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  1. #4526
    Got Woke? DMC's Avatar
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    Experts are saying all signs point to another Ice Age
    Hopefully this time that squirrel gets the nut.

  2. #4527
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Experts are saying all signs point to another Ice Age
    Link?

    Critics have been right to criticize the inaccuracy of climate change modeling, the models have been way too conservative estimating the rate of change and the civilizational impact:

    https://blogs.scientificamerican.com...limate-change/

  3. #4528
    my unders, my frgn whites pgardn's Avatar
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    You're right. Gender isn't the same as sex. I misspoke.

    The concept of pretending to be the opposite sex through alterations and roles then expecting society to play along - that's science denial.
    Yes because genes tell you how you MUST act.

    Idiot...

  4. #4529
    my unders, my frgn whites pgardn's Avatar
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    Experts are saying all signs point to another Ice Age
    Experts say...
    They all say...
    Some are even saying...
    Many people say to me...

    You got this Trump ian talk down beautifully.

  5. #4530
    my unders, my frgn whites pgardn's Avatar
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    it’s winter a comin and she’s gettin cold. How’s that? We still have Winter, wtf?

    We have had some record setting lows in some parts of the country.

    Who would have thought average global temperature is rising and we could still measure record lows at various places on the Earth?
    (Not members of the red team apparently)

  6. #4531
    my unders, my frgn whites pgardn's Avatar
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    it’s winter a comin and she’s gettin cold. How’s that? We still have Winter, wtf?

    We have had some record setting lows in some parts of the country.

    Who would have thought average global temperature is rising and we could still measure record lows at various places on the Earth?
    (Not members of the red team apparently)

  7. #4532
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Warming is only one aspect of climate change, which is the more accurate term. Ocean warming destabilizes the jet stream, which can lead to freak cold snaps in North America.

  8. #4533
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    Warming is only one aspect of climate change, which is the more accurate term. Ocean warming destabilizes the jet stream, which can lead to freak cold snaps in North America.
    If the Gulf Stream dies or wanders, Ireland, Icelland, UK will become much colder

    predatory, voracious, corrupt, murderous Capitalism (BigCarbon and BigFinance) has really ed the planet beyond un ability.

    If there were a "solution", it's unknown, and nobody nowhere is implementing ANY solution.

  9. #4534
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    If we don't start to manage the problem, it will manage us, tbh.

  10. #4535
    Got Woke? DMC's Avatar
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    Yes because genes tell you how you MUST act.

    Idiot...
    Didnt say anything about acting. Climate change doesn't tell you how you must act. It's always your decision. A male is a male and a female is a female. Those are scientific facts.

  11. #4536
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    If we don't start to manage the problem, it will manage us, tbh.
    nope, it's over, already way too late to overcome 150+ years of GHG emissions.

    and GHG and other emissions CONTINUE to increase

    and then

    there's the severe, pervasive plastic and chemical pollution in air, water, land, animals, plants.

    Humans have THEIR BED and there ain't no fix, with no fix is even being attempted.

  12. #4537
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    TL;DNR : causes of AGW are increasing, not flat, no decreasing

    A world off track on climate change


    https://www.axios.com/newsletters/ax...156fd2cb4.html

  13. #4538
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Hopefully this time that squirrel gets the nut.
    https://blogs.scientificamerican.com...limate-change/
    The question is significant for two reasons. First, climate skeptics and deniers have often accused scientists of exaggerating the threat of climate change, but the evidence shows that not only have they not exaggerated, they have underestimated. This is important for the interpretation of the scientific evidence, for the defense of the integrity of climate science, and for public comprehension of the urgency of the climate issue. Second, objectivity is an essential ideal in scientific work, so if we have evidence that findings are biased in any direction—towards alarmism or complacency—this should concern us We should seek to identify the sources of that bias and correct them if we can.

