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It's always better to throw the punch first like TP did in game 3 last series.
We've got better defenders. Zach has to score against 2 long 7 footers versus Bonner/Dice. TD/Splitter can block him without even jumping.
It's always better to throw the punch first like TP did in game 3 last series.
50% the first game, 50% the second game. So I think statistically that's 25%, ain't it ? it's been years since I took statistics. I'm sure someone here knows. 1/2 x 1/2 or some such .
I guess 25% would be them winning them both ?
Last edited by ErnestLynch; 05-23-2013 at 10:15 PM.
We'll definitely split in Memphis and come back here and win game 5 so we can go kick Miami's sorry ass!
i love that movie.
According to the Interociter, exactly 53.458% chance of a split.
"are you boys cooking up there?"
"no"
"are you boys building an interociter up there?"
"no!!"
No Splitter joke yet?
Gm 3 will be the game we have the best chance of winning outta the two games in Memphis. Shock the world and win them both!
Pretty good, tbh...
A more receptive home crowd won't make Tony Allen and Tayshaun Prince knockdown 3 point shooters, and as long as Hollins sticks with his rotation his team will struggle on offense - or surrender defense.
I think that an NBA team, when leading a series 2-0, is kind of like a "one-and-one" free throw situation. If you make the first one (winning Game 3,) then suddenly Game 4 is there for the taking.
Game 4 should be far easier to win when leading 3-0 than leading 2-1. Lead 2-1, and the Memphis home crowd will be fully revved up in Game 4, motivated and energetic. Lead 3-0, and that same crowd will be deflated, spiritless and depressed. Same may go for a lot of players' psyches.
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Last edited by Legacy; 05-24-2013 at 11:13 AM. Reason: double post ...
I've got that 'sweeping feeling' as well lately. Or maybe it was all just a dream I had.
We shall see...
I originally said Spurs in 5, 6 tops... but , I wouldn't mind another sweep.
I don't care if I'm right or I'm wrong about this ish, either.
Memphis!! Go SAY-TOWN!!
Game 3 will be a huge challenge not just because Memphis will be looking for a counterpunch in their home gym, but because Hollins figured out that his first two starting lineups didn't work and seems likely to trot out Pondexter and Bayless from the beginning. Defensively, that should hurt them, but it's not like their defense has really slowed the Spurs down so far. The Spurs just need to continue to impose their will, and be stubborn as about it, because Memphis is likely to come out guns blazing in the hopes of recreating their late Game 2 run. The Spurs ed around with Golden State plenty last series, it's about time they locked down and shifted into championship gear.
They'll split as soon as game 4 ends. Chances are high.
I'd be surprised if the Spurs don't emerge from Memphis with at least one road win.
Wow it's thick up here. Really? You think the Spurs are going to win in Memphis? Did you see their home record? It's close to ours.
Roaracle was also supposed to be an impossible arena to win in, and the Spurs nearly took all 3 of their games there.
Yes. Really.
We'll leave Memphis 3-1. Whether that's Saturday night, or Monday. BOOK IT
40% Spurs win both
40% Split
20% Griz win both
Confident we'll win Game 3.
Using statistical analysis to project the winner of a basketball game is impossible. Too many varibles. That being said you can use simple data of the past to attempt to put a value out there. ie. wins vs losses. Team strenght. Injury and who rested etc., to come up with a "WILD HAIR" guess.
My wild hair guess would be Spurs will have a 66 % chance of winning 1 of the 2 games. If they win game 3, then I would say it drops to about 40% for game 4 because of the home court advantage and the Grizz wanting to at least show their fans that they belonged in the finals.
tired of hearing & reading the news about that 2-0 and the sweep, can we just win game 3? one at a time........strong memories of blowing a 2-0 lead to Oklahoma City in the Western finals:
I don't see why they can't win both games, why not? Especially game 3. They have 3 days rest and a chance to make adjustments. Memphis will be playing for their lives and try to bully their way to a win. NO,NO,NO the Spurs can't let that happen and they won't. They are at the same pointas last year and they MUST and WILL learn from 2011, 2012, Game 2, and Memphis coming back on the Clippers, the Spurs need to come out guns blazing. It's all about increasing the intensity and DEFENSE!!!! Time the physically work the bully. Memphis prides themselves in tough defense and grinding out wins. The Spurs did that through 4 championships. We had Bruce Bowen before Memphis had that drama queen Allen. Time to get back to those roots and kick these guys asses already!
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