I think it is because the Spurs are virtually unbeatable while closing out a series up 3-1 I think. I saw some stat about that.
Usually close out games are not close. They end up being blowouts most times, so I can understand why the 6pt margin.
Also, we do not know the status of Rashard Lewis also. So there's a good chance that if he plays(gametime decision) the odds would change.

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