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  1. #1
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    http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/articl...&feed=rss.news


    Post-convention swing state polls are tipping toward Sen. John McCain, the TV pundits are waxing about "The Palin Factor," and Sen. Barack Obama's California supporters are freaking out about a race Democrats were uncommonly confident about only a month ago.


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    Conversely, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin's addition to the GOP ticket jolted Northern California Republicans out of what one described as their "Underground Railroad" existence in one of the nation's most liberal regions. Ever since her speech to the Republican National Convention on Sept. 3, party officials say volunteers have been contacting California GOP offices in numbers unseen since Ronald Reagan was on the ballot for the White House.

    Despite generating all this fear and enthusiasm, the Palin Factor hasn't changed the race in California. Obama beats McCain 52 percent to 36 percent in a Field Poll released last week, and neither campaign is broadcasting ads in the state's expensive television markets. On Thursday, Palin canceled her rally and fundraising visit to the state planned for this week.

    So Californians seeking to get involved in either campaign have options: pick up the phone, get on a plane, or hop in a car and contact a voter in a swing state that's still in play. Nevada, New Mexico and Colorado are the closest swing states. Most of the Great Lakes states are still up for grabs, and Florida always beckons.

    Lizzy Gore was tired of preaching to the blue choir when she was living in Redwood City during the primaries this year and found the same unanimity when she moved to Rhode Island three months ago. So last week, she began an online campaign at thepoint.com where she started raising money for a newspaper ad that would argue that Palin would not be a good vice president. If the online effort raises $21,285, she will buy and place the ad in the Cincinnati Enquirer in swing state Ohio.

    "So we're preaching to swing voters," Gore said. "That's the plan, anyway, to create an emotionally resonant message that convinces those folks that Sarah Palin is not who they think she is."

    On the California section of Obama's Web site, www.barackobama.com, there is an appeal for the "Drive for Change" program that reads: "As an Obama supporter in California, you can make a huge impact by traveling to Nevada to talk with voters about why Barack Obama and Joe Biden will bring the change we need." The California Young Democrats are organizing weekly road trips across the border, too.

    Nationally, major players are starting to readjust their plans to the shifting electoral map. Last week, the liberal online giant MoveOn.org announced it would spend $5 million to $7 million on television advertising - double the amount the 4.2 million-member organization had expected to spend, executive director Eli Pariser said.

    "In August, we were at half of 2004 in terms of energy," Pariser said. Four years ago, the organization raised $6.8 million in September; it already has raised $5 million this month. "In the last three weeks, we've seen this enormous surge in energy, driven both by, 'Oh, there's a real race here,' and also by, frankly, the Palin pick.

    "That scared a lot of our members and got them off their chairs," Pariser said.

    MoveOn's advertising will be targeted at 22 states - swing states, plus what Pariser referred to as "a wish list" of traditionally red states where Obama might be compe ive. Its more immediate goal is to register 500,000 under-30 voters before the Oct. 6 deadline in some states.

    But Republicans aren't giving up on California. California Republican Party chief operating officer Bill Christiansen said some private polls put the two candidates within five points of each other, and the McCain campaign is staffing 50 offices throughout the state. Four years ago, the Bush-Cheney campaign barely had a presence in California, and spent little money. "But we are fully funded this time," Christiansen said, declining to give a figure.

    The state GOP is making 125,000 voter contacts every weekend, "which blows the doors off of what we were doing four years ago," said Christiansen. "Sarah Palin has put a shot of energy into this race."

    Last week, the McCain campaign e-mailed supporters to say it was "looking for volunteers who are willing to spend the final 10 days of the campaign helping in a nearby state." But at the San Mateo County branch of the McCain campaign, 300 people turned out last week for its volunteer kickoff event; the turnout was goosed by Palin, organizers said. Now the office is welcoming first-timer campaigners like Phil Lehman, a 63-year-old Foster City resident.

    His reason for volunteering: "Sarah."

    "There's a realness to her, a believability," Lehman said. "I think she's going to eat Joe Biden's lunch at the (vice presidential) debate."

