Propsects to catch GSW for the one seed

[bklynspursfan]

I like all these fans who have like two-year memories. The Spurs have very often closed seasons on strong notes. 21-3 isn't particularly hard to think about seeing as the average March during the Kawhi era is 12.6-2.6 and the average for the last three Marches is 13.7-2. That's the kind of record that could put the Spurs in the one seed going into the final two weeks. I don't think Pop would give up HCA just to be cute.

Agreed. We have to take care of business and not have anymore inexcusable losses like we've had already. SPAM....

[SpursforSix]

The non-KD lineups I just saw featuring Curry/Dray/Klay (meaning not playing those 3 with KD) are still +13 per 100 possessions (per Lowe).

They did lose "Some" depth but when you really look at it even sans KD?

Used to have: Harrison Barnes/Bogut/Festus/Speights/Barbosa

Now has: Zaza/West/McGee/McCaw/Matt Barnes

I mean, it's definitely less, but not horrific. Festus did great for them, but McGee has filled in well too. Bogut was easily their biggest loss now without KD, but Zaza/West are ok replacements.

Harrison Barnes never did amazing with them and Matt Barnes should fill that roll ok.

McCaw is already a better player than Barbosa.

Yeah...it's still a very good "Big 2" with Curry and Nutkicker. No real Big 3's in the West. And the supporting cast is still damn good. But I'd love to see the Clippers play them sans Durant.

[Chinook]

Proving we win both of them (very far from a given, tbh), there's still 1 game of difference that will prove to be too high to climb. Dude, this ain't happening, accept this fact and it will hurt less. I do hope, like you, that we end on the highest of notes possible. That's what I care more about getting into the playoffs.

They just lost to Washington. You are saying that GS can go 15-7 and still win the one seed, as if the Spurs haven't gone 20-4 before. If the team follows the trend for the last three years, they would go 15-2 this month, which would put them in the one seed before April begins. I highly doubt they'd lose it once they get it. Even 14-3 (extrapolating for the entire Kawhi era) would put them within a game of GS down the stretch.

The Spurs could obviously lose, but they should be getting ready to peak now while GS is about to hit a bump.

[DAF86]

They just lost to Washington. You are saying that GS can go 15-7 and still win the one seed, as if the Spurs haven't gone 20-4 before. If the team follows the trend for the last three years, they would go 15-2 this month, which would put them in the one seed before April begins. I highly doubt they'd lose it once they get it. Even 14-3 (extrapolating for the entire Kawhi era) would put them within a game of GS down the stretch.

The Spurs could obviously lose, but they should be getting ready to peak now while GS is about to hit a bump.

Did you take that from the 70% I said the Warriors needed to get the 1st seed? Sorry, I ed up the math, I meant 75%. And that's just what they need, they'll probably win at a higher pace than that. I'm expecting the Spurs and Warriors to end up with pretty similar records in these few games that are left, tbh.

[Splits]

Warriors with Dominos= Historically great team, most talent in league history
Warriors without Dominos, Bogut, Barnes= Still a top 2 team in the West

Edgy take.

[HarlemHeat37]

Edgy take.

True, I guess it was just stating the obvious

[Trueblood]

We're focusing on the away games but we're forgetting that we have a 79% road win percentage and a 76% home win percentage. Given that 16 of our last 24 are at home we would need to turn things around for the home stretch.

[BatManu20]

We're focusing on the away games but we're forgetting that we have a 73% road win percentage and a 68% home win percentage. Given that 16 of our last 24 are at home we would need to turn things around for the home stretch.

A lot of good teams left on our schedule as well. 4th toughest remaining schedule in the league.

[DAF86]

We're focusing on the away games but we're forgetting that we have a 73% road win percentage and a 68% home win percentage. Given that 16 of our last 24 are at home we would need to turn things around for the home stretch.

How can we have a 73 road winning %, a 68 home winning % and an overall record of 78%?

[SpursforSix]

How can we have a 73 road winning %, a 68 home winning % and an overall record of 78%?

If you up the math, you can easily get to these %'s.

[PopTheGOAT]

In all likelihood, we aren't catching them with this schedule remaining. The beautiful game would have to return tbh

[DAF86]

If you up the math, you can easily get to these %'s.

Not, really. If I up the math, is even more difficult to get the %'s, tbh.

[SpursforSix]

Not, really. If I up the math, is even more difficult to get the %'s, tbh.

I disagree:

Road winning % = 73%
Home winning % = 68%

73+68 = 141%
Divide that by 1.80 (the math up) and you get something around 78%.

[DAF86]

I disagree:

Road winning % = 73%
Home winning % = 68%

73+68 = 141%
Divide that by 1.80 (the math up) and you get something around 78%.

Not the kind of up I would have done, tbh.

[SpursforSix]

Not the kind of up I would have done, tbh.

Me neither. But that would be how you get to 78%. TBH, I don't see a post above that says that though.

[Trueblood]

If you up the math, you can easily get to these %'s.

Sorry. Math was off. Made the edit.
It's 19-6 home record for 76%
26-7 road record for 79%
Point still stands that we have a better winning percentage on the road. We should be focusing on the home games

[SpursforSix]

Sorry. Math was off. Made the edit.
It's 19-6 home record for 76%
26-7 road record for 79%
Point still stands that we have a better winning percentage on the road. We should be focusing on the home games

No worries. I agree with you 102%.

I hope that somehow they can get Murray some playing time and possibly improve his chances for the playoffs. And I hope that LMA gets on a little run. And I hope that Pau gets into a groove.

[marinoman]

Most Spurs fans want this but it would be horrible. We would get the clips in rd 2 as the one seed which is a real tough matchup up for us and all we'd get for that is one extra home game if we get to rd 3. Even in the game we beat them it was Paul's first game back and they played the warriors the night before

2 seed is so much better for us. Matchups are much more important than one extra home game, and it's not close

[spursistan]

[spursistan]

[TheDoctor]

[marinoman]

Rest kawhi please

[Hoops Czar]

The Spurs are 2-4 in the postseason the last two seasons discounting the D-league Grizzlies series. Within those two playoff series in which they lost (LAC, OKC), the Spurs lost HCA 4 times. I'm not sure the Spurs would know what do with HCA even if they were to secure it.

[OrEmuN]

The spurs may not get no1 seed but they must start playing well & winning to end the season because

1) to get to the playoffs in good form
2) to pressure GSW into rushing KD back
3) so that GSW plays heavy minutes on Curry, Thompson & Green, exhausting them for playoffs.

[spursreport]

The non-KD lineups I just saw featuring Curry/Dray/Klay (meaning not playing those 3 with KD) are still +13 per 100 possessions (per Lowe).

They did lose "Some" depth but when you really look at it even sans KD?

Used to have: Harrison Barnes/Bogut/Festus/Speights/Barbosa

Now has: Zaza/West/McGee/McCaw/Matt Barnes

I mean, it's definitely less, but not horrific. Festus did great for them, but McGee has filled in well too. Bogut was easily their biggest loss now without KD, but Zaza/West are ok replacements.

Harrison Barnes never did amazing with them and Matt Barnes should fill that roll ok.

McCaw is already a better player than Barbosa.

Most of those players are pieces of and that will show in the playoffs. The regular season once again fooling people. I bet you also think teams with elite wr's win super bowls, right?