Reply With Quote
Four of the same picks I made
Ok, plus $840.
110 to win 100
Indy - 3.5
Ariz - 6.5
Pitt - 2.5
NE - 14.5
Buff + 2.5
Caro - 9
Will decide on the GB game if ahead.
Last edited by Avante; 09-26-2015 at 06:08 PM.
Four of the same picks I made
The Colts in a must win situation vs a rookie QB.Four of the same picks I made
Cards a strong HF vs the division.
Buff 3-1 last 4 ATS vs Mia, getting points!!!
Carolina 3-1 last 4 vs NO with Drew Brees
Pats a great ATS team heading into a bye week.
Steelers 6-2 ATS last 8 vs Rams.
Historically speaking I usually hang around plus 300-500 the first half of a season, I make my $$$$ in the second half when we have a better read on these teams.
Those who play this silly....hahaha!!!!....early on are never heard of once the $$$$ starts pouring in, funny how that works, ha~~~~~~~
Last two seasons as of right now + $2980 (here).
Last edited by Avante; 09-26-2015 at 06:08 PM.
Agreed w/ all that but the Steelers Rams game was too hard for me to bet on. St. Louis is a jekyll and hyde team and I'm worried they might randomly have a really good game after a week when they looked like . They're talented enough to beat anyone.
4-2 giving me a plus $1020 on the season.
Will lay the points with GB tomorrow night play 220 to win 200.
Don't like taking a road team in these night games, especially vs a team desperate for a win like the Lions. But can't go against Peyton either so....pass.
Then there's...1-4 ATS last 4 vs Lions. And, this will be the Lions home opener.
I'm noticing that these teams with a game in London next week looked like they were ready to pack their pages. Hmmmm?
Could this be another trend/angle to look at?
Can the Raiders fly back to Oakland, then fly back to to Chicago and win back to back road games, something they have done in ages.
Teams playing back to back road games are 1-8, only the Falcons have won both.
can the bears put an NFL product on the field, with Jimmy Clausen as their starting QB?
Keep in mind they have lost to GB/Arizona/Seahawks, the Raiders beating two teams with 1 win among them. When they faced a team with a winning record they got crushed.
Obviously Clausen sucks but they know it and would come up with a game plan with his limitations in mind.
I need to see the Raiders beat a team with a winning record before I can hand out props.
Like I always say....slow down give things some time.
Keeping that in mind if you look at that Falcons schedule, they have already played the toughest three weeks. Other than their two Carolina games it looks like smooth sailing. If....if....they are for real.
They could go 9-0 before their bye. Very realistic to see a 13-3 if they are for real.
Dan Quinn making a huge difference.
Does any division rival the AFC West when it comes to QB's?
Peyton
Alex Smith
Rivers
Carr
Not a total dud there.
As of right now.
1.NE
2.GB
3.Ariz
4.Atl
5.Cinncy
Ravens the biggest disapointment. Colts would be next.
Biggest surprise the Falcons.
This is just too easy, ok 5-2 with this Packer win, plus $1220 on the season.
There was an article on ESPN about how Vegas/betting sites took a huge bath this weekend because of how easy some of these games were. You can probably add this one to the list
I'm in that old know a guy who knows a guy. Yep, a middle man. Not sure who I'm dealing with, but he does pay off on Mondays and tomorrow. Obviously he expects the same, whoever he is.There was an article on ESPN about how Vegas/betting sites took a huge bath this weekend because of how easy some of these games were. You can probably add this one to the list
As few plays I'm looking at for week 4.
Arizona at home "again" vs Rams, the Cards have gone 6-2 in the last 8 ATS in this "spot".
Atlanta at home vs Texans. Falcons are smoking right now.
Cinncy at home vs the Chiefs on the road "again".
Seattle at home "again" vs a Lions team looking bad. Seahawls 4-1 ATS in this "spot".
Indy at home vs Jax, Indy 5-0 ATS in this "spot".
Just a few that look playable right now.
Start paying attention to teams heading into a bye, and coming off a bye, it is a big deal from an ATS perspective.
Last edited by Avante; 09-28-2015 at 10:11 PM.
Most of those games aren't up on yet on the site I use, but Arizona was already up at -7 which I put $220 on. They look unstoppable at home and I don't see why the Rams would change that.
I do like Atlanta at home against Houston. Houston's win against TB might get them points when it was as unimpressive a win as it gets.
Arizona beat the Rams 31-14 in Arizona in 2014. Beat them 30-10 in Arizona in 2013. No need to see anything dramatically different now.
I can't find any strong trends or any "spot", for either Atlanta or Houston. Here it's just a gut feeling.
I'll sit down Thursday night during that game and start trying to find the best "spots" for week 4. I have all the info I need, it's just a matter of searching out the best plays.
what did the "trends" and "spots" say about the raiders traveling east to cleveland?
Little man, I played seven "spots" this week, hit on 5 of them and won $380. My "spots" so far in 2015 have me at plus over a 1000. Why fight it like ya do?
If you had bet against the Raiders as RD's the last two decades when they play in the eastern time zone, look at how much you'd be up?
And if you recall they lost in Cleveland in 2014 13-23.
Dude, they met up with a good team in Cinncy, they got crushed. Then they beat a Ravens team falling apart and a Browns team with no QB.
Slow down little fella, ok?
Last edited by Avante; 09-28-2015 at 11:11 PM.
I just checked and ATL is -7 right now which is too much for me since they love to play down to their compe ion.
NYG +6 @ Buffalo caught my eye though.
Yep, we are seeing an over reaction to 3-0. The Falcons not ready for a -7, will pass.
The Giants are 5-1-1 in this "spot". But...I need a little more time with Buffalo now that Ryan is there. Another pass. I did like them as a small dog but as a HF, hmmmm?
Nicely done. I went 2-3 this week, 10-6 on the year.
The thing with me is I always start off strong and fade as the season goes by.
I thought you said it gets easier!
Right now these teams are just playing, too early to start looking at playoff positioning. After Turkey Day is when we start seeing some seriousness, this is when I start racking in the $$$$. Seeing a "spot" and getting some real intensity. We start to see teams distancing themselves after week 8, some honest efforts.
Pay attention to the playoff situations, look for spots where one team really needs it and the other doesn't.
How much do you play on a game? Money management a big deal.
There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)
Posting Permissions
