Reply With Quote
em.
per ESPN first take
Magic: 5%
Spurs 10%
Lakers: 25%
Heat: 28%
Celtics: 32%
Last edited by BlairForceDejuan; 01-19-2011 at 10:44 AM.
em.
He gives the Magic a 5% and a 28% chance?
He gives the Magic a 5% and a 28% chance?
haha oops, thanks
lol
I think it is fair actually. We got swept outta round 2 by the Suns last year. Duncan is older and not what he was and the Spurs have not won a le in a few years. So despite the record people think we have a lot to prove and we do have a lot to prove. That said i think this is the deepest most focused Spurs team we have had since maybe 2005.
Just means he is somewhere between 11-90% wrong - fine with me.
I would love to have 1:10 odds right now and the current lines by Vegas are at: http://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/
Spurs have gone from 20:1 to 9:2 already.
Same site has a poll where now 36% believe Spurs will win WC vs. 47% LAL and that is about right IMO (Mavs at 9%, Jazz 5% and others 3%)
Last edited by Rummpd; 01-19-2011 at 11:07 AM.
I don't see how the Heat have a large chance. THey have a terrible coach, no bigmen and the worst end of a close game plays in the NBA.(just let LeHype throw it up from anywhere)
I'd say:
Heat 10%
Magic 10%
Spurs 20%
Lakers 25%
Celtics 35%
From what they did last night in a tight game, this seems absolutely true. Twice they had last-minute possessions (one that ended the 4th quarter and one late in overtime) that ended in Lebron heaves from more than 25 feet.
With those guys, you have to be able to get a better shot than that.
douchard is a huge lebron fan......this doesnt surprise me...
At the beginning of the season, we would have been happy to know that the Spurs would be among the top 5 contenders at mid-season.
Not that I'm in any kind of position to question Vegas odds-makers, but I'm curious to know how the Spurs have only gone from 20/1 to 9/2 when the Heat have gone from 25/1 to 2/1...especially with 3 out of the 5 (including Miami) odds-on favorites in the East.
The Heat will have the harder road in getting to, and winning, the Finals than the Spurs will. In the West, the Lakers (who have been playing poorly) are the only current threat to the Spurs. In the East, the Heat have real competetion from Bos, Orl, Chi, and will more than likely have to play 2 of those 3 teams on the road to the Finals.
The Spurs will have an easier road (if they get there) to the Finals, and will likely have home court, yet the Heat are tied for the favorite to win the Championship...doesn't make much sense to me.
*I fully expect the Lakers to be playing much better than they are now come playoff time, and they are two time defending champs. So when I say the Spurs will have an easier road I am not dismissing LA, but rather whichever other two team the Spurs will play before them.
"so you're telling me there's a chance?"
That logic would be fine to defend Broussard's rankings except that he gives the Heat a 28% chance and they have a lot more to prove than the Spurs.
ESPN commentators are contractually obligated to overhype the Heat.
ESPN is under contract to kiss the out of Lebron's ass..
It's in the manual..
"so you're telling me there's a chance?"
Yes!
^ Truth 100%
odds are set then adjusted based on the amount of bets they receive. The initial odds had the heat as underdogs to win, but as the majority of people have gone out and bet on them the odds have changed to reduce the payoff. The new odds only affect people placing bets now, if you placed your bet at the beginning of the season at 24:1 odds your odds and payout will stay the same.
I would say:
Lakers 30% Back to back champs, still are better than record
Celtics 35% Should and could have one last year
Spurs 20% Best record in league, huge wins over leagues best
Heat 10% Still unproven, light backcourt. Choker Lebron
Magic 5% Trade helping but they still have van gundy...
All that the best team needs is one chance..
The Heat have no business being ahead of the Spurs. I don't mind LA and BOS.
Agreed. The Heat bandwagon must be filled with musical chairs, because I've never seen people hop on and off so quickly.
Heat get Lebron? They are great!
Heat start 9-8? They are terrible!
Heat have a great December? They are great!
Heat lose 4 straight? They are terrible!
You get the idea.
Frankly, that team has shown very little consistency or chemistry, which was the big question mark for them going in. Furthermore, everybody knows that the Heat going anywhere will hinge on their Big Three staying healthy, which...they have not.
Still, the hype machine is going full steam ahead.
There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)
Posting Permissions