    It will largely be up to volunteers like Lehman to spread the word in California and beyond. From Sept. 6-13, broadcast television viewers in Grand Rapids, Mich., saw 1,120 TV ads from either the Obama or McCain campaigns, according to the nonpartisan Wisconsin Advertising Project. That's 1,120 more than viewers in San Francisco saw.

  2. #2
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    BTW, just for the record...I'm not calling California. But the McCain Camp seems to think something is going on there.

  3. #3
    W4A1 143 43CK? Nbadan's Avatar
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    Despite generating all this fear and enthusiasm, the Palin Factor hasn't changed the race in California. Obama beats McCain 52 percent to 36 percent in a Field Poll released last week,
    Could you go work for the McCain camp? I would love for him to dump useless money into California...

  4. #4
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    $$$$$

  5. #5
    bandwagoner fans suck ducks's Avatar
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    California Republican Party chief operating officer Bill Christiansen said some private polls put the two candidates within five points of each other

  6. #6
    Senior Member TheMadHatter's Avatar
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    I'm sure Obama is ting bricks at the thought of CA or NY going red. Where the do you idiots come up with this ?


  7. #7
    W4A1 143 43CK? Nbadan's Avatar
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    Looks like Dems and Independents are fearful of a Palin Vice-Presidency...

    Barack Obama received a minor fundraising bump after he named Joe Biden as his running mate but raked in huge sums after Republican rival John McCain named Sarah Palin as his vice presidential nominee.

    Obama raised $66 million in August to McCain's $47 million. Obama's receipts included $22 million in contributions of $200 or less, virtually all of it sent via the Internet, Obama's latest report to the Federal Election Commission shows.

    One of the most striking differences between McCain and Obama's August disclosures was donors' reaction to the candidates' vice presidential selections.

    McCain received $8.8 million in the two days after he announced that Palin would be his running mate. Obama received what for him is a modest sum - $1.7 million - on the day he announced his choice of Biden and $694,000 the following day.
    Link

  8. #8
    United Autodidact Society Shastafarian's Avatar
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    I'm sure Obama is ting bricks at the thought of CA or NY going red. Where the do you idiots come up with this ?

    I'm guessing they pull it out of their asses. But you gotta admit, this is hilarious.

  9. #9
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    BTW dan...she postponed the events because of the UN Deal and she's going to hit New York for a couple of days first.

    Article:

    http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/articl...MNLF130GJP.DTL

    Palin postpones California fundraising events
    Carla Marinucci, Chronicle Political Writer

    Friday, September 19, 2008


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    (09-18) 17:29 PDT --

    GOP vice presidential candidate Gov. Sarah Palin, who energized California Republicans by announcing her first major campaign swing here next week, has rescheduled the high-dollar fundraisers in both Northern and Southern California, campaign officials said.


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    Campaign literature sent out Thursday said the Alaska governor's two fundraisers set for next week have been postponed until Oct. 4 and 5 - after her scheduled debate with Democratic vice presidential candidate Joe Biden on Oct. 2. The campaign says she will be at the U.N. General Assembly in New York with Sen. John McCain, her GOP running mate.

    The General Assembly is set to open Tuesday with a speech by President Bush, but White House and State Department officials were unaware of any plans by either McCain or Palin to attend those events. She had been scheduled to attend a rally against Iran in New York next week, but the organizers dropped Palin on Thursday after Hillary Rodham Clinton dropped out earlier in the week.

    [b]Palin was to hit the Golden State next Thursday and Friday for a two-day swing, and the change of plans came as a shock to party insiders, who were distributing 15,000 tickets to her Friday rally in Orange County.[b] There was no information on when or if the rally will be rescheduled.

    Palin's $1,000-a-head fundraising events Thursday in Orange County and the Bay Area generated such high ticket sales that they were moved to bigger venues - the Orange County Performing Arts Center and the Santa Clara Convention Center.

    McCain campaign spokesman Rick Gorka would only confirm events have been taken off the calender because of scheduling conflicts.

    The change comes in the same week a new Field Poll showed that Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama still leads Republican John McCain in California by a whopping 16-point margin.

    Palin's pullout raises speculation that the GOP ticket, which has insisted it will compete here, may be reassessing its presence in the Golden State.

