Reply With Quote
You'll probably see this convection become displaced and warm up top for a time period this evening. Then new convection fires overnight according to every model. It just depends on where, when. Basically what could occur is precip shield weakening and sliding SE toward the coast for a short time. Heavy rain should move back in later during nighttime period as storm reorganizes itself. If Houston is lucky, dry air really messes things up. That's not likely. It's a closed circulation over the gulf. We're not focused on storm strength, but moisture, and there is more than plenty.
To me, best convergence will be S and E of HOU..
