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  1. #351
    Veteran chunticakes's Avatar
    My Team
    Dallas Cowboys
    Post Count
    3,759
    Like I said


    Obviously....the Saints can show up flat, some penalities, special teams breakdowns, a few injuries, that can happen and for Dallas to win it has to happen.
    Yep. You gotta pick your...spots.

  2. #352
    Yep. You gotta pick your...spots.
    That's right rookie, the Cowboys 6-2 last 8 on TNF, the Saints 2-4 last six since 2006. TNF home teams big advantage over road teams

    Don't act like an idiot guy, I mentioned the Saints could show up flat, they did?


    Dummy, don't act like re ed monkey over one game, ok? There was a reason the Cowboys were 7.5 dogs and NOBODY took them to win the game.

    Where is your opinion before the game?

  3. #353
    Veteran chunticakes's Avatar
    My Team
    Dallas Cowboys
    Post Count
    3,759
    NFL betting trends
    The Saints are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. the Cowboys.
    The total has gone over in four of the Saints' last five games vs. the Cowboys.
    The Saints are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games on the road vs. teams with winning records.

    That gives the Saints a STRONG 23-6 trend in this "spot".
    Good thing I didn't listen to you or other pundits. I said I wouldn't touch this game with a ten foot pole. And I didn't.

    I'm a Cowboys fan hence I don't bet on their games. I bet with my head not with my heart.

  4. #354
    The Golden Goddess TheCultOfPersonality's Avatar
    My Team
    Green Bay Packers
    Post Count
    6,442
    Sunday Picks

    Colts
    Steelers
    Carolina
    Falcons
    Texans
    Dolphins
    Giants
    Broncos
    Rams
    Packers
    Chiefs
    ans
    Patriots
    Seahawks

    (Picks subject to change before kickoff)

  5. #355
    6X ST MVP
    My Team
    Minnesota Vikings
    Post Count
    81,091
    NO @ DAL (Dafuq!?!?)
    BAL @ ATL
    DEN @ CIN
    LAR @ DET
    ARI @ GB
    BUF @ MIA
    CHI @ NYG
    CAR @ TB
    IND @ JAX
    CLE @ HOU
    NYJ @ TEN
    KC @ OAK
    MIN @ NE
    SF @ SEA
    LAC @ PIT
    WAS @ PHI

    Week 1: 10-5-1
    Week 2: 9-6-1
    Week 3: 8-8-0
    Week 4: 7-8-0
    Week 5: 9-6-0
    Week 6: 10-5-0
    Week 7: 8-6-0
    Week 8: 12-2-0
    Week 9: 8-5-0
    Week 10: 8-6-0
    Week 11: 4-9-0
    Week 12: 8-7-0

    Overall: 101-73-2

  6. #356
    6X ST MVP
    My Team
    Minnesota Vikings
    Post Count
    81,091
    Good thing I didn't listen to you or other pundits. I said I wouldn't touch this game with a ten foot pole. And I didn't.

    I'm a Cowboys fan hence I don't bet on their games. I bet with my head not with my heart.
    Hard to believe Cowboys were only +300 ML at peak. I would've thought +675 or something with the way the Saints had been shredding teams.

  7. #357
    NO @ DAL (Dafuq!?!?)
    BAL @ ATL
    DEN @ CIN.....................Denver
    LAR @ DET
    ARI @ GB
    BUF @ MIA
    CHI @ NYG
    CAR @ TB......................Caro
    IND @ JAX
    CLE @ HOU
    NYJ @ TEN
    KC @ OAK
    MIN @ NE..............NE
    SF @ SEA
    LAC @ PIT
    WAS @ PHI



    I agree with the ones I didn't mention.

    I expect to hit another 12.

    123 right now.

    My goal is beat these guys.

    https://nflpickwatch.com/

    Nobody had Dallas
    Last edited by JohnnyZ; 12-02-2018 at 04:22 AM.

  8. #358
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
    My Team
    Oakland Raiders
    Post Count
    100,825
    Saints
    Ravens
    Texans
    Broncos
    Dolphins
    Colts
    Raiders
    ans
    Giants
    Packers
    Rams
    Panthers
    Patriots
    Seahawks
    Steelers
    Eagles
    9-6 going into monday... ugh

  9. #359
    I need the Eagles to win to hit my 10 games a week average.

    The Cards hadn't won in GB since the 40's.
    The Steelers were 220-0-2 in games they had a 14 point lead.
    When was the last time the Panthers lost 4 in a row?

    Snake bit.

  10. #360
    Erryday I'm Hustlin' Robz4000's Avatar
    My Team
    San Francisco 49ers
    Post Count
    39,737
    Saints
    Bears
    Packers
    Colts
    Texans
    Panthers
    Dolphins
    Bengals
    Falcons
    Rams
    Chiefs
    ans
    Pats
    Seacucks
    Steelers
    Eagles
    7-8 going into MNF. wow...