    In our new book, Discerning Experts, we explored the workings of scientific assessments for policy, with particular attention to their internal dynamics, as we attempted to illuminate how the scientists working in assessments make the judgments they do. Among other things, we wanted to know how scientists respond to the pressures—sometimes subtle, sometimes overt—that arise when they know that their conclusions will be disseminated beyond the research community—in short, when they know that the world is watching. The view that scientific evidence should guide public policy presumes that the evidence is of high quality, and that scientists’ interpretations of it are broadly correct. But, until now, those assumptions have rarely been closely examined.

    We found little reason to doubt the results of scientific assessments, overall. We found no evidence of fraud, malfeasance or deliberate deception or manipulation. Nor did we find any reason to doubt that scientific assessments accurately reflect the views of their expert communities. But we did find that scientists tend to underestimate the severity of threats and the rapidity with which they might unfold.

    Among the factors that appear to contribute to underestimation is the perceived need for consensus, or what we label univocality: the felt need to speak in a single voice. Many scientists worry that if disagreement is publicly aired, government officials will conflate differences of opinion with ignorance and use this as justification for inaction. Others worry that even if policy makers want to act, they will find it difficult to do so if scientists fail to send an unambiguous message. Therefore, they will actively seek to find their common ground and focus on areas of agreement; in some cases, they will only put forward conclusions on which they can all agree.

  14. #4539
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    One of the country’s biggest climate denier groups just did an about-face

    Until now, the pro-business group has also supported U.S. withdrawal from the Paris Agreement.

    In 2017, it funded a
    highly criticized report on the consequences of meeting the commitments of the pact.

    The report paints a bleak picture of economic downturn and was used by President Trump as evidence for pulling the U.S. out of the pact.

    just before Trump took the first formal step to pull the U.S. out of the Paris climate agreement,

    the lobbying group quietly updated its website with a brand new stance on the matter.

    A page led “
    Our Approach to Climate Change” now reads:

    “Greater collaboration between governments and businesses is essential to build the best models to tackle climate challenges,

    which is why

    the Chamber supports U.S. participation in the Paris Agreement”.

    https://grist.org/article/one-of-the...ampaign=beacon

    too ing late, assholes!



  15. #4540
    non-essential Chris's Avatar
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  16. #4541
    Got Woke? DMC's Avatar
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    https://blogs.scientificamerican.com...limate-change/
    The question is significant for two reasons. First, climate skeptics and deniers have often accused scientists of exaggerating the threat of climate change, but the evidence shows that not only have they not exaggerated, they have underestimated. This is important for the interpretation of the scientific evidence, for the defense of the integrity of climate science, and for public comprehension of the urgency of the climate issue. Second, objectivity is an essential ideal in scientific work, so if we have evidence that findings are biased in any direction—towards alarmism or complacency—this should concern us We should seek to identify the sources of that bias and correct them if we can.

    In our new book, Discerning Experts, we explored the workings of scientific assessments for policy, with particular attention to their internal dynamics, as we attempted to illuminate how the scientists working in assessments make the judgments they do. Among other things, we wanted to know how scientists respond to the pressures—sometimes subtle, sometimes overt—that arise when they know that their conclusions will be disseminated beyond the research community—in short, when they know that the world is watching. The view that scientific evidence should guide public policy presumes that the evidence is of high quality, and that scientists’ interpretations of it are broadly correct. But, until now, those assumptions have rarely been closely examined.

    We found little reason to doubt the results of scientific assessments, overall. We found no evidence of fraud, malfeasance or deliberate deception or manipulation. Nor did we find any reason to doubt that scientific assessments accurately reflect the views of their expert communities. But we did find that scientists tend to underestimate the severity of threats and the rapidity with which they might unfold.

    Among the factors that appear to contribute to underestimation is the perceived need for consensus, or what we label univocality: the felt need to speak in a single voice. Many scientists worry that if disagreement is publicly aired, government officials will conflate differences of opinion with ignorance and use this as justification for inaction. Others worry that even if policy makers want to act, they will find it difficult to do so if scientists fail to send an unambiguous message. Therefore, they will actively seek to find their common ground and focus on areas of agreement; in some cases, they will only put forward conclusions on which they can all agree.
    Twotons.. cousin of Boutons.

