projected player scoring averages.

[analyzed]

I know it's just been 3 games. but this early based on historical stats, players who got the opprtunity to play significantly ( splitter din't) . One can aleady project their averages by the end of the season plus or minus 3 points.

So here will be the average of your Spurs (plus or minus 3 points)

Ginobili, Manu 19.7
Jefferson, Richard 17.3
Parker, Tony 17.3
Duncan, Tim 14.7
Neal, Gary 8.0
Anderson, James 7.7
Hill, George 7.3
McDyess, Antonio 5.3
Blair, DeJuan 4.3

Read more: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/bas...#ixzz14C2aTWfF

[spurs_2108]

Aren't these just their averages right now?

[analyzed]

Yup there the actuall current averages after 3 games. But you can more or less project already what each player is going to average for the season (plus minus 3 points)
for example I project Manu will ave anywhere from 16- 20 pts. RJ 14-17, Tony 16-20. TD 14- 17 pts. Give Splitter 10 games and we will know what he will avge. I'm looking at 10 -14 pts. especially if he plays at least 25 minutes

[TwelveGs210]

Lol @ your logic. Do you honestly think Jefferson will average 17.3?

[in2deep]

Parker 17
Manu 16
Duncan 14
RJ 14
Hill 12
Blair 8
Splitter 7
Anderson 7
Bonner 5
Neal 4
McDyess 4
Temple 2

[romain.star]

Parker: 20
Manu: 18
TD: 15
RJ: 13
Splitter: 9
Hill: 8
Blair: 6
Anderson: 5
Bonner: 4
McDyess: 4
Neal: 3
Temple: 1

[FalleNxWiZarDx]

im so happy to have RJ right now... he is a different player out there!

[wontstartdumbthreads]

I know it's just been 3 games. but this early based on historical stats, players who got the opprtunity to play significantly ( splitter din't) . One can aleady project their averages by the end of the season plus or minus 3 points.

So here will be the average of your Spurs (plus or minus 3 points)

Ginobili, Manu 19.7
Jefferson, Richard 17.3
Parker, Tony 17.3
Duncan, Tim 14.7
Neal, Gary 8.0
Anderson, James 7.7
Hill, George 7.3
McDyess, Antonio 5.3
Blair, DeJuan 4.3

Read more: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/bas...#ixzz14C2aTWfF

LOL. What??
Where does the 3 points +/- come from?
Can you post a pic of your distribution curve?

[Ed Helicopter Jones]

Could someone check last year to see if this is even remotely credible? I can tell you that Blair, Duncan, Jefferson and Tiago will all see their averages move by more than three points from their first three games. And to say +/- 3 points is actually a 6 point spread, so the dart board you're throwing your prediction at is really pretty darn big.

[wontstartdumbthreads]

Could someone check last year to see if this is even remotely credible? I can tell you that Blair, Duncan, Jefferson and Tiago will all see their averages move by more than three points from their first three games. And to say +/- 3 points is actually a 6 point spread, so the dart board you're throwing your prediction at is really pretty darn big.

Wheter last years first three game averages were close to the final averages is irrelevant.

With a sample size of 3, there is no credibility to this. Not to mention there is no consideration for minutes played. I think Neal had 1 minute in one of the games.

Besides RJ who amazingly has been the most consistent, the standard deviations for the rest of the starting 5 are 3.78 and higher. With Timmy and Neal being over 8.

I think the OP is either sarcastic or a crackpot.

[ohmwrecker]

I don't need to check to see if this is credible. It's nowhere in the realm of credibility. Three games is not a large enough sample. Especially the first three games of the season before rotations are locked down and Splitter will not only have his own stats, but also affect the stats of others.

This thread is a complete and total waste of time.

[TwelveGs210]

This thread is a complete and total waste of time.

I totally agree, this is why I "Lol'd" at his logic. Looks like Luis Scola is going to average over 30 this year, and possibly win the scoring le. This will not sit well with Spurs fans.

[wontstartdumbthreads]

Well, I did some number crunching and extensive statistical work and I developed a graph to go along with the OP's projections.

[8FOR!3]

Well, I did some number crunching and extensive statistical work and I developed a graph to go along with the OP's projections.

U muss be rilly rilly gudd at maff.

[wontstartdumbthreads]

U muss be rilly rilly gudd at maff.

Obviously. But thanks for the kind words. I find that it's much easier to put things in visual form rather than try to explain the nuances of statistics to the masses with words alone. But I digress, the credit for the theory and crack analysis should go to the OP.

[Drewlius]

Well, I did some number crunching and extensive statistical work and I developed a graph to go along with the OP's projections.

/thread

[Rummpd]

[QUOTE=analyzed;4715985]I know it's just been 3 games. but this early based on historical stats, players who got the opprtunity to play significantly ( splitter din't) . One can aleady project their averages by the end of the season plus or minus 3 points.

So here will be the average of your Spurs (plus or minus 3 points)

I would like to know the reference for this hypothesis - 3/82 games is a very small sample size and I for one expect at least Blair and Duncan both to be outside the narrow standard deviation. I would expect it takes about at least a 10 game sample for a non injured player playing his usual number of minutes to get this tight of standard deviation around the mean.

[TwelveGs210]

Well, we can only hope. If Jefferson stays aggressive all season then maybe, but if he is going to try and shoot nothin' but jumpers, I doubt it.

[Ed Helicopter Jones]

Well, I did some number crunching and extensive statistical work and I developed a graph to go along with the OP's projections.

Love it....nice work!