A blueprint for beating San Antonio:
A. You need to get physical with them ... and Seattle has the most physical frontcourt in the West. Guys like Fortson and Evans will absolutely knock Mr. Eva Longoria (aka Tony Parker) down the first time he comes cruising down the lane (like the Lakers did last year). Same goes for Manu Ginobili. Does anybody think foul machines like Fortson, Evans and Jerome James will allow him to get in the lane or to the rim without forcing him to pay a heavy price? Also, Duncan has always been one of the classiest players around -- what happens to him when Collison is throwing elbows around, or Fortson's pigtails whip around and catch him in the eye? You need to do this stuff against the Spurs; I'm not sure they like rolling up their sleeves and getting dirty, especially with Malik Rose gone. Who's sticking up for TD when Fortson clotheslines him into the basket support?
B. You need to keep throwing big guys at Duncan ... and the Sonics have four head-knockers to throw(Fortson, Reggie Evans, Jerome James and Nick Colison). I see him making the Sad Duncan Face a lot, the one where he stands next to Popovich and looks like a son who just let down his dad in Little League.
C. You need a small forward who can post up the smaller Spurs guys (Ginobili, Bowen, etc.) and take advantage of them ... and the Sonics probably have the closest thing to a mismatch right now in the 6'10" Rashard Lewis. On paper, anyway.
D. You need a great coach. Not a good coach -- a GREAT coach. And this year, by elevating his team to heights nobody expected prior to the season, Nate McMillan has elevated himself to this level. He'll know exactly how to get histeam to maximize their abilities - he has all season - push the pace, give the ball to Allen and see what he can do against Bowen, knock bodies to the ground, bang the bejeezus out of Duncan (who's been banged up all season).
So why aren't I picking the Sonics? I still don't trust them yet -- the right team can get them into one of those six or ten game funks like they had right before the playoffs, and I don't like the way they react when Allens shot isn't falling. If you're The Guy for a good team, you need to figure out ways to help them when you're not scoring. When Allen isn't scoring, the rest of the team looks lost, and starts to tighen up and clank shots too. Not a good quality.