  17. #4542
    my unders, my frgn whites pgardn's Avatar
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    Didnt say anything about acting. Climate change doesn't tell you how you must act. It's always your decision. A male is a male and a female is a female. Those are scientific facts.
    A male is usually XY. A female is usually XX. Those are scientific facts.
    XXY, X... continue are variations of sex chromosomes that .... are usually associated with....

    Because a person is XX does not mean they want to wear dresses and have sex with XY. Behavioral differences are much more difficult to explain with science.
    But you got a male is a male. Thanks for that.

  18. #4543
    my unders, my frgn whites pgardn's Avatar
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    Warming is only one aspect of climate change, which is the more accurate term. Ocean warming destabilizes the jet stream, which can lead to freak cold snaps in North America.
    The overall warming leads to an instability of ocean currents as well. Water can hold vast amounts of heat energy and when the ocean currents change paths, the climate in an area can become very different as well. Rain patterns and temperatures can completely change how we farm and or cause the vegetation in an area to change. Along with coastal habitation, I think these changes will lead to the most drastic short term changes as far as $ impact. When we build infrastructure based on a certain type of climate ( which we have) and the climate changes rapidly it costs $.
    I think people living next to water will feel the greatest monetary impact. Distribution of water will become a bigger issue. Imo red team chooses to treat this on a geological scale in order to put off having to deal with it. “Oh well, at some point continents will shift” If we were still mobile hunter gatherers we would most likely find it easier to adapt. But we are not.

  19. #4544
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    the solar cycle is well known and is factored into every model

  20. #4545
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    Climate change exposes future generations to life-long health harm

    A child born today faces multiple and life-long health harms from climate change - growing up in a warmer world with risks of food shortages, infectious diseases, floods and extreme heat

    Climate change is already harming people’s health by increasing the number of extreme weather events and exacerbating air pollution

    if nothing is done to mitigate it, its impacts could burden an entire generation with disease and illness throughout their lives.

    “Children are particularly vulnerable to the health risks of a changing climate.

    Their bodies and immune systems are still developing, leaving them more susceptible to disease and environmental pollutants,”

    “Without immediate action from all countries

    to cut greenhouse gas emissions, gains in wellbeing and life expectancy will be compromised, and

    climate change will come to define the health of an entire generation,”

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-climate-change-health/climate-change-exposes-future-generations-to-life-long-health-harm-idUSKBN1XN2WQ?feedType=RSS&feedName=healthNews&utm _source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Fe ed%3A+reuters%2FhealthNews+%28Reuters+Health+News% 29

    Ain't no country gonna do significant mitigation of its pollution,

    so destructive business as usual (Capitalists gorge on more $Ts) will keep the planet on steady trajectory downwards.

    100Ms will die, $Ts lost in planetary (property) wealth, etc, etc.



  21. #4546
    non-essential Chris's Avatar
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    the solar cycle is well known and is factored into every model
    Sure thing pal.

  22. #4547
    my unders, my frgn whites pgardn's Avatar
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    Sure thing pal.
    Says the man of science.

  23. #4548
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Climate whiplash. Tree ring research seems to indicate weather volatility has increased dramatically in the last 60 years:

    https://e360.yale.edu/features/clima...re-on-the-rise

  24. #4549
    Got Woke? DMC's Avatar
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    A male is usually XY. A female is usually XX. Those are scientific facts.
    XXY, X... continue are variations of sex chromosomes that .... are usually associated with....

    Because a person is XX does not mean they want to wear dresses and have sex with XY. Behavioral differences are much more difficult to explain with science.
    But you got a male is a male. Thanks for that.
    I have no idea what you're even arguing here. You went off the rails. Variations are called that for a reason.
    Last edited by DMC; 11-23-2019 at 01:08 AM.

  25. #4550
    Got Woke? DMC's Avatar
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    Climate whiplash. Tree ring research seems to indicate weather volatility has increased dramatically in the last 60 years:

    https://e360.yale.edu/features/clima...re-on-the-rise
    Ah so it started before I was born. Not my problem.

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