Most of the programs the study analyzes are what's known as "conditional cash transfers" (CCTs), where households receive help on the condition that they, say, have their kids attend school, or get them vaccinated. The idea is both to help poor people and to use the aid as a lever with which to ensure kids are getting educated and receiving health services. CCTs first caught on in Latin America, so it makes sense that most of the programs analyzed in the paper are from countries in that region. But the study also includes a
Mexican program that provided a $13-a-month
unconditional cash transfer to families in poor regions.
Exactly zero of the seven programs saw a statistically significant change in either employment levels or hours worked per week:
In some trials, work went up; in others, work went down. In none of them was the change substantial. For every program except those in Honduras and the Philippines, the data was comparable enough that the researchers could pool it and estimate effects across the programs. That allows more precise estimates than you could get from any of the five comparable studies alone. The 95 percent confidence interval for how the programs affected the employment rate ranged from a 1.6 percentage point decline to a 0.9 point increase.
There just isn't any change happening here
https://www.vox.com/policy-and-polit...-transfer-work
So... welfare doesn't make people lazy, nor does it increase their productivity to lift themselves out of needing welfare.
New headline: "Education is good. Welfare does not have any direct impact on recipients work output."