  11. #361
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
    My Team
    Baltimore Ravens
    Post Count
    83,736
    How often are road teams fav by 7.5? and lose the game SU?

    This NO team is already historically great and Brees is having a monstous season. Dallas hasn't beat any elite team all season for a reason.

    Obviously....the Saints can show up flat, some penalities, special teams breakdowns, a few injuries, that can happen and for Dallas to win it has to happen.

    Not unrealistic to see the Saints in total control the out come never in doubt, always in the lead, talking 24 13ish, with seconds to go the Cowboys backdoor a 24-20 loss, but haul in that ATS $$$$$$$$$$$.

    Then there is this little gem.


    NFL betting trends
    The Saints are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. the Cowboys.
    The total has gone over in four of the Saints' last five games vs. the Cowboys.
    The Saints are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games on the road vs. teams with winning records.

    That gives the Saints a STRONG 23-6 trend in this "spot".
    Oh look another bad bet from Avante.

    And he's fat

  12. #362
    4-25-20 Will Hunting's Avatar
    My Team
    New England Patriots
    Post Count
    22,468
    Oh look another bad bet from Avante.

    And he's fat
    that’s especially funny because there was a lot of sharp money on Dallas and a lot of public money that was on the Saints.

    All of the trends used in Avantes posts are re ed to bet on and reek of logic used by the typical public money gambler who loses money every year.

    In order of the trends he listed:
    - The Saints last 12 games against the Cowboys go back probably 20+ years with teams that don’t have any of the personnel these teams currently have.
    - Ignoring the fact it makes no sense to use the prior 12 games for one “trend” and then the prior 5 games for another, the total going over in their last 5 matchups has nothing to do with the Saints being able to cover a spread.
    - The Saints record ATS on the road vs teams with winning records might be the dumbest trend he mentions. The last 17 games the Saints have played on the road against winning teams likely consists of games where the Saints were favored to lose and as long as they kept it close had a good shot at covering the spread, ie, scenarios that aren’t relevant to last Thursday when the Saints were favored by over a touchdown.

    Putting money on a team that’s 5-1 at home and on a 3 game winning streak to lose by more than a touchdown because of games that happened 20 years ago is yet another shining example of Avantes stupidity.

  13. #363
    4-25-20 Will Hunting's Avatar
    My Team
    New England Patriots
    Post Count
    22,468
    That's right rookie, the Cowboys 6-2 last 8 on TNF, the Saints 2-4 last six since 2006. TNF home teams big advantage over road teams

    Don't act like an idiot guy, I mentioned the Saints could show up flat, they did?


    Dummy, don't act like re ed monkey over one game, ok? There was a reason the Cowboys were 7.5 dogs and NOBODY took them to win the game.

    Where is your opinion before the game?
    You mentioned the Saints “could show up flat” to hedge your prediction such that you’d be able to say you were right either way even though the opinion that the Saints could come out flat is mutually exclusive with the opinion that them winning by over a touchdown is a good bet.

    If the Cowboys are so much better on TNF than the Saints are and if there was a chance the Saints could show up flat, then why the did you mention the Saints winning by over a touchdown is a good bet?

  14. #364
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
    My Team
    Baltimore Ravens
    Post Count
    83,736
    Lol the Hedge

  15. #365
    We've got a job to do. Darth_Pelican's Avatar
    My Team
    New Orleans Saints
    Post Count
    8,266
    that’s especially funny because there was a lot of sharp money on Dallas and a lot of public money that was on the Saints.

    All of the trends used in Avantes posts are re ed to bet on and reek of logic used by the typical public money gambler who loses money every year.

    In order of the trends he listed:
    - The Saints last 12 games against the Cowboys go back probably 20+ years with teams that don’t have any of the personnel these teams currently have.
    - Ignoring the fact it makes no sense to use the prior 12 games for one “trend” and then the prior 5 games for another, the total going over in their last 5 matchups has nothing to do with the Saints being able to cover a spread.
    - The Saints record ATS on the road vs teams with winning records might be the dumbest trend he mentions. The last 17 games the Saints have played on the road against winning teams likely consists of games where the Saints were favored to lose and as long as they kept it close had a good shot at covering the spread, ie, scenarios that aren’t relevant to last Thursday when the Saints were favored by over a touchdown.

