
that’s especially funny because there was a lot of sharp money on Dallas and a lot of public money that was on the Saints.
All of the trends used in Avantes posts are re ed to bet on and reek of logic used by the typical public money gambler who loses money every year.
In order of the trends he listed:
- The Saints last 12 games against the Cowboys go back probably 20+ years with teams that don’t have any of the personnel these teams currently have.
- Ignoring the fact it makes no sense to use the prior 12 games for one “trend” and then the prior 5 games for another, the total going over in their last 5 matchups has nothing to do with the Saints being able to cover a spread.
- The Saints record ATS on the road vs teams with winning records might be the dumbest trend he mentions. The last 17 games the Saints have played on the road against winning teams likely consists of games where the Saints were favored to lose and as long as they kept it close had a good shot at covering the spread, ie, scenarios that aren’t relevant to last Thursday when the Saints were favored by over a touchdown.
Putting money on a team that’s 5-1 at home and on a 3 game winning streak to lose by more than a touchdown because of games that happened 20 years ago is yet another shining example of Avantes stupidity.