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  1. #51
    Veteran exstatic's Avatar
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    How much better is Risacher than Salaun? Is the "safe bet" worth a potential trade up, or should we stick at 4/8 and take Salaun with the latter pick?
    There’s no player, not Sarr or Risacher worth trading two top 8 picks for in this flat draft. Take two pulls of the lever,not one.

  2. #52
    Veteran mo7888's Avatar
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    Sarr, while more athletic, is far less developed and would take a couple of seasons to be as good as Clingan is now, if he develops at all. People are sleeping on Clingan. He played extremely well in a motion offense system. Will he be a star? Probably not, but he’ll likely be a very solid 10-12 year starter. His bust potential is low, and there are teams that are afraid of busts more than they want stars. Sarr has some more upside, but higher bust potential.
    I'm not knocking him at all. I just don't expect him to be on our radar at 4, so if he goes before that it let's someone slide to us.

  3. #53
    The Dude minds DPG21920's Avatar
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    It's always about 3pt shooting.
    Risacher is more or less guaranteed to stay in the league if he's a decent shooter and a solid defender, Holland could be just another one in long line of Stanley Johnsons who couldn't shoot at all and found themselves out of the league in no time.

    We also have to look at the fact that Spurs are one of the worst rosters in the league and that you have to start somewhere.
    Can't draft two rookies that are two years away from being two years away and won't contribute early on.

    Then there's Sochan situation.
    Drafting another wing non-shooter means their minutes are tied to Sochan's. Can't have both on the floor together.
    Or even worse, Pop will still do it and lose games because of it.
    We aren’t a le team and need talent. Theres plenty of minutes and even if it doesnt happen year one, we dont need it to. Spurs have two picks and lots of guys who spurs are linked to have shooting question (Castle and even Risacher to some degree)

  4. #54
    Veteran mo7888's Avatar
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    I get that Holland is divisive but I will ask; if people are so confident of Risacher in top 4, what’s the risk of Holland? I mean, Risacher has flaws and it’s not like you are passing up on an all world talent on paper (of course things happen post draft and you get all stars out of no where too). If Risacher is a good rotation player but not a star, is missing out on that some death blow?

    Nope. Holland at least pops in so many areas. He has a ton of scary questions (processing speed on team defense, shooting etc..) but it’s hard to deny how he looks when things are going well and what he does well too.

    To me it’s less scary due to opportunity cost; taking a swing on Holland is not at the expense of some can’t miss safer all star type.
    They both are flawed, but I don't think Holland's flaw (his shot) is fixable. It's that simple of a calculation for me. I don't even want him at 8 because I don't believe he'll ever be able to be an average shooter. Risacher's flaws I believe can be fixed.

  5. #55
    The Dude minds DPG21920's Avatar
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    They both are flawed, but I don't think Holland's flaw (his shot) is fixable. It's that simple of a calculation for me. I don't even want him at because I don't believe he'll ever be able to be an average shooter. Risacher's flaws I believe can be fixed.
    But he does a lot of other things a lot better than Risacher and even if Risacher shot is solid, does he truly project to be more than a good role player which can be had with free agency, trade or the extra picks SA has?

    One has a better chance at being a star and that’s harder to get via trade and FA IMO and having 2 picks to me means you can afford to take that swing if you land Castle/Dillingham/Reed with the other pick…

  6. #56
    Veteran exstatic's Avatar
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    We aren’t a le team and need talent. Theres plenty of minutes and even if it doesnt happen year one, we dont need it to. Spurs have two picks and lots of guys who spurs are linked to have shooting question (Castle and even Risacher to some degree)
    The poster that started the Risacher can’t shoot trope was using a 5 game sample. For the year, he shot 38%.

  7. #57
    Veteran mo7888's Avatar
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    But he does a lot of other things a lot better than Risacher and even if Risacher shot is solid, does he truly project to be more than a good role player which can be had with free agency, trade or the extra picks SA has?

    One has a better chance at being a star and that’s harder to get via trade and FA IMO and having 2 picks to me means you can afford to take that swing if you land Castle/Dillingham/Reed with the other pick…
    If Risacher develops handles where he can dribble drive, then yes, he can be more. He's got a much better chance to do that than Holland does to be able to shoot.

  8. #58
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    Does Risacher have any upside as a creator/playmaker, or is he locked in as a dependent role player?
    no obvious path to playmaking ability, really. other than just saying he's still young and just turned 19. i do think he flashes passing ability but rarely does enough with the ball in his hands to create situations to take advantage of it.

