Reply With Quote...and some around here are still predicting a Kerry landslide. 8o
story.news.yahoo.com/news...&ncid=2043
Kerry Pulls Campaign Ads From Four States
Wed Sep 22, 7:41 PM ET
By RON FOURNIER, AP Political Writer
WASHINGTON - Bowing to political realities, Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry (news - web sites) has canceled plans to begin broadcasting television commercials in Arizona, Arkansas, Louisiana and the perennial battleground of Missouri.
The decision to shrink his political playing field reduces Kerry's strategic options — at least for now — in the homestretch of the campaign. George W. Bush won all four states in 2000, and Kerry can't win the White House without taking a state or two from the Republican in bent.
While pulling back from some states that Bush carried, Kerry is still strongly competing in several GOP-leaning battlegrounds, including Ohio, Florida, Colorado and Nevada.
Ads were scheduled to begin airing Oct. 5 in Arizona, Arkansas, Louisiana and Missouri as part of a $5 million investment through Nov. 2, but campaign advisers concluded Kerry isn't doing well enough in the states to justify the cost.
The campaign, which has reserved commercial time in 20 states through Election Day, notified television stations in the four states that Kerry would not follow through on his plans for the first week of October.
Plans are still in place to air ads starting the second week of October, campaign officials said, but those will likely be tabled, too.
The officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said Arizona, Arkansas and Louisiana are unlikely to see Kerry ads unless there is a major shift in the campaign's dynamics. Missouri is still the subject of debate inside the campaign, with some advisers pushing to advertise in the traditional swing state.
With its burgeoning exurbs and rural areas turning more Republican every day, Missouri cannot be won by Kerry in a close race, some advisers have concluded. But some think it's important for the Democrat to spend money there, forcing President Bush (news - web sites) to defend the GOP turf.
Bush and the Republican National Committee (news - web sites) have been advertising moderately in Arizona and Missouri. With Kerry chased from those states, Bush can shift their budgets — $330,000 this week alone — to states that Democratic presidential nominee Al Gore (news - web sites) won four years ago.
Kerry spent about $15 million in the four states, half of it in Missouri, trying to put them in play. It was part of a strategy to stretch the battlefield into GOP territory, from Virginia and North Carolina in the South to Arizona in the Southwest and Nevada in the West.
Constantly shifting their strategies, both campaigns recently increased their ad budgets in West Virginia and Colorado. Bush has boosted his ads in Minnesota, Maine and Oregon — all states won by Gore that Kerry can't afford to lose.
Ohio and Florida, with a combined 47 electoral votes, offer Kerry his best hope of claiming territory won by Bush in 2000. After that, the options dwindle to a few small states: New Hampshire, Nevada, West Virginia and Colorado.
Kerry ads are running in 14 of the 20 states in which he reserved commercial time. His schedule calls for ads to begin airing next month in Washington state and North Carolina.
Because of population shifts since 2000 that favor Republicans, Kerry could win every state taken by Gore in 2000 and would have just 260 electoral votes, 10 short of winning the presidency. Gore lost to Bush by five electoral votes, 271-266.
...and some around here are still predicting a Kerry landslide. 8o
he needs to start planning his lawsuits for recounts.....unfortunately, i believe this will be standard procedure now.
I hear it's more because of cash flow problems than of giving up in those states...Missouri is still close enough to fight for.
You gotta do what you gotta do.
Hey, you won't see me crying after the elections.
I'm ready for all you conservatives (and those libertarians who want to be conservatives) smack talk if Dubya wins.
I can take it. BRING IT ON!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Yeeeeeeeeaaaaaaaaahhhhhhhhhhhhh!!!!!!!
Both candidates have about the same money left. The kerry campaign team obviously figured that the Federal matching funds money that the candidates are now receiving, thus making further campaign contributions illegal, would have been better spent somewhere else.
Does that mean that they have given up on these 4 states? No.
They've given up on the states. Why? Again, because the Kerry campaign doesn't even believe the Zogby polls.
Were any of you listening to WOAI yesterday when the self-identified "Yellow Dog" Demoncrat called in and said she'd be voting for Bush because, "he got us into this mess and it's his responisibility to get us out."
Well, as the host said, "We'll take the vote."
Jeff Bolton is an idiot.
Jeff Bolton is quite a good talk radio host in my opinion, but Chris Duel is better.
Bolton is the low man on the totum-pole of Right-wing hate mongering.Jeff Bolton is an idiot.
Hate-mongering? Any examples?Bolton is the low man on the totum-pole of Right-wing hate mongering.
At least Chris Duel listens to both sides.
Bolton is clearly a right-wing conservative republican.
What about the "Yellow Dog" Demoncrat's comