I hope that dumb island spook asswiper2k5 is standing out on the beach tbh
Prayers up for the US Virgin Islands. Tough break for Timmy and his home.
I hope that dumb island spook asswiper2k5 is standing out on the beach tbh
He's probably jerking off in the trailer off Austin Highway tbh.
Real talk though, they went from saying this thing wouldn't develop to now saying it'll be a major hurricane at landfall in the US. Grim business.
Miami to Jacksonville under the gun:
Right now they're saying Category 3, but we all know how it's going to play out... shear conditions are VERY favorable west of 70ºW... we're likely to see a cat 4 hit or worse. MIA-JAX is the cone and current center of track would rough up Orlando/Daytona quite a bit.
00z HWRF has a high end cat 4/weak cat 5 bearing down in a few days:
We can only hope for the worst for said asswiper
Now forecast to be a Category 4 hit and the cone keeps moving south.
Too bad Haiti will be spared
even a medial TS that hits Haiti usually kills around 2,000 because of the extreme deforestation there leads to landslides and major flooding
Stupid .
Moved the FSU-Boise game scheduled for Jacksonville on Saturday night to Tallahassee
The funny thing about US GOP Evangelical christians is, my theory has always been if there were a god, he would be a staunch Democrat.
Jesus was quite the socialist... and Bill Clinton and Obama combined for all of 2 major hurricane strikes on the US, while Bush Jr and Trump have combined for 16 and counting.
, zero major hurricanes struck the US during Obama's entire 8 year regime. First year he's out? 3 of 'em in one season. Couldn't make it up if I tried.
Upgraded to Category 2 with 105 mph winds as of the 11pm advisory from the NHC.
You just did. I'd say Sandy was a pretty major hurricane.
Sandy was bad only because of the location (Jersey Shore dagowops were unprepared), but technically it was a borderline Cat 1/Cat 2 strike. The most it had been in its lifetime was Cat 3 in the Caribbean (the threshold for "major" hurricane as defined by the NHC), but that was well over a week before it struck the Jersey Shore.
So it's minor because only wind speed matters?
I'm going by meteorological technicality, not any other convoluted means.
According to the Saffir-Simpson scale, used by the World Meteorological Organization and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA; which includes the National Hurricane Center) the storm is a major hurricane with maximum sustained winds (>= 115 MPH) or minimal Category 3 status.
Going by after-effects of a landfall, such as costs of destruction, bad timing, human casualties etc provides too many confounding variables. But the 2004 or 2005 hurricane season wipes the floor with Sandy, which was not all that strong but just hit a weakly built area that is not used to hurricanes (for example, coastal homes built from Texas to Florida to North Carolina are generally built to withstand up to a cat 3, but that is not the case in New Jersey).
If you want to add confounders, how about the weak tropical storm in 2007 that stayed a TS all the way up to San Antonio and caused major flooding and even destroyed an entire school (South San West Campus)? And went all the way up to Oklahoma and wreaked havoc there. And the TS Fay in 2008 that caused major flooding in 6 different parts of Florida. If you want to add category 2 hurricanes to the mix, there were plenty of those to add to Bush's total, like Ike and Gustav his last year.
Bottom line: Obama had it easy, relatively speaking. Clinton, too.
Sandy was bad bc of the flooding, not the wind speed. Old New England colonial towns and houses that weren't prepared like Florida were ravaged by the flood damage.
Now they're predicting Dorian to have 150 mph winds at landfall. This is gonna be Cat 5, isn't it?
That's close.
Exactly right. These houses were built before hurricane codes existed, and people didn't really care to fix that when they did exist beginning in the 1950s because nobody really feared any kind of a hurricane hit that far north.
Almost definitely. This is East Coast of Florida's Katrina. Huge population areas, there will be flooding from Ft Lauderdale to Jacksonville. Worst will be Palm Beach area, Jupiter etc up to Melbourne and Daytona.
I would say likely category 4 landfall. The storm will briefly be a cat 5 with 160+ mph winds and then weaken to cat 4 during an eyewall replacement cycle before landfall. But that will make the hurricane larger and the wind fields worse. Hence why "weakened" Cat 3 Katrina landfall was quite worse than Cat 5 Katrina from the day before. And part of why Sandy was so devastating despite the low category.
There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)