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  1. #126
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    Public transit shut down, dindus in Philly ain't turning out. Good game cuck
    LOL strike is over

  2. #127
    my unders, my frgn whites pgardn's Avatar
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    Public transit shut down, dindus in Philly ain't turning out. Good game cuck
    http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/n...-say/93412510/

  3. #128
    Real Warrior Warlord23's Avatar
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    So I'm guessing this Axl Rose character is a Deadly Dynasty alt?

  4. #129
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    So I'm guessing this Axl Rose character is a Deadly Dynasty alt?
    Nah DD is pretty funny, it's m>s.

  5. #130
    Real Warrior Warlord23's Avatar
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    Nah DD is pretty funny, it's m>s.
    That makes more sense. I thought m>s had only the Dirk Oneanddoneski alt

  6. #131
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    Nah DD is pretty funny, it's m>s.
    LOL the quest for foreskin continues.

  7. #132
    sha na na na na kneeeees Axl Rose's Avatar
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    Not m>s

    but . Still doesn't change the fact that you all are sitting around like cucks hoping the blacks will do the job for you.

  8. #133
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    Nah DD is pretty funny, it's m>s.
    bingo

  9. #134
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    Philly is lit tonight. Ya'll seeing this ?

  10. #135
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    For ducks since he likes to post like this. For you baby girl.

  11. #136
    Baltimore Spurs Fan florige's Avatar
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    Philly is lit tonight. Ya'll seeing this ?


    But but nobody never shows up for her rally's tho. Lol

  12. #137
    e^(i*pi) + 1 = 0 MannyIsGod's Avatar
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    Then you have no problem saying that his approach is empirical.

    I think the word you are looking for is mechanics and I agree with you that his approach doesn't appear to be comprehensive but what he does have is clearly empirical. Overall I don't think we are not in accord. We both have presented plausible and testable hypothesis as to what he is not considering. I have been crowing that the electorate has been at a tipping point for some time with the end of the boomer hegemony after all.

    That being said, don't feign certainty where none exists. It could be that he is right and we are wrong.
    I never said it wasn't empirical?

  13. #138
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    2016’s Election Data Hero Isn’t Nate Silver. It’s Sam Wang

    When the smoke clears on Tuesday—and it will clear—what will emerge is Wang and his Princeton Election Consortium website and calculations (which have been used, in part, to drive some of the election poll conclusions at The New York Times’Upshot blogand The Huffington Post’s election site).

    What will be vindicated is precisely the sort of math approach that Silver once rode to fame and fortune.

    Wang says his method differs from Silver’s in its approach to uncertainty.

    This year, Wang called the election at 8:55 PM on October 18. He promised to eat more than just his hat if Clinton loses:

    “It is totally over. If Trump wins more than 240 electoral votes, I will eat a bug,”

    Wang tweeted to his 23,000 followers.

    He expects Clinton to receive at least 298 electoral votes.


    Wang has been the intrepid election data explorer furthest out this election cycle, never once wavering from his certainty of a Clinton win. The only real uncertainty left on Tuesday, he said, is how many people show up to vote. But even that doesn’t change the presidential election outcome.


    “Pollsters have pretty good judgment, but their average estimate of who will vote may be off,” Wang told me. “To account for this, the snapshot gets converted to a Meta-Margin, which is defined as how far all polls would have to move, in the same direction, to create a perfect toss-up. To turn the Meta-margin into a win probability, the final step is to estimate how likely it is that the Meta-Margin is so far off that the other candidate is favored.”


    Even if you factor this voting uncertainty into his election model by 5 percent—which is an unprecedented level historically, Wang says—Clinton still wins.

    https://www.wired.com/2016/11/2016s-election-data-hero-isnt-nate-silver-sam-wang/



  14. #139
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    For ducks since he likes to post like this. For you baby girl.

    Concerts draw crowds? Who knew?

    I hear occasional booing.

  15. #140
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    Concerts draw crowds? Who knew?

    I hear occasional booing.
    Then clean your ears dude. The president is speaking.

  16. #141
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    Then clean your ears dude. The president is speaking.
    Did all those people show up to hear Hillary?

  17. #142
    ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ TheSanityAnnex's Avatar
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    Did all those people show up to hear Hillary?
    Of course. Just like all the people who showed up to hear Hillary speak and were surprised to see a bonus concert of Jay Z and Beyoncé.

  18. #143
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    The first Hillary rally I can reacall this year where the camera actually looks at the crowd.

  19. #144
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    ^The butthurt is real.

  20. #145
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    This corrupt hag is your next president -- so inspiring.

  21. #146
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    ^The butthurt is real.
    It is sad that we have to choose between two ty candidates.

  22. #147
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    This corrupt hag is your next president -- so inspiring.
    What I cant wrap my head around more is that she's not winning by more. It will be relatively close. Within 50-60 EVs.

  23. #148
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    CNN and MSNBC forgoing their usual shows just to livestream the Philly event in its entirety.

  24. #149
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    What I cant wrap my head around more is that she's not winning by more. It will be relatively close. Within 50-60 EVs.
    Says a lot. People don't like her. The only thing that helps her is an even more hated candidate on the other side.

  25. #150
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    Oh well, back to MNF.

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