The Bulls need post scoring more than they need to retain Nocioni. I'd expect him to get shipped for Zach Randolph or somebody in a package, depending on if they can figure out the BYC stuff. Keeping him means an expensive bench player at a position that looks stacked, although they think they can roll Tyrus Thomas to PF full time or something. The Bulls' interest in Collison makes little sense to me, since he's a hustle-type guy and they need a scorer. They already have Ben Wallace.
Nocioni is one of Chicago's great assets to move to get them to the WCF and beyond. They can't keep this team the way it is and think magically they'll move thru. Spencer Hawes might do it, but it'll take him 3 years.

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