How do McCain or Obama get to 270?

[boutons_]

HUSSEIN's strategy of going after dubya's red states has been devastating, forcing McNasty to defend and spend resources where he should have been safe.

Macaca HUSSEIN still has to overcome the millions of racists, white supremacists, Whotts, Clannys, WC's, ducks, Repug dirty tricks, voter suppression/intimidation. Nothing is guaranteed. It will be nearly miraculous if HUSSEIN wins against such odds.

[Extra Stout]

Man, McCain's list of States is like reading the inbred portion of this nation's geneology.

It has nothing to do with red/blue. But cmon...

A vendor from Michigan who is a volunteer firefighter tells me a story.

He answered a call about a woman complaining from neck pain. She had dived into shallow water in a nearby lake and hit her head on the bottom. She explained when asked that she needed to pee and figured it was easier to jump in the lake and pee rather than wait until she got home. She also told them that the last time she jumped in the lake to pee the same thing happened.

[MaNuMaNiAc]

A vendor from Michigan who is a volunteer firefighter tells me a story.

He answered a call about a woman complaining from neck pain. She had dived into shallow water in a nearby lake and hit her head on the bottom. She explained when asked that she needed to pee and figured it was easier to jump in the lake and pee rather than wait until she got home. She also told them that the last time she jumped in the lake to pee the same thing happened.

[DarkReign]

A vendor from Michigan who is a volunteer firefighter tells me a story.

He answered a call about a woman complaining from neck pain. She had dived into shallow water in a nearby lake and hit her head on the bottom. She explained when asked that she needed to pee and figured it was easier to jump in the lake and pee rather than wait until she got home. She also told them that the last time she jumped in the lake to pee the same thing happened.

Thats rich. I dont feel the need to explain Michigan in a nuts to you, as Im sure you know already.

But yes, I get your point.

My point on the other hand still holds. Read the states of McCain. I see confederate flags, overalls, gun racks and spittoons galore. Good, God-fearing baptists aplenty.

[florige]

Now I am pretty sure this poll is dead on with it's accuracy. Very reliable....


http://politicalwire.com/archives/20...onal_poll.html

[boutons_]

Repug dirty tricksters have deepening hole to cheat their way out of

[MannyIsGod]

Now I am pretty sure this poll is dead on with it's accuracy. Very reliable....


http://politicalwire.com/archives/20...onal_poll.html

I think the important thing to notice is that most polls have Obama within about 2 or 3 points of 50%. Thats fairly consistent. The McCain numbers have proven more volatile but if Obama is getting 49+ of the vote then he's won. Nadar and Barr will take 2-3% nationally.

[Bartleby]

Looks like Obama has shifted his campaign into fifth gear:

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/poli...mccain_wi.html

[MannyIsGod]

What we may have witnessed is some sort of dead cat bounce for John McCain. One possibility is that, as more voters are taking advantage of early voting windows across the country, the pollsters are finding that some voters whom they considered "unlikely" voters have in fact turned out to vote. Zogby gives Obama a 21-point lead nationwide among people who have already voted, and SurveyUSA and Civitas peg his advantage among early voters in North Carolina at around 20 and 30 points, respectively.

WOW! With record early vote turnout occuring and the Obama GOTV machine running incredibly well this is huge. Look at these numbers and tell me ground games don't matter.



God damn I'm pumped up right now. I can't wait to get to OH.

[Das Texan]

at least mccain can count on wyoming and oklahoma!

[Cry Havoc]

Has anyone noticed that there are 3k+ people viewing the political forum, and that Spurstalk set a new usage record today for the number of simultaneous people online?

[Cry Havoc]

Ah yes. Mentioned in the other thread. Blah.

[MannyIsGod]

Has anyone noticed that there are 3k+ people viewing the political forum, and that Spurstalk set a new usage record today for the number of simultaneous people online?

The other thread made some big time blogs today which is where the guests are coming from.

[Bartleby]

The other thread made some big time blogs today which is where the guests are coming from.

I know about Sullivan's. Were there others?

[MannyIsGod]

Only one, not sure why I made it plural but w/e.

[Bartleby]

Still, that's a load of viewers. Pretty amazing.

[Findog]

Still, that's a load of viewers. Pretty amazing.

I never realized how much of a readership he has.

[Mr. Peabody]

WOW! With record early vote turnout occuring and the Obama GOTV machine running incredibly well this is huge. Look at these numbers and tell me ground games don't matter.



God damn I'm pumped up right now. I can't wait to get to OH.

Damn! I try not to get too excited because I will be that much more disappointed if Obama loses. But god damn this is good news!

[Findog]

Why are they surveying Oklahoma? That, along with Utah, Wyoming and Idaho, are states McCain can't possibly lose.

[MannyIsGod]

Why are they surveying Oklahoma? That, along with Utah, Wyoming and Idaho, are states McCain can't possibly lose.

Pollsters are in the business of providing information to those who pay for it. If a local media outlet wants a poll done for their area, these pollsters will do it regardless of how close the race in the area is. The most likely reason is that the local media outlet (I'm assuming that's who would request the poll be done) was wanting info on other races as well so they just toss in the presidential election as well.

[MannyIsGod]

More of the same...

McCain has NO ground game in many important states.

[DarkReign]

More of the same...

McCain has NO ground game in many important states.

You know, the guy who does that job on CNN is totally amazing.

He does it on the fly, fast and well. Really, really deft and practiced.

[MannyIsGod]

John King and Chuck Todd love themselves some Microsoft Surface. I think those ers have the coolest gigs. John King is going to tear that up election night.

[whottt]

So tell me Manny...why do you think the polls are tightening up?

I already stated why I think so...it's so they can claim to be a legitimate indicator of who will win elections...and if those guys continue polling the way they have been that certainly won't be the case.

[Mr. Peabody]

So tell me Manny...why do you think the polls are tightening up?

I already stated why I think so...it's so they can claim to be a legitimate indicator of who will win elections...and if those guys continue polling the way they have been that certainly won't be the case.

Are the polls tightening? The RCP poll of polls is at 7.2.

RCP Average 10/14 - 10/20 -- -- 50.2 43.0 Obama +7.2
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 10/17 - 10/20 1159 RV 2.9 52 42 Obama +10
Rasmussen Reports 10/18 - 10/20 3000 LV 2.0 50 46 Obama +4
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby 10/18 - 10/20 1211 LV 2.9 50 42 Obama +8
Hotline/FD 10/18 - 10/20 791 LV 3.5 47 41 Obama +6
Gallup (Traditional)* 10/18 - 10/20 2384 LV 2.0 51 44 Obama +7
Gallup (Expanded)* 10/18 - 10/20 2299 LV 2.0 52 42 Obama +10
ABC News/Wash Post 10/17 - 10/20 1324 LV 2.5 53 44 Obama +9
CNN/Opinion Research 10/17 - 10/19 764 LV 3.5 51 46 Obama +5
Ipsos/McClatchy 10/16 - 10/20 773 LV 3.5 50 42 Obama +8
IBD/TIPP 10/16 - 10/20 1088 LV 3.0 47 41 Obama +6
Pew Research 10/16 - 10/19 2382 LV -- 53 39 Obama +14
GWU/Battleground 10/14 - 10/20 1000 LV 3.1 48 47 Obama +1