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hard to follow, it looks like 3 or 4 of them having Harvey making landfall and then rentering the Gulf.LMAO at the spaghetti models right now
Crazy.
Albert Flores (WOAI-TV meteorologist) says to expect 70 mph sustained winds Saturday at noon.
hard to follow, it looks like 3 or 4 of them having Harvey making landfall and then rentering the Gulf.LMAO at the spaghetti models right now
Crazy.
Houston checking in.
Just got done beating up the whole water aisle at Kroger and snatching the last of all the nonperishables
Steve Brown (KSAT-TV meteorologist) said he doesn't see anything stopping this from becoming Cat 4 or even 5. Also seems to think it will track a little more west than the general consensus i.e. SA will get more direct hit.
, NOAA is moving the forecast track a little more west
Harvey has turned a little to the left since the last advisory with
the initial motion now 315/9. A mid-level anticyclone over the
eastern Gulf of Mexico is expected to steer Harvey generally
northwestward with a decreasing forward speed for the next 36-48 h,
with the center now forecast to make landfall on the middle Texas
coast in about 36 h. This part of the new forecast track has been
nudged a little to the left based mainly on the initial position
and motion. After landfall, the cyclone is likely to get stuck
between the Gulf anticyclone and a stronger anticyclone over the
western United States, with little motion likely from 48-96 h.
I had some fishing line do this once
You Mexicans are ed. Have fun swimming in a river that doesn't lead to freedom.
Damn this is the first time I have bought 9V batteries (for the radio) in probably 25 years.
Yeah they're forecasting locally 35" in some parts around Corpus.
The problem is after this storm passes, then its going to go backwards. I think we are going to see historic flooding in parts of south texas
Still only a cat 2 with a little under a day left before landfall
Prediction is that high pressure to northwest will stall Harvey on the coast, as far away as Tueday
Utsa shut down for the day. I just need them to close the vases down. Y'all be safe.
Ray, we've been on these boards for a long time. So I'm confident in saying that you see the same signatures as I do...rapid IR clearing, well established EW with feeder spiral bands into EW (as opposed to concentric "choking" bands)...and ideal UL conditions, warm eddy ahead, and surface, concave frictional coastline convergence...
George, obviously at this point, we have the luxury of being able to assess these structural nuances to inform thoughts on intensity/impact, but even as early as Tuesday morning the writing was on the wall for a catastrophic US impact and certainly the end of the major hurricane drought.
When guidance ever shifted north, and decided not to bury a TS/minimal cane into Mexico, I noted the pristine upper level environment forecast and the unperturbed bath water over the western GOM and sounded the alarms.
The only thing that can save the coast from extensive/extreme wind damage is if this were to hover off of the coast for a protracted stretch, which would allow for weakening.
AKA Trump's America
I am now taking this seriously.Damn this is the first time I have bought 9V batteries (for the radio) in probably 25 years.
We could easily lose power in SA for extended periods because of wind and the difficulty of fixing power with high water
But I got 3 kayaks. If you need rescue I'm the man.
I saw a forecast last night on Weather Channel showing the entire San Antonio area likely to lose power. I imagine it's going to happen around noon or so tomorrow when the 60 mph winds are supposed to be coming.
Keep us informed of any pressure gradient changes on the NW part of the eyewall that give you more insight to wind speed in the rain bands 50 miles away. I know made that extrapolation computer model, that should come in handy now. ST needs the subtle info.
Okay then.
Forget they kayak rescue in those winds. I will have to make my rounds after things have settled down. I'll put you on the manifest.
Too bad Specs is on a hill, we could have looted some six packs.
Looks like some ice-scattering in the northern eyewall
Robdiaz, let's go cross the river back into Mexico.
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