    California isn't the only state where Palin may pull out of fundraising appearances in coming days. One campaign source says her tentatively rejiggered schedule includes scratching a fundraiser in Virginia Beach, Va., on Thursday, while McCain's wife, Cindy, is expected to fill in for Palin at two events in Washington state and in Wyoming on Wednesday.

    Some Republicans say the changes come because Team McCain wants Palin to be more consistently at McCain's side - in part because she has been a far greater draw for crowds and press than the candidate himself. "We're seeing an unusual thing of a real teamlike ticket - so why not keep it up?" one California GOP insider said.

    Others suggested Palin may need more time to prepare for her televised vice presidential debate with Sen. Biden of Delaware, scheduled for St. Louis on Oct. 2.

    "They need to get her into VP camp training," said Democratic campaign strategist Bob Mulholland. "If you have several million dollars coming in (in fundraisers), canceling means you either have the flu - or the flu about your debate coming up."

    Gorka, the McCain spokesman, said: "The governor has a hectic schedule, and she's more than capable of dealing with it. It's just rescheduling. The scheduling in any campaign is very fluid."



    In Business: Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin asked California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger last month to veto a bill imposing a fee on shipping containers to fund pollution mitigation. C3

  10. #10
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    lib journalists are funny...

    #1. Acting like she pulled out of a VA rally due to a lack of interest...she pulled in 13k people in bum Minnesota and I think there was one rally in VA that had 15k people.

    You can see how stupid this is by the attendance today in Florida.

    I think every appearance by Palin has sold out so far and I don't think she's had less than 10k people show up.



    #2. She just had to get that shot in at the end

  11. #11
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    So what say base...you gonna kick in a grand to go see the future VP stump?

  12. #12
    Believe. Fabbs's Avatar
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    Paris Hilton gets it that no way is Calif gonna vote in some old wrinkley oil pig sucker.
    Whoott, can you let Paris school you?

  13. #13
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    Paris Hilton gets it that no way is Calif gonna vote in some old wrinkley oil pig sucker.
    Whoott, can you let Paris school you?
    I'm sure they would love to win California...but even if they don't they can make some huge $$$$$ there. Ditto NY.

  14. #14
    2nd Verse Same as the 1st Oh, Gee!!'s Avatar
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    McCain's gonna win CA. And the Pats are going to go undefeated without Brady.

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    Believe. Anti.Hero's Avatar
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    Probably all the illegals.

  16. #16
    Roll The Dice Hook Dem's Avatar
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    McCain's gonna win CA. And the Pats are going to go undefeated without Brady.
    Whoops! Guess you didn't check the scores from yesterday. Pats lost.

  17. #17
    2nd Verse Same as the 1st Oh, Gee!!'s Avatar
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    exactly.

  18. #18
    United Autodidact Society Shastafarian's Avatar
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    shhhhhh, don't help them out. We need to let them figure it out on their own. How else will they learn otherwise?

  19. #19
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    Whoops! Guess you didn't check the scores from yesterday. Pats lost.
    Yeah baby, those mean old Dolphins done did it to them......hehehehe.
    And those cowboys done made a dip out of the cheese heads. LOL


  20. #20
    2nd Verse Same as the 1st Oh, Gee!!'s Avatar
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    Yeah baby, those mean old Dolphins done did it to them......hehehehe.
    And those cowboys done made a dip out of the cheese heads. LOL

    another one who doesn't get it.

  21. #21
    United Autodidact Society Shastafarian's Avatar
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    another one who doesn't get it.
    It's ok, they can get it on their own. We shouldn't push them too hard right now, while they're still learning. They need to make their own mistakes and figure things out on their own.

  22. #22
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    Next Whottt's going to be telling us DC is in play.

  23. #23
    Murdering Prostitutes Findog's Avatar
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    Next Whottt's going to be telling us DC is in play.
    Whottt is cautiously calling Hawaii a state that "leans" for Obama but is still in play for McCain.

  24. #24
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    Whottt's already told me black people aren't voting for Obama.

  25. #25
    Murdering Prostitutes Findog's Avatar
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    Whottt's already told me black people aren't voting for Obama.
    I believe whottt is actually Morris:

    http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2086667/posts

    I like how even the freepers were calling him out for his ridiculous map.

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