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  1. #126
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    Lakers were a great landing spot for him tbh.

    I'm sure the old man would have put him at PG or some if we ended up drafting him
    PG or stretch 4

  2. #127
    Spurs Sage Russ's Avatar
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    I can be honest that 15 games in, it looks like I was wrong on him in particular. The thought process of why I was low on him, that most older prospects do relatively badly in the NBA is generally true, but doesn't mean it will be in every case. There were points that he might be the exception (path through College) but I don't think the process of valuing age heavily in drafting is wrong.
    Look for this pattern if you want to focus in on guys who might buck the trend -- coming up through the ranks from lesser to greater college programs, late bloomers. From way back in early February, 2024:

    Get your popcorn out for tomorrow (Saturday 2/3) -- Tennessee vs Kentucky.

    Three guys who are sure first rounders (possibly all in the lottery) -- Rob Dillingham, Reed Sheppard and Dalton Knecht (plus a few more Kentucky guys likely to go 1st-2nd Round).

    Dillingham and Sheppard are young and have the Kentucky pedigree. Knecht (Tennessee) is old and just keeps exceeding expectations.

    I normally favor the young flashy guys but it's hard to get rid of Knecht the more you see him. He's like a higher-end Derrick White. They both rose up from directional schools in Colorado to the big time and just kept succeeding. Like that horse you bet on in a claimer race whose moving up in class but just keeps beating the higher-priced ponies. Knecht affects the game every minute he's on the court. You have to watch the game in real time to get that. He's not just a highlight reel like so many of our favorites.

    Anyway, it's two top ten teams who both really want to win the game, not just show themselves for the scouts.

    Tomorrow at 7:30 (SA time) on ESPN. Bon Appe !
    https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/sho...1#post11023744

  3. #128
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    One of the prospects i would have been content with at #8. Always seemed to have that fearlessness in him.
    Yup but patfo rather trade 8th pick for likely future 29th pick 4 years later.

  4. #129
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    It was a no brainer tbh...

    our team has bricklayer after bricklayer and zero shooters unless you count gimpy vassell who prefers to shoot 40 foot triple-teamed fadeaway jumpers...and gets injured every 3-4 games...

    and there was knecht - an actual marksman- and we pass until the year 2097

  5. #130
    Veteran scott's Avatar
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    23, and ST considered him a bust when he was traded, because he couldn’t shoot the three.

    You really logged in for the first time on an account created in 2018 to post that? Not the flex you think it is. The exception doesn’t disprove the rule.
    Maybe I have selective memory, but I don't recall this being true at all. ST loved (and still loves) Derrick. Most folks just liked that trade because of where the organization was headed at the time. In hindsight, the Celtics actually robbed us

  6. #131
    Veteran Maddog's Avatar
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    Maybe I have selective memory, but I don't recall this being true at all. ST loved (and still loves) Derrick. Most folks just liked that trade because of where the organization was headed at the time. In hindsight, the Celtics actually robbed us
    It gets a bit more nuanced
    At the time the Celtics record was pretty middling- I think the pick was under 20- maybe 17, before a late run. I suspect that pick was pretty much his max market at the time.
    It's amazing how perfect of a fit the Celtics and White are. Don't think he flourishes like that many places.
    Still one of my favorites and very happy for him.

  7. #132
    Veteran exstatic's Avatar
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    Maybe I have selective memory, but I don't recall this being true at all. ST loved (and still loves) Derrick. Most folks just liked that trade because of where the organization was headed at the time. In hindsight, the Celtics actually robbed us
    He was called Fat Head II and a China doll.

  8. #133
    R.C. Deez Nuts. Mugen's Avatar
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    ST loved DWhite. They were begging for him and Dejounte to actually play together. But the old man refused to do so, started Bryn Forbes for 82 games and the Sniff Crew was throwing out every defense in the book for him tbh

  9. #134
    Kiwi, Advanced Stat Fan
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    Look for this pattern if you want to focus in on guys who might buck the trend -- coming up through the ranks from lesser to greater college programs, late bloomers. From way back in early February, 2024:

    https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/sho...1#post11023744
    This is what I was meaning, though said less eloquently in "path through College". Guys develop at different paces, and there will be cases where people are late bloomers, and take time to get everything together. It seems more likely that people that go to Culinary school, or Northern Colorado will fall into that category as late bloomers.

  10. #135
    Veteran Dejounte's Avatar
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    Jalen Williams is another one I was high on who was older than his peers in his draft class, would have people here pass on him just because of their teen fetish.

  11. #136
    Veteran exstatic's Avatar
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    Jalen Williams is another one I was high on who was older than his peers in his draft class, would have people here pass on him just because of their teen fetish.
    Acting like we’re the oddballs when 19 is WHAT THE NBA DOES.

    Trying to use an exception as a norm when the actual norm is the opposite of what you believe.

  12. #137
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    He's been better than I thought, that's for sure. 4 starts and averaging 20 points and 51%÷ from 3

    Haven't watched his defense to know how he's holding up there

    as weak as this past draft was thought to be, it had some shooters. Risacher, Knecht, McCain, and high expectations for Sheppard and Dillingham. Ajay Mitc and Pelle Larson have small samples of over 10 attempts but so far so good and over 40%

    Spurs desperately need shooting, the best they can usually do is an unreliable scrub like Champagne at 36% or Glassell's infrequent appearances of 37%

  13. #138
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    Spurs aren't serious about winning. If giving away a #8 First round pick didn't clue you, I suggest pro wrestling is the Sport for you.

