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Dallas is folding like a cheap lawn chair...perhaps you were right about them beating Detroit being the best case scenario. Had I known that Dallas would lose 2straight games after the Detrot game, I would have rooted for them in the Pistons' game.
The Colts have a 25% chance of winning the SB, 1-3. Therefore, the odds against them are 75%, 3-1.
DET has a 78% chance of winning the EC, 7-2. Therefore, the odds against them are 22%, 2-7.
Last edited by DisgruntledLionFan#54,927; 03-30-2006 at 10:32 PM.
Dallas is folding like a cheap lawn chair...perhaps you were right about them beating Detroit being the best case scenario. Had I known that Dallas would lose 2straight games after the Detrot game, I would have rooted for them in the Pistons' game.
Jimcs50 you ignorant .
If the Spurs end up tied with the Pistons, Ima come to you house, Ima piss on your gardenias.
As far as the "chances of them winning" the SB, that can only be true if the odds for all the teams combined add up to 100%. Do sports books actually do that, ie.., make sure that the summed odds eqal 100%?
bear of sugar is in da house
Jimcs50 you ignorant .
If the Spurs end up tied with the Pistons, Ima come to you house, Ima piss on your gardenias.
No, not the gardenias.
Shoogarbear, I missed you!Well, that's at least one person then.
i missed you more, havent seen you in awhile!Shoogarbear, I missed you!
Hi T-Pain
I had problems with my PC
It was down since yesterday morning and just got it back running a little while ago
I missed your bravatar!Shoogarbear, I missed you!
I missed your bravatar!
I can't put it up right now because I'm running some programs for a virus that tried to swarm it's way in
Is that the reason why our Sigs are off?
awesomeHi T-Pain
I had problems with my PC
It was down since yesterday morning and just got it back running a little while ago
Sigs are always turned off during a game, otherwise the game blog slows the whole site down. Usually they're back on the next day.
I can't put it up right now because I'm running some programs for a virus that tried to swarm it's way in
Is that the reason why our Sigs are off?
Well, I am hoping to put up my avatar up tomorrow.
Just for you
Thank you Shoog
Silly PolandThank you Shoog
Since when is betting fair?
Are you forgetting that betting lines and odds on futures grossly favor the house?
The only statistical model or rationale Vegas uses is their own...
did anyone mention this thread should be a classic?
oso de azucar??? dass funny!!
Yes, Indeed
That's the point I was trying to make. Both you and Jim said that odds have to do with the chance of a team winning.
So the ultimate conclusion is the "odds" have nothing to do with "chance of a team winning", it's just an artificial construct by Vegas. So saying a team with 3-to-1 odds against has a "25% chance of winning" is just not true. And so there's no "conservation of odds" when Vegas goes about setting the line for the various teams, i.e., the odds of one team has nothing to do with the ulative odds of the other teams.
Shoogar is correct here... they are called odds, but they are not really probabilities.
I never saidthat the odds were their chance of winning, it is not like a roll of the die or the toss of the coin, it is just the odds that you get when you bet on that particular team to win.
Dtroit and SA are the favorites, but that does not mean that they actully hae a 75% chance of winnng.
Now if you look at a historical act of hw many times the #1 seeded teams made the Finals, then you can surmise that the fav made the Finals, X amt of times in history. But that does not really determine anything at all, because it is not a mathematical fact.
Shoogarbear, I missed you!
Shoog, do you want Phoenix to beat Detroit today or Detroit to win?
I think I want Phoenix because we wat Phoenix to lose more ground to SA in the race for HCA.
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