Page 3 of 4 FirstFirst 1234 LastLast
Results 51 to 75 of 95
  1. #51
    Believe.
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Post Count
    22,886
    Key note: Survey conducted June, 2016.
    As opposed to your big ball of nothing.

  2. #52
    Believe.
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Post Count
    22,886
    Even according to the national average, which includes older polls as well... Trump is 0.2 points behind.
    Sorry but I don't trust your characterizations in the least. Substantiate or be disregarded.

  3. #53
    Millennial Messiah UNT Eagles 2016's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2015
    Post Count
    16,847
    Sorry but I don't trust your characterizations in the least. Substantiate or be disregarded.
    RealClearPolitics.com 4-way race

  4. #54
    Believe.
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Post Count
    22,886
    RealClearPolitics.com 4-way race
    That isn't a link. What is with conservatives expecting others to do their work for them?

    Even if what you claim bears out there is still the statistical uncertainty. That close is a dead heat.

  5. #55
    Believe.
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Post Count
    22,886
    RCP Average 9/15 - 9/25 -- -- 46.2 44.0 Clinton +2.2
    Bloomberg 9/21 - 9/24 1002 LV 3.1 46 46 Tie
    Quinnipiac 9/22 - 9/25 1115 LV 2.9 47 46 Clinton +1
    Monmouth 9/22 - 9/25 729 LV 3.6 49 46 Clinton +3
    LA Times/USC Tracking 9/19 - 9/25 2726 LV 4.5 42 46 Trump +4
    ABC News/Wash Post 9/19 - 9/22 651 LV 4.5 49 47 Clinton +2
    Economist/YouGov 9/22 - 9/24 948 RV 3.8 48 44 Clinton +4
    NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 9/16 - 9/19 922 LV 3.2 48 41 Clinton +7
    McClatchy/Marist 9/15 - 9/20 758 LV 3.6 48 41 Clinton +7
    Reuters/Ipsos 9/15 - 9/19 1111 LV 3.4 39 39 Tie

    It's all within the last 2 weeks. And I was right to not trust your estimation. The average is 2.2 not .2.

  6. #56
    Veteran
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Oct 2008
    Post Count
    43,448
    Even according to the national average, which includes older polls as well... Trump is 0.2 points behind.
    Pulling all ads from Colorado was a mistake. She pulls out, he goes in and the results are obvious.

    You need to have a presence even if you're up big. Hillary is running an awful campaign. Her campaign decided not to run ads there anymore beacause she was up 8-10 points and 6 points on average.

    At the end of the day though, she can reverse that with a good debate and getting ads on air again.

  7. #57
    Millennial Messiah UNT Eagles 2016's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2015
    Post Count
    16,847
    That isn't a link. What is with conservatives expecting others to do their work for them?

    Even if what you claim bears out there is still the statistical uncertainty. That close is a dead heat.
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...tein-5974.html

    0.2 +/- obviously is a dead heat, but the statement "CO isn't a swing state" is obviously incorrect here.

    Now, the Trump supporters in Illinois that want to try to say Illinois, or Oregon, or Massachusetts is a swing state... that's too damn far-fetched. Just like the Democrats with GA and AZ.

  8. #58
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Mar 2003
    Post Count
    44,136
    You're pretty stupid if you think I said I was wrong. Look up temporal order and try again.


    The Fuzzy Crab Walk.

  9. #59
    Believe.
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Post Count
    22,886


    The Fuzzy Crab Walk.
    What part of "it was not substantiated at that time" was hard to understand? Still acting like you accomplished something which should have been done in the first place I see. Still sad for a fat old man.

  10. #60
    Millennial Messiah UNT Eagles 2016's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2015
    Post Count
    16,847
    Pulling all ads from Colorado was a mistake. She pulls out, he goes in and the results are obvious.

    You need to have a presence even if you're up big. Hillary is running an awful campaign. Her campaign decided not to run ads there anymore beacause she was up 8-10 points and 6 points on average.

    At the end of the day though, she can reverse that with a good debate and getting ads on air again.
    Whoever wins 2/3 debates will win enough swing states to win the election (or more).

  11. #61
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Mar 2003
    Post Count
    97,881
    Trash loses, dramatically, these demograhic groups

    women (by even more than the usual Repug loses them)

    blacks

    Latinos

    youth

    LGBT

    adult whites with college education (would be first time for a Repug candidate)

    So, demographically, how does Trash win?
    By getting the white nationalist vote and the Republican vote and having low turnout from the other demographics.

  12. #62
    Believe.
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Post Count
    22,886
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...tein-5974.html

    0.2 +/- obviously is a dead heat, but the statement "CO isn't a swing state" is obviously incorrect here.

    Now, the Trump supporters in Illinois that want to try to say Illinois, or Oregon, or Massachusetts is a swing state... that's too damn far-fetched. Just like the Democrats with GA and AZ.
    You said according to national averages.

    Here is 538 after they adjust for bias:


  13. #63
    Veteran
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Oct 2008
    Post Count
    43,448
    Whoever wins 2/3 debates will win enough swing states to win the election (or more).
    I think this is the only important debate.

    The people who will decide this (Indepedents+undecideds) election will call it in tonight after seeing them both head to head.