    What they are serious about? Who the f knows. But it ain't winning basketball games. Why anyone would buy a season ticket or support a team like this, has more to do with too much free time, than anything to do with basketball.

    This ain't basketball. It's something else entirely.

  14. #139
    Spurs Sage Russ's Avatar
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    This is what I was meaning, though said less eloquently in "path through College". Guys develop at different paces, and there will be cases where people are late bloomers, and take time to get everything together. It seems more likely that people that go to Culinary school, or Northern Colorado will fall into that category as late bloomers.


    We've got another one of those late-bloomers under contact now -- in the G League.

    He committed to a small NAIA school then "rose up" to the Ohio Valley Conference (Morehead State). He's a three-point sniper and he's big (6'7") and old (24) like Knecht.

    He's shooting 41.9% from three through six games in the G League.

    He's like a poor man's Knecht and I think this team could very well use him very soon.

  15. #140
    Out with the old... Obstructed_View's Avatar
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    We've got another one of those late-bloomers under contact now -- in the G League.

    He committed to a small NAIA school then "rose up" to the Ohio Valley Conference (Morehead State). He's a three-point sniper and he's big (6'7") and old (24) like Knecht.

    He's shooting 41.9% from three through six games in the G League.

    He's like a poor man's Knecht and I think this team could very well use him very soon.
    The Spurs didn't need a poor man's Knecht. They had the number 8 pick, right? What did they trade it for?

  16. #141
    Spurs Sage Russ's Avatar
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    The Spurs didn't need a poor man's Knecht. They had the number 8 pick, right? What did they trade it for?
    For a pocketful of mumbles . . .

    Such are promises

  17. #142
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    Kid dodged a bullet, the potential is clearly there to become one of the best shooters in the league, but he would have been held back massively with Wembanyama stealing his 3pt shots and Poop restricting his minutes.

    Instead, he's developing at a fast rate on a playoff team alongside a pass first star. Good for him.

  18. #143
    Veteran John B's Avatar
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    For a pocketful of mumbles . . .

    Such are promises

    All lies and jest??

    Tyreke Evan’s was the ROTY on a loaded draft… where is he now?

  19. #144
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    Kid dodged a bullet, the potential is clearly there to become one of the best shooters in the league, but he would have been held back massively with Wembanyama stealing his 3pt shots and Poop restricting his minutes.

    Instead, he's developing at a fast rate on a playoff team alongside a pass first star. Good for him.
    as a 23 year old 5th year senior, a contender that needed immediate contribution made sense. similar to jacquez on miami

  20. #145
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    All lies and jest??

    Tyreke Evan’s was the ROTY on a loaded draft… where is he now?
    i really liked tyreke. was a very good player for a long time. would have loved him as a spur.

    he never quite became the star he looked like he would as a rookie, but he also had a bunch of injuries. heck, late in his career after a 3 year stretch where he played a combined 31 games, he came back, played with memphis, and put up 19/5/5 on 45/38/79 splits (of course, due to injury, only played in 52 games that year)

  21. #146
    Kiwi, Advanced Stat Fan
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    Jalen Williams is another one I was high on who was older than his peers in his draft class, would have people here pass on him just because of their teen fetish.
    I was wrong on Jalen as well. He's the type of player I think of highly in general (positional size (I thought he'd be a 2, he's developed to be an absolute tank and he's doing Draymond at the 5 ), some shooting ability, some on ball ability) but I've been very wrong on do it all guys in the past, with my clear example in my head being liking Derrick Byars in the 07 draft as a do it all wing, who was 23. Didn't work out then, try not to repeat mistakes in thinking, though always possible to overcorrect to one anomaly / anecdote.

    I still think, as a general process, valuing guys who performed well, and heavily adjusting for the age when they've they were in being effective is pretty ideal as close to the best drafting strategy, though there is obviously a need to balance out a stats only process (misses playing style, offensive load, skillset etc )with a details based scouting process that incorporates other variables, like shooting versatility, defensive scouting on ability to play different roles, performance at other levels / roles (e.g, taking into account HS tape for freshmen, like Castle).

  22. #147
    Drive for Five! ambchang's Avatar
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    I see him as a Kyle Korver ceiling Doug McDermott floor type of guy. Decent pick at 8, absolute steal at 17. His d will always be a problem. Wish him the best.

  23. #148
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Kid dodged a bullet, the potential is clearly there to become one of the best shooters in the league, but he would have been held back massively with Wembanyama stealing his 3pt shots and Poop restricting his minutes.

    Instead, he's developing at a fast rate on a playoff team alongside a pass first star. Good for him.
    you would've prioritized this white guy over Wemby.

  24. #149
    Veteran exstatic's Avatar
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    The Spurs didn't need a poor man's Knecht. They had the number 8 pick, right? What did they trade it for?
    An unprotected pick, an unprotected swap, and a #1 protected swap. The unprotected swap was from the Barnes trade, but that can’t happen without trading #8, so, it’s a result of that trade.

  25. #150
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    Did some quick research in comparison to McDermott...

    Knecht's last 4 consecutive games has averaged 24.25 points

    The highest 4 consecutive games average in McDermott's entire career is 21

    McDermott as a floor is probably underrating Knecht or overrating McDermott

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