  9. #59
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    no obvious path to playmaking ability, really. other than just saying he's still young and just turned 19. i do think he flashes passing ability but rarely does enough with the ball in his hands to create situations to take advantage of it.
    I'm more interested in what's the ceiling of his shooting ability.
    Nowdays everyone wants complete forwards that can do a bit of everything, but if you ask me finding someone who can be a high volume shooter, good rebounder and defender would be as just as good.

    Finding a MPJ type forward who can shoot around 40% on 8 attempts per game would be invaluable.
    There's a huge difference between that level of shooting and someone who will take 3 per game.
    There's levels to 3-D players even if they don't offer anything else.

  10. #60
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    I'm more interested in what's the ceiling of his shooting ability.
    Nowdays everyone wants complete forwards that can do a bit of everything, but if you ask me finding someone who can be a high volume shooter, good rebounder and defender would be as just as good.

    Finding a MPJ type forward who can shoot around 40% on 8 attempts per game would be invaluable.
    There's a huge difference between that level of shooting and someone who will take 3 per game.
    There's levels to 3-D players even if they don't offer anything else.
    MPJ shooting is pretty elite but it looks attainable. he's tall, has a very high release, and has gotten a lot better at not having to dip the ball back down in catch and shoot spots. very interesting stuff at his age

  11. #61
    The Dude minds DPG21920's Avatar
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    The poster that started the Risacher can’t shoot trope was using a 5 game sample. For the year, he shot 38%.
    Oh I know - I think overall Risacher shot is solid; but it’s not a “lock” and I dont think hes a varied shooter. But it’s not near the same issue as Holland I agree.

  12. #62
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    If Risacher develops handles where he can dribble drive, then yes, he can be more. He's got a much better chance to do that than Holland does to be able to shoot.
    I disagree that it’s so black and white. It’s not just as simple as only those two skills and likelihood of each getting them. Theres a lot more to their games and what they do well/dont do etc….yes of course those two are big things, but that’s not only path for Holland to be a star. DeRozan has no 3 ball and is a star.

    Imagine like a Josh Howard/DeRozan type from Holland with actual defense and very good secondary playmaking (like DeRozan)

  13. #63
    The Dude minds DPG21920's Avatar
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    no obvious path to playmaking ability, really. other than just saying he's still young and just turned 19. i do think he flashes passing ability but rarely does enough with the ball in his hands to create situations to take advantage of it.
    And Holland has already shown much more there IMO, similar to a Sochan.

  14. #64
    Veteran exstatic's Avatar
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    Oh I know - I think overall Risacher shot is solid; but it’s not a “lock” and I dont think hes a varied shooter. But it’s not near the same issue as Holland I agree.
    Nothing is a lock in this draft, or most drafts, tbh. Once you accept that, peace follows.

  15. #65
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    Does Risacher have any upside as a creator/playmaker, or is he locked in as a dependent role player?
    High BBIQ (His Dad is a former pro), great work ethic, great body( size and length) and fundamentals

    He's just 19 and has upside at everything

  16. #66
    The Dude minds DPG21920's Avatar
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    Nothing is a lock in this draft, or most drafts, tbh. Once you accept that, peace follows.
    I do - I hate drafts

    It’s really hard to draft well consistently

  17. #67
    ಥ﹏ಥ DAF86's Avatar
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    I get that Holland is divisive but I will ask; if people are so confident of Risacher in top 4, what’s the risk of Holland? I mean, Risacher has flaws and it’s not like you are passing up on an all world talent on paper (of course things happen post draft and you get all stars out of no where too). If Risacher is a good rotation player but not a star, is missing out on that some death blow?

    Nope. Holland at least pops in so many areas. He has a ton of scary questions (processing speed on team defense, shooting etc..) but it’s hard to deny how he looks when things are going well and what he does well too.

    To me it’s less scary due to opportunity cost; taking a swing on Holland is not at the expense of some can’t miss safer all star type.
    Holland sucks and will keep on sucking, imho.

  18. #68
    Believe. LeBowen's Avatar
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    I do - I hate drafts

    It’s really hard to draft well consistently
    Tbh, we didn't have to really care about drafts for 20 years.
    It's actually fun when you watch random players that are projected to go in 20-40 range, trying to find someone who could be a steal.
    If you miss, not a big deal.

