think VA is in play.
    Va has become razor thin in recent days. Apparent Clinton thought she had it locked up and never developed a proper ground game there

  5. #30
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    You should take notes on how to admit your mistakes gracefully. He talks about how he got away from his projecting system and admits his mistake.

    Reread my point about projections and try again.

  6. #31
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    Va has become razor thin in recent days. Apparent Clinton thought she had it locked up and never developed a proper ground game there
    LOL - like Trump has ground game anywhere.

  7. #32
    sha na na na na kneeeees Axl Rose's Avatar
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    It's first and goal dude, our pecker is on the 1 yard line about to put it in your pussy. Get ed

  8. #33
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
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    You should take notes on how to admit your mistakes gracefully. He talks about how he got away from his projecting system and admits his mistake.

    Reread my point about projections and try again.
    You are a real piece of work.

    You claim Nate is just a neutral aggregator of others polls.

    I proved you completely wrong in Nate Silvers own words.

    You try to twist that into me being the one that made the mistake?



    what a dumbass.

  9. #34
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    You saying it's out of the question doesn't make it so. The polls disagree. Not the ones from 3 weeks ago those don't matter I'm talking about today. I could care less about your random opinion. Let's talk about data and logical reasoning
    Which polls disagree?

    Go on, tell me how one poll changes this race?

    What are the averages when you add all the polls together?

  10. #35
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    You are a real piece of work.

    You claim Nate is just a neutral aggregator of others polls.

    I proved you completely wrong in Nate Silvers own words.

    You try to twist that into me being the one that made the mistake?



    what a dumbass.
    I never said he was 'just' anything. I said he doesn't poll -he doesn't- and instead aggregates and adjusts for bias in his projections.

    You post something where he admits a mistake getting away from projections and ignore that I specifically say I ignore the quips and only pay attention to the projections. Your a dumb with poor reading and critical thinking skills.

    The only dumbass is you who came whining to me in PMs about how you wanted to make things more civil. I guess it is open season on your prediliction towards pedophilia then, fattie.

  11. #36
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    Va has become razor thin in recent days. Apparent Clinton thought she had it locked up and never developed a proper ground game there
    Yes, this is a razor thin contest..




    6 point on average. razor thin

  12. #37
    sha na na na na kneeeees Axl Rose's Avatar
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    Which polls disagree?

    Go on, tell me how one poll changes this race?

    What are the averages when you add all the polls together?
    Averages that include old data are irrelevant, at this stage in the game until November I am only looking at the latest polls because things can change fast. I posted the cnn link where trump has pulled to within a couple points in pa. Va may still be out of reach but she needs it more than we do

  13. #38
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    Averages that include old data are irrelevant, at this stage in the game until November I am only looking at the latest polls because things can change fast. I posted the cnn link where trump has pulled to within a couple points in pa. Va may still be out of reach but she needs it more than we do
    Not when they are different polls from the same time period they aren't. You're cherry picking in desperation.

  14. #39
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    Averages that include old data are irrelevant, at this stage in the game until November I am only looking at the latest polls because things can change fast. I posted the cnn link where trump has pulled to within a couple points in pa. Va may still be out of reach but she needs it more than we do
    ?

    It doesn't matter that he gets close in PA if he cant actually pull ahead and change the averages which favor Hillary in a massive way.

  15. #40
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
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    Silver is more than a neutral aggregator. He makes personal predictions as well and definitely blew the Republican Primary.


    I get that nuance is tough for you but I pay attention to his statistical projections and not unsubstantiated assertions from you about quips he has made at various times.
    In his own words it was not an unsubstantiated assertion about his "quips"

    just admit you were wrong and move on.

  16. #41
    Millennial Messiah UNT Eagles 2016's Avatar
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    Trump winning in latest CO polls -- I don't think VA is in play and PA will most likely be a narrow win for HRC, but if Trump wins the Romney states + CO, NV, FL, IA, OH = he wins


    Gary Johnson Trump's big hero in CO and I know a lot of potheads that think Trump would be a cool smoke buddy and HRC is a "lying ". No joke.

  17. #42
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    Trash loses, dramatically, these demograhic groups

    women (by even more than the usual Repug loses them)

    blacks

    Latinos

    youth

    LGBT

    adult whites with college education (would be first time for a Repug candidate)

    So, demographically, how does Trash win?

  18. #43
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    In his own words it was not an unsubstantiated assertion about his "quips"

    just admit you were wrong and move on.
    Desperate to win a point that is irrelevant to the bigger picture? At that point you had not substantiated it. Acting like you accomplished something by doing what you should have done in the first place is pathetic, fattie.

    What difference does it make? I still don't care about the quips and only about the projections.

  19. #44
    Millennial Messiah UNT Eagles 2016's Avatar
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    Trash loses, dramatically, these demograhic groups

    women (by even more than the usual Repug loses them)

    blacks

    Latinos

    youth

    LGBT

    adult whites with college education (would be first time for a Repug candidate)

    So, demographically, how does Trash win?
    Trump does far, far better with the youth vote than any other GOP candidate in a long time. And most millennials hate HRC and those that liked Bernie are much more likely to not vote or vote for Johnson or Stein than HRC. (And some votes for Trump out of the Bernie pool!)

  20. #45
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    Trump winning in latest CO polls -- I don't think VA is in play and PA will most likely be a narrow win for HRC, but if Trump wins the Romney states + CO, NV, FL, IA, OH = he wins


    Gary Johnson Trump's big hero in CO and I know a lot of potheads that think Trump would be a cool smoke buddy and HRC is a "lying ". No joke.
    He was up by 1 in the CNN poll and down by 1 in the CBS poll over the last two days in Colorado. That is a statistical dead heat. You are ignoring the obvious angst of the Trump campaign over the debate where he is already calling out the moderator and whinging in the leadup.

  21. #46
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
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    Desperate to win a point that is irrelevant to the bigger picture? At that point you had not substantiated it. Acting like you accomplished something by doing what you should have done in the first place is pathetic, fattie.

    What difference does it make? I still don't care about the quips and only about the projections.


    Sure took a lot of words to say you were wrong...

  22. #47
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    Sure took a lot of words to say you were wrong...
    You're pretty stupid if you think I said I was wrong. Look up temporal order and try again.

  23. #48
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    Trump does far, far better with the youth vote than any other GOP candidate in a long time. And most millennials hate HRC and those that liked Bernie are much more likely to not vote or vote for Johnson or Stein than HRC. (And some votes for Trump out of the Bernie pool!)
    Most huh?


  24. #49
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    He was up by 1 in the CNN poll and down by 1 in the CBS poll over the last two days in Colorado. That is a statistical dead heat. You are ignoring the obvious angst of the Trump campaign over the debate where he is already calling out the moderator and whinging in the leadup.
    Even according to the national average, which includes older polls as well... Trump is 0.2 points behind.

  25. #50
    Millennial Messiah UNT Eagles 2016's Avatar
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    Key note: Survey conducted June, 2016.


    Also note "Hispanics/Latinos are of any race"... probably lumped the Hispanics in with the whites which obviously blues the poll numbers.

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