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They win at least 42 games. I say 50-32 .
They win at least 42 games. I say 50-32 .
How long has media tried to write off the spurs? Like since '05.. They could be right, but they could be wrong. Jeez the off season sucks.
I don't follow stat garbage, but have these dudes ever been right in any significant way?
IF Spurs end up in the lottery it'd be the end of the league. They would get a sure fire NBA ready player. With the cast we currently have. Game over.
BUT of course we will be top 4 next year with a dark horse chance of ringing. (I don't think either LA teams will stay healthy enough in the long run.)
Something is clearly broken in their system when it comes to the Spurs. Last year they had us at 40-42(8 games below actual) whereas 2 years ago they were only off by +3 games. Reminds me of all the times ESPN has said we were done.
Spurs need to miss the playoffs, being a perennial first round exit is a waste of time.
Clippers are a 6 seed and the Kings are dead last. I remain skeptical . . .
Warriors 50 wins? Mavericks 44 wins? Pelicans 43 wins? Timberwolves 43 wins? Thunder 41 wins? Suns 35 wins? Grizzles 35 wins? These all seem extremely rich.
Kings 33 wins, Spurs 37 wins, Blazers 41 wins, and Clippers 48 wins all seem very low.
Nate Slver had the Spurs at 1% chance to make the playoffs for long stretches last season, tbh.
Spurs need to be healthy.
If we hit 37 wins with no injuries, there will be revolution in the streets. Heads will have to roll.
Spurs winning 52-30. 4th seed
Spurs should win those games that we gaveaway last year due to lack of chemistry and injury, Griz, Magic, Kings, Hornets. While losing some to Lakers, Clippers. Our long defensive guards should better defend Curry/D’Angelo, Russ/Harden, Conley/Mitc , that normally overpower Mills/Forbes. All in all, Spurs should be better than last year 48 wins.
Clippers
Nuggets
Lakers
Spurs
Jazz
Trailblazers
Rockets
Warriors
Kings/Mavs looking in but not enough experience. Pelicans too young and could miss Zion to some injury. He seems overweight. CP3 will be moved and Thunder going tank mode. Suns might win more due to hiring of new Coach Monty. Griz perennial bottomfeeder.
Last edited by John B; 07-16-2019 at 03:38 PM.
They take a bunch of individual player CARMELOS, aggregate them into some sort of team CARMELO, and make their predictions based on that. The player CARMELO is based on 3 years of stats. Some of our players don't even have that yet!
If they really want more accurate team predictions, they should look at history. They peg every player right in the middle of their 10%-90% confidence interval. A top flight development program isn't even taken into account. Spurs players always hit higher than expected development milestones. I wonder how different this would look if they skewed that confidence interval placement to, say, 75% vs. 50% for SA, since their development is known to be among the best in the NBA.
This CARMELO shoots even worse than the real one tbh
Underestimating the Jazz and Trailblazers?
Meh. Annual Spurs are dead prediction. One day they will be right, but it probably won't be next season if Spurs are healthy.
Barring injuries this team is a lock for the playoffs. They are deep and the defense will be better than last year. Very surprised with Silvers call on this.
Wow. What a ty model.
Off topic - - Does he have any success in politics?
Nate S
He did when Barack was running. Seems to have problems otherwise.
Not surpriced at all tbh
538's prediction model always hates the Spurs.
It focuses too much on what a specific player is capable of and not on the team aspect of the Spurs.
It's the reverse theory of "every Spurs role player only works in the Spurs system".For 538's CARMELO model,it doesn't have the required tweaking needed to recognize that said role player IS on the Spurs,so it disregards many players as inefficient.
Hence,37-45 prediction.Who knows,with our current players on another team,without the system,without Pop,maybe this would be a 37 win team in the West.
We still have Pop and the system tho,so the Spurs will destroy this prediction model just like last year.
45 seems reasonable but, dear God, you people overrate the players on this team while underestimating every other team in the conference.
"Derr if we have Murray we are best in da west derr"
Yeah. Okay.
“Spurs finish 37-45”
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