    But when it's about franchise altering lottery picks, frustration and pressure build up because every bust sets you back.
    Hopefully 2025 will be the last draft we'll care about for the foreseeable future.

    And idk why are we even talking about Risacher, I'd say that chances of him being available at #4 are less than 10%.

  19. #69
    The Dude minds DPG21920's Avatar
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    Tbh, we didn't have to really care about drafts for 20 years.
    It's actually fun when you watch random players that are projected to go in 20-40 range, trying to find someone who could be a steal.
    If you miss, not a big deal.

    But when it's about franchise altering lottery picks, frustration and pressure build up because every bust sets you back.
    Hopefully 2025 will be the last draft we'll care about for the foreseeable future.

    And idk why are we even talking about Risacher, I'd say that chances of him being available at #4 are less than 10%.
    Seems that way - but Im not sure GMs are as in love with him as you normally get with top 3 prospects so you never know..

  20. #70
    Veteran mo7888's Avatar
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    I disagree that it’s so black and white. It’s not just as simple as only those two skills and likelihood of each getting them. Theres a lot more to their games and what they do well/dont do etc….yes of course those two are big things, but that’s not only path for Holland to be a star. DeRozan has no 3 ball and is a star.

    Imagine like a Josh Howard/DeRozan type from Holland with actual defense and very good secondary playmaking (like DeRozan)
    Yes there are more skills, but if you can't shoot, and your shot is unfixable, then, at best, you're a bit player deep off the bench in today's game. I think that much is black and white..

  21. #71
    The Dude minds DPG21920's Avatar
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    Yes there are more skills, but if you can't shoot, and your shot is unfixable, then, at best, you're a bit player deep off the bench in today's game. I think that much is black and white..
    DeRozan isnt a bit player….theres still mid-range guys and Holland is a pretty damn interesting finisher at the rim too alongside some solid secondary playmaking (hes not CP, but in a spurs system where its moving and his not a primary guy but using his tools as an advantage to move off of Wemby and ball movement?)

  22. #72
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    Zach is a 100x better Julian Champagnie
    Only reason I would be ok picking him at 4. He's already better than Julian and he should keep Keldon coming off the bench.

  23. #73
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    I'm kind of fine with him at 4, but I get why models are low on him, and those are the reasons I don't think he really seems like he has star upside.

    Models are trying to adjust quality for role, knowing how historically usage and efficiency translates into NBA play from a league, how passing success indicates feel, etc. Generally, models are better going from NCAA -> NBA than from varying European leagues, but they do attempt to adjust.

    Risacher had an assist to turnover ratio below 1, and some incredibly high turnover games in the playoffs (e.g, 5 in his 28 point game). On top of that, he generated few defensive events (Some of this can be scheme dependant and players opting to not gamble (I think this is the case with Castle, for instance), but it's still low).

    Turnovers, avoiding them and creating them are massive in total player impact, and that's why he shows up badly in analytics models. Entirely possible that even as mostly a play finisher, that limits his impact unless everyone else is a plus passer and he plays a role like Danny Green / Klay as an almost entirely off ball player.
    The lack of creative dribbling, and poor passing really limit his star upside.

    Fine role player, you need guys who'll be effective in low usage roles, and I get he's been in a much higher level of compe ion than NCAA.

  24. #74
    Veteran mo7888's Avatar
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    DeRozan isnt a bit player….theres still mid-range guys and Holland is a pretty damn interesting finisher at the rim too.
    DDR can shoot though, he has excellent touch that just doesn't extend to the 3 pt line. Holland, fundamentally, can not shoot. My opinion is he will never have a mid range game. Those two aren't comparable. MkG is his floor and Stanley Johnson is his ceiling imo..

  25. #75
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    DDR can shoot though, he has excellent touch that just doesn't extend to the 3 pt line. Holland, fundamentally, can not shoot. My opinion is he will never have a mid range game. Those two aren't comparable. MkG is his floor and Stanley Johnson is his ceiling imo..
    Agreed.
    I'd avoid Holland unless Sochan gets traded. (won't happen)
    Two of them wouldn't be able to co-exist.

    As time goes on and I watch/read more stuff about these prospects, I honestly don't want any of these forwards if Risacher isn't there at #4.
    Either get Castle who looks like he's got everything except shooting on the right track or get Dillingham and hope for the best with his scoring potential.
    These forwards with so many fundamental flaws just won't work out. We got enough of them on the roster already.

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