***** Official All-Inclusive 2020 Election Night Thread *****

[Isitjustme?]

[Will Hunting]

[N0 LyF3 ScRuB]

Yep. The math is overwhelmingly in Biden's favor. Nate Cohn said if you could visualize Biden's chances with their needle, it'd be all the way to the right.

And don't worry about the latest AZ dump boosting Trump a bit. That dump was comprised of mail-in ballots that were dropped off on election day. The next batches will be early mail-ins, which should comfortably favor Biden.

From what I read, early votes in Az tend to lean right

[Mugen]

I hope all posters on ST see how interesting the EC can be.
The permutations, the counties rural and urban... understanding putting multiple %s together...
Its a nightmare for anyone who wants solid feelings, so, we are having fun...

Yeah it's really interesting when some re in bum Ohio matters more than 99% of the country

[Will Hunting]

From what I read, early votes in Az tend to lean right

lol where did you read that? Charlie Kirk's twitter feed?

[spurraider21]

[baseline bum]

Yep. The math is overwhelmingly in Biden's favor. Nate Cohn said if you could visualize Biden's chances with their needle, it'd be all the way to the right.

And don't worry about the latest AZ dump boosting Trump a bit. That dump was comprised of mail-in ballots that were dropped off on election day. The next batches will be early mail-ins, which should comfortably favor Biden.

Where'd you read they were early mail-ins? Silver was making it sound like everything in Maricopa was late mail-ins.

[N0 LyF3 ScRuB]

lol where did you read that? Charlie Kirk's twitter feed?

I posted earlier but let me find

[baseline bum]

I ain't gonna lie, I tossed off to that. Bet she's got a thick bush.

[N0 LyF3 ScRuB]

lol where did you read that? Charlie Kirk's twitter feed?

https://mobile.twitter.com/Data_Orbi...49400927191041

[InRareForm]

Biden -550 betting favorite for PA currently

[Spurtacular]

[midnightpulp]

Jawjuh math is looking good.

There are 122,525 mail in votes in Georgia left. Biden is behind by 39,811 votes at the moment. In order to win, Biden needs to win 81,168 of those votes to win Georgia. Biden needs 66.246% of the votes to win Georgia. A large majority has been in the metro Atlanta era where Biden has been leading 70%+. Most mail in ballots have voted for Biden. Biden getting at least 66.246% seems QUITE likely.

[Joseph Kony]

Biden -550 betting favorite for PA currently

Maga s right now:

[Will Hunting]

https://mobile.twitter.com/Data_Orbi...49400927191041

That says late earlies favor Trump, which we all knew. The mail-in votes that were delivered early and well before election day favor Biden.

[LaMarcus Bryant]

I ain't gonna lie, I tossed off to that. Bet she's got a thick bush.

glad I'm not alone

[spurraider21]

Jawjuh math is looking good.

id generally be worried about those hyperspecific calculations because the exact reported numbers could always be a bit off at the time. but the overall trend of him needing ~2/3 and him getting 70% so far is indeed promising

[Mugen]

I ain't gonna lie, I tossed off to that. Bet she's got a thick bush.

Same tbh.

[Spurminator]

They'll "find" the votes. Don't worry

I'm just catching up on this thread... Karrin goes full conspira after years of "muh russia" being his go-to response to everything.

[baseline bum]

Yep. The math is overwhelmingly in Biden's favor. Nate Cohn said if you could visualize Biden's chances with their needle, it'd be all the way to the right.

And don't worry about the latest AZ dump boosting Trump a bit. That dump was comprised of mail-in ballots that were dropped off on election day. The next batches will be early mail-ins, which should comfortably favor Biden.

Isn't Nate Silver calling the NY Times' claim of only 70% ballots reported for Philly fishy though?

[Spurminator]

Jawjuh math is looking good.

That number was 57% a couple hours ago so it's not exactly trending in the right direction.

[Will Hunting]

I'm just catching up on this thread... Karrin goes full conspira after years of "muh russia" being his go-to response to everything.

This is why I find it stupid when others on this site disagree with me when I say Karrin is just as dumb as Gaythan/Chris. He's every bit as much of an angry MAGA as they are.

[spurraider21]

This is why I find it stupid when others on this site disagree with me when I say Karrin is just as dumb as Gaythan/Chris. He's every bit as much of an angry MAGA as they are.

dressing up chris in a suit tbh

[baseline bum]

AP has Trump's edge at 31,858 votes in GA right now, 98% reporting

[Dejounte]

Jawjuh math is looking good.

How can you be behind 39k but need 81k to win?