THERE IS one useful thing about President Bush's ''progressive indexing" proposal for Social Security.
It finally makes explicit what we suspected -- that Bush intends benefit cuts for most American workers in order to finance his privatization plan.
Privatization, let's recall, requires either new taxes or increased government borrowing or benefit cuts -- you can't spend the same money twice. Under the present system, payroll taxes pay the cost of Social Security retirement checks. Bush would divert some of that tax money to optional private accounts. Consequently,
privatization would worsen Social Security's modest projected shortfall by trillions of dollars unless benefits are cut. "Progressive indexing" is a disguised benefit cut, but the disguise is pitifully transparent. Here's how it works:
Under the present Social Security system, both workers and retirees are protected against inflation. During the four decades of my working life, Americans' real incomes and consumer prices have gone steadily up. So if I retire, say, in 2016, I will get an initial Social Security check based not on my income when I first earned a paycheck in 1966 but on my lifetime contribution to the system adjusted for current prices. And the inflation adjustments continue after I retire.
(This cost-of-living guarantee is why Social Security beats any private alternative.)....
According to the calculations of Dean Baker, an economist at the Center for Economic and Policy Research, the Bush plan would guarantee only the bottom 30 percent of wage earners the benefits they get under the present system. Currently, that's people making less than $22,000 a year. Everyone else would get a benefit cut, and the cuts would increase over time.