    Putting money on a team that’s 5-1 at home and on a 3 game winning streak to lose by more than a touchdown because of games that happened 20 years ago is yet another shining example of Avantes stupidity.
    It was Mason's pick

  16. #366
    4-25-20 Will Hunting's Avatar
    My Team
    New England Patriots
    Post Count
    22,468
    The Saints are a great pick to win by more than a touchdown in this "spot" but they could also either win by a touchdown or less if they're only up by 11 when the other team scores a touchdown at the end of the game (since that would mean they only win by 4), or if they score less points than the other team they could outright lose!

    Lets see you tell me I'm wrong after that!

  17. #367
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
    My Team
    Oakland Raiders
    Post Count
    100,825
    what a ty week tbh ... only one i'm proud of picking is giants over bears

  18. #368
    ATS wagering, is all about ac ulating the info needed to find a side that has the big advantage in a particular "spot".

    The last time I picked ATS games here I ended the season a plus $2,100. That is do ented in a thread....Avante Betting Tracker thread. How I did that can be found there.

    You look for historically strong trends. Anyone thinking ....that don't matter....knows nothing about ATS betting.

    The Saints didn't want to be there, it happens. If they meet up vs Dallas in the playoffs watch what happens.

  19. #369
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
    My Team
    Baltimore Ravens
    Post Count
    83,736
    ATS wagering, is all about ac ulating the info needed to find a side that has the big advantage in a particular "spot".

    The last time I picked ATS games here I ended the season a plus $2,100. That is do ented in a thread....Avante Betting Tracker thread. How I did that can be found there.

    You look for historically strong trends. Anyone thinking ....that don't matter....knows nothing about ATS betting.

    The Saints didn't want to be there, it happens. If they meet up vs Dallas in the playoffs watch what happens.
    Lol wut? You ended way down you lying fat piece of .

    how desperate are you when you have to lie to a bunch of strangers that don't want you here

  20. #370
    4-25-20 Will Hunting's Avatar
    My Team
    New England Patriots
    Post Count
    22,468
    ATS wagering, is all about ac ulating the info needed to find a side that has the big advantage in a particular "spot".

    The last time I picked ATS games here I ended the season a plus $2,100. That is do ented in a thread....Avante Betting Tracker thread. How I did that can be found there.

    You look for historically strong trends. Anyone thinking ....that don't matter....knows nothing about ATS betting.

    The Saints didn't want to be there, it happens. If they meet up vs Dallas in the playoffs watch what happens.
    The Avante betting tracker had you down by thousands.

    Lying again per usual.

  21. #371
    The Avante betting tracker had you down by thousands.

    Lying again per usual.
    Dude, I was in two of those (first one my son ed around with) one started by spurraider, THAT was the last one where I finally agreed to hand out free $$$$$$. Go ahead PM him and ask him about it.

    I went something like 69-46ish winning over 2100. It's back there somewhere.

    I don't lie guy.

    He started the thread to watch me fail, and the first week....BOOM....down 330. Yep....YOU SUCK.

    Then as time went on and I'm winning and winning.......hahahaha~~~~

    Ask him guy, he got tired ok ok ok you're up................
    Last edited by JohnnyZ; 12-03-2018 at 04:18 PM.

  22. #372
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
    My Team
    Baltimore Ravens
    Post Count
    83,736
    Dude, I was in two of those (first one my son ed around with) one started by spurraider, THAT was the last one where I finally agreed to hand out free $$$$$$. Go ahead PM him and ask him about it.

    I went something like 69-46ish winning over 2100. It's back there somewhere.

    I don't lie guy.

    He started the thread to watch me fail, and the first week....BOOM....down 330. Yep....YOU SUCK.

    Then as time went on and I'm winning and winning.......hahahaha~~~~

    Ask him guy, he got tired ok ok ok you're up................
    Nobody is buying your bull , fatty. Just go away

  23. #373
    Nobody is buying your bull , fatty. Just go away
    So you are saying that no there wasn't a thread do enting my plus 2100 betting season?

    If I find it you take 30 days off?

  24. #374
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
    My Team
    Oakland Raiders
    Post Count
    100,825
    Dude, I was in two of those (first one my son ed around with) one started by spurraider, THAT was the last one where I finally agreed to hand out free $$$$$$. Go ahead PM him and ask him about it.

    I went something like 69-46ish winning over 2100. It's back there somewhere.

    I don't lie guy.

    He started the thread to watch me fail, and the first week....BOOM....down 330. Yep....YOU SUCK.

    Then as time went on and I'm winning and winning.......hahahaha~~~~

    Ask him guy, he got tired ok ok ok you're up................
    you forgot when you were down nearly 9k the year before tbh

    winning something like 2k in 2014 doesn't make up for that
    Last edited by spurraider21; 12-03-2018 at 05:04 PM.

  25. #375
    you forgot when you were down nearly 9k the year before tbh
    So I just figured it all out in one season, really? How is that possible?

    It was funny watching you, ha~~~ Ok ok ok ya won............

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