***** Official All-Inclusive 2020 Election Night Thread *****

[midnightpulp]

Bovada just moved Biden from -700 to -850 for president about 45 seconds ago, wonder what prompted that

Probably the Nevada counts.

[spurraider21]

some clarity

GEOFFREY SKELLEY
NOV. 5, 1:06 PM

Meanwhile, another 4,500 votes came in from Georgia, which went 63 percent to 36 percent for Biden, but given the small number, they moved things only very slightly in Biden’s direction. According to ABC News, Trump now leads Biden by 0.27 percentage points, or 13,540 votes. Earlier today, we heard there were about 61,000 votes left to count, but since then, around 10,500 more votes have come in, and Georgia’s secretary of state just said that 50,401 ballots are still outstanding.

[TimDunkem]

some clarity

GEOFFREY SKELLEY
NOV. 5, 1:06 PM

Meanwhile, another 4,500 votes came in from Georgia, which went 63 percent to 36 percent for Biden, but given the small number, they moved things only very slightly in Biden’s direction. According to ABC News, Trump now leads Biden by 0.27 percentage points, or 13,540 votes. Earlier today, we heard there were about 61,000 votes left to count, but since then, around 10,500 more votes have come in, and Georgia’s secretary of state just said that 50,401 ballots are still outstanding.

Trump is finished here.

[baseline bum]

Probably the Nevada counts.

The Nevada line jumped from Biden -900 to Biden -1600 almost immediately upon the Nevada results being published and have stayed there

[Reck]

Bovada just moved Biden from -700 to -850 for president about 45 seconds ago, wonder what prompted that

The Georgia 50k Absentee ballots yet to be in.

[baseline bum]

Probably the Nevada counts.

And of course immediately after posting that the Nevada line went to Biden -2000, presidential line to Biden -900

Georgia line just went from Biden -150 to Biden -190 upon the news of 50,000 ballots still remaining to be counted

[gambit1990]

"tabulation was incorrect, numbers online have now been corrected" -nevada official speaking rn, i missed what votes that pertained to

[spurraider21]

Trump is finished here.

to make up for ~13,550 votes out of a remaining ~50,400... biden would need to pull ~65% of those votes (roughly a 32,000 - 18,400 split)

[Will Hunting]

After a full morning of counting Georgia only got through 10k ballots with 50k remaining , I refuse to believe the ballot counters are working terribly hard.

[baseline bum]

"tabulation was incorrect, numbers online have now been corrected" -nevada official speaking rn, i missed what votes that pertained to

Must be good for Biden as his line just went form -1600 to -2000 in NV a couple of minutes ago

[Joseph Kony]

After a full morning of counting Georgia only got through 10k ballots with 50k remaining , I refuse to believe the ballot counters are working terribly hard.

everytime they cut to the election centers in GA its always 3-4 fat black ladies in the background fanning themselves or rubbing lotion on their hands and taking a break

[Will Hunting]

to make up for ~13,550 votes out of a remaining ~50,400... biden would need to pull ~65% of those votes

Possible but unlikely, too many of the remaining votes come from red counties.

There are roughly 1.9k GA ballots that can be cured by tomorrow.

[Will Hunting]

everytime they cut to the election centers in GA its always 3-4 fat black ladies in the background fanning themselves or rubbing lotion on their hands and taking a break

[gambit1990]

"expecting to have bulk of mail ballots read by saturday or sunday."

the guy is taking some questions now.

[baseline bum]

to make up for ~13,550 votes out of a remaining ~50,400... biden would need to pull ~65% of those votes (roughly a 32,000 - 18,400 split)

NOV. 5, 1:07 PM
So that would imply that Biden only needs to win the remaining votes by 63-37 or thereabouts. He’s been running ahead of that pace so far.

[Reck]

That dumb reporter getting dunked on by DMC lite in Nevada.

[baseline bum]

everytime they cut to the election centers in GA its always 3-4 fat black ladies in the background fanning themselves or rubbing lotion on their hands and taking a break

As long as Biden rings

[Warlord23]

Nevada is looking out of reach for Trump, so his only chance is winning 4 out of 4 (AZ, PA, GA, NC) - the data suggests that he will struggle in 3 out of 4

Lawsuits are Trump's best bet. I'm interested to see what evidence they provide for their claims ... all they have at this time is MAGA tweets and Giuliani's spittle-laden rants

[Mugen]

This Nevada press conference is straight cash homie

[spurraider21]

NOV. 5, 1:07 PM
So that would imply that Biden only needs to win the remaining votes by 63-37 or thereabouts. He’s been running ahead of that pace so far.

"thereabouts"

off nate i gave a more precise answer

[spurraider21]

That dumb reporter getting dunked on by DMC lite in Nevada.

This Nevada press conference is straight cash homie

what am i missing fellas

[TimDunkem]

to make up for ~13,550 votes out of a remaining ~50,400... biden would need to pull ~65% of those votes (roughly a 32,000 - 18,400 split)

He should squeak it out.

[Leetonidas]

Clark County election guy going ham

[spurraider21]

end of a longer thread, but good stuff

[baseline bum]

NATE SILVER
NOV. 5, 1:21 PM
This sort of data is a big problem for Trump in Georgia. Even in a place like Bryan County, where Trump won by 43 points in 2016, Biden is actually winning by 15 in mail votes that were processed today. Those mail votes are just coming in very blue, sometimes even in red counties.