Agreed. But I would say the exact same thing the other way as well. The Mavs need a lot of things to go right to beat the Spurs. They've got to find a way to contain Tony and especially Manu. They've got to find a way to compensate for significantly diminished production from Josh Howard (Bowen will be on him). They've got to do the best they can with Tim Duncan. They have to provide help defense on Duncan in the paint as well as Manu and Tony when they penetrate... but they've got to do it without leaving the Spurs shooters open outside...
You get the point. These are two fairly evenly matched teams. It's going to be tough as for either team to scratch out a series win. Some one will, obviously, but both teams will have a healthy fear and respect for the other.

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