    I find it hard to believe that you dont know who you're going to vote for 3 weeks from now. The next debate is like mid october. Who waits till that late to decide?

  14. #64
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Mar 2003
    Post Count
    97,881
    I think this is the only important debate.

    The people who will decide this (Indepedents+undecideds) election will call it in tonight after seeing them both head to head.

    I find it hard to believe that you dont know who you're going to vote for 3 weeks from now. The next debate is like mid october. Who waits till that late to decide?
    Independents and undecideds are usually pretty Republican leaning. They're often the people who say hurr durr both parties suck and then turn out to be among the most loyal Republican voters. Like WC.

  15. #65
    Veteran
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Oct 2008
    Post Count
    43,448
    Independents and undecideds are usually pretty Republican leaning. They're often the people who say hurr durr both parties suck and then turn out to be among the most loyal Republican voters. Like WC.
    In this case though, its the millenials.

    That's why the race is so close. Gary Johnson the gaffe machine is bleeding her dry in that category.

  16. #66
    Baltimore Spurs Fan florige's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Post Count
    10,065
    It's hilarious how people can draw such radically different conclusions from the same polls. The only poll that really counts is the one on November 8.

    Personally I think Clinton will win easily. If it still looks "close" by the election I expect the protest votes for Johnson and Stein to switch at the last minute with most going to Clinton.

    Not so sure about that. Hillary could have a huge problem with turnout. Obama was able to get young people out in droves. Not so sure about Hillary.

  17. #67
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Mar 2003
    Post Count
    44,136
    What part of "it was not substantiated at that time" was hard to understand? Still acting like you accomplished something which should have been done in the first place I see. Still sad for a fat old man.


    It's MY fault you were talking out your ass because I didn't provide a link before you did it?

  18. #68
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Mar 2003
    Post Count
    97,881
    I find it hard to believe that you dont know who you're going to vote for 3 weeks from now. The next debate is like mid october. Who waits till that late to decide?
    I don't think it's about who they'd support. I think lots of people won't know whether they're voting until election day.

  19. #69
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Mar 2003
    Post Count
    44,136
    Not so sure about that. Hillary could have a huge problem with turnout. Obama was able to get young people out in droves. Not so sure about Hillary.
    Hillary will flood the airwaves with a billion dollars of negative ads the weeks right before the election and make it about stopping trump and not why we should vote for her.

    I'm glad I'll be in Costa Rica fishing during the bulk of it.

  20. #70
    Veteran
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Mar 2009
    Post Count
    97,536
    Hillary will flood the airwaves with a billion dollars of negative ads the weeks right before the election and make it about stopping trump and not why we should vote for her.

    I'm glad I'll be in Costa Rica fishing during the bulk of it.
    Hillary has been talking lots of policies, which are why people are voting for her, apart from iden y politics (women voting for women). and of course, Ms are voting Hillary to vote against Trash.

  21. #71
    sha na na na na kneeeees Axl Rose's Avatar
    My Team
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Post Count
    756
    Hillary will flood the airwaves with a billion dollars of negative ads the weeks right before the election and make it about stopping trump and not why we should vote for her.

    I'm glad I'll be in Costa Rica fishing during the bulk of it.
    hope you're voting early, don't let a bunch of forum liberals influence you towards apathy. This absolutely matters, if for nothing else but 2nd amendment and Supreme Court. You want a liberal Supreme Court? How about a 65% estate tax on your children if you die?

  22. #72
    Believe.
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Post Count
    22,886


    It's MY fault you were talking out your ass because I didn't provide a link before you did it?
    Typical bluster from you that you pretend you get presumption, fattie. Do you have a point beyond your typical machismo stupidity?

  23. #73
    Baltimore Spurs Fan florige's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Post Count
    10,065
    Pulling all ads from Colorado was a mistake. She pulls out, he goes in and the results are obvious.

    You need to have a presence even if you're up big. Hillary is running an awful campaign. Her campaign decided not to run ads there anymore beacause she was up 8-10 points and 6 points on average.

    At the end of the day though, she can reverse that with a good debate and getting ads on air again.


    I agree. I really have no idea what she's doing. Why would her campaign pull out of CO so early almost two months before the election? Obama had this state plastered with signs and bumper stickers this time in 08 and 2012. I have yet to see a SINGLE Hillary sign anywhere. I think I have seen one bumper sticker. And MD is a heavily democratic state that is about a blue a state you can get. I think Hillary is making the same mistake she made with Obama 8 years ago and that is underestimating her opponent. I think one of the reasons Obama came out of nowhere and over came her was the nasty tone that she presented while debating him. I even started to not like her. She is in critical territory right now. I think they have Trump studying Obama's debate sessions with her. She has time to recover, but she had better step her game up.

  24. #74

  25. #75
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Mar 2003
    Post Count
    97,881
    hope you're voting early, don't let a bunch of forum liberals influence you towards apathy. This absolutely matters, if for nothing else but 2nd amendment and Supreme Court. You want a liberal Supreme Court? How about a 65% estate tax on your children if you die?
    He's a Texas resident, his vote in a general election doesn't mean

    Only the primary matters in Texas.

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •