?I did really well in the NFL bet thread IIRC
What are your projections for Hammy Watkins this year?
?I did really well in the NFL bet thread IIRC
Vegas has Bills over/under at 6. Over 6 is +135 and Under 6 is -155. I’m hammering that under.
maybe like 60/800/5
Let's bet a G straight up for old times sake. I'm definitely seeing at least a push
I already have money on it, so won’t do a G, but Ill do $200 with you
Deal...how much have you already put on the under?
The NFL is such an 8-8 league across the board. I'd never put money on a line that close to 8.
Since we're already locked into the bet, just out of curiosity how do you see their schedule playing out?:
DATE OPPONENT TIME/RESULT Sep 9 @Baltimore 1:00 PM - CBS Sep 16 L.A. Chargers 1:00 PM - CBS Sep 23 @Minnesota 1:00 PM - CBS Sep 30 @Green Bay 1:00 PM - CBS Oct 7 Tennessee 1:00 PM - CBS Oct 14 @Houston 1:00 PM - CBS Oct 21 @Indianapolis 1:00 PM - CBS Oct 29 New England 8:15 PM - ESPN Nov 4 Chicago 1:00 PM - FOX Nov 11 @N.Y. Jets 1:00 PM - CBS Week 11 BYE Nov 25 Jacksonville 1:00 PM - CBS Dec 2 @Miami 1:00 PM - CBS Dec 9 N.Y. Jets 1:00 PM - CBS Dec 16 Detroit 1:00 PM - FOX Dec 23 @New England 1:00 PM - CBS Dec 30 Miami 1:00 PM - CBS
Here's my picks
W
DATE OPPONENT TIME/RESULT Sep 9 @Baltimore 1:00 PM - CBS L Sep 16 L.A. Chargers 1:00 PM - CBS W, Chargers historically suck ass in September, we sneak a W Sep 23 @Minnesota 1:00 PM - CBS L Sep 30 @Green Bay 1:00 PM - CBS L Oct 7 Tennessee 1:00 PM - CBS L, coin toss, but we lose a close one imo Oct 14 @Houston 1:00 PM - CBS L, assuming Watson is healthy of course Oct 21 @Indianapolis 1:00 PM - CBS L, only if Luck is healthy--otherwise it's a W Oct 29 New England 8:15 PM - ESPN L Nov 4 Chicago 1:00 PM - FOX W Nov 11 @N.Y. Jets 1:00 PM - CBS W, by this time they will have abandoned the vet QB's Week 11 BYE Nov 25 Jacksonville 1:00 PM - CBS W, Bills will have a Top-5 rushing D this year and I like this as a revenge game...close win and our one upset of the season. Coming off a bye too. Dec 2 @Miami 1:00 PM - CBS W, Miami just sucks and they will be in full tank tank mode Dec 9 N.Y. Jets 1:00 PM - CBS W Dec 16 Detroit 1:00 PM - FOX W, Can't trust Detroit on the road late in the season Dec 23 @New England 1:00 PM - CBS L Dec 30 Miami 1:00 PM - CBS
8-8 imo, with a possibility of 7-9 or 9-7
Last edited by DeadlyDynasty; 08-03-2018 at 11:26 AM.
I'm pulling for your Bills bro, but based on your above projection, there's no way a 1-7 team is going on a 6 game winning streak. A 1-7 start means half of the players are going to half-ass it the rest of the year, the fans will already have turned on the team, coaches, front office, etc., and the coaches are probably going to start giving reps to guys who weren't starters to begin the year.
If the L's are close, they won't give up...just think of SF and the Chargers last year. They had horrendous starts but never mailed it in. Plus, more looks for guys like Harrison Phillips, Josh Allen, Levi Wallace, Cam Phillips, Robert Foster,and Taron Johnson is a positive imo. We've pretty much purged our team of poisonous vets with ty at udes last year. Last purge left is Shaq Lawson (not really old enough to be a vet, but useless so far in regards to high draft pick)
I didn’t even really look at the schedule in terms of win-loss.
1) QB situation is rough. Tyrod was not amazing, but he was good.
2) Shady situation is dicey on/off field at the moment and any slippage there results in issues.
3) Strengh of Schedule: It’s even worse than I think most people give credit for. Read an interesting article on it: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...gth-its-wrong/
BAL: L
Chargers: L - Chargers are going to be very good this year as they were last year. They lost coin toss games to deflate their record and this won’t be a coin toss game.
Minny: L
GB: L
TEN: L
HOU: L
IND: L (could be a win)
NE: L
CHI: L (could be a win but CHI should be improved even if their record might not reflect it)
JETS: L (could be a win but JETS wont be awful. Might start slow but will get better as season goes on IMO).
BYE Week: L (j/k)
Jacksonville: L
Jets: W because it’s at home
DET: L
NE: L
MIA: W
Im thinking 2 wins and giving myself another 3 win buffer which I think would be optimistic IMO
I'm not sure I see even 5 wins there. Chicago and NYJ are the only definite wins imo.
Bless your heart.
I just don’t think BUF was truly a 9 win team. I think they were closer to a 6 win team and they got worse and have a pretty tough schedule. We shall see...
Bills just got Corey Coleman for a 2020 7th rounder. Helps a position in dire need. I'm tellin ya, this team is closer to 7-9/8-8 then 2-14 DPG. The front office made some of the ballsiest moves as soon as they walked in (traded/cut every big name talent on the roster), made some choice FA pickups, and took the best defensive player in the draft this year. If we can only stand pat on TT's-led 16ppg offense we'll be decent. Not a playoff team due to QB obviously, but our FO has made 1.5 years of shrewd business moves that would make the Spurs FO blush.
The Niners made a QB change. The Chargers' schedule got really easy after the first few weeks.
Depends on shady
Was a no risk trade but while WR was/is a problem, what good is that core if Shady falls off at all and with the QB play?
I’m betting on two things: Bills had an inflated record so it would not be a 7 game drop off as it seems & they are worse than last year.
Could be wrong, but even if they are the same as last year, I still think that was more of a 6 win team than 9 win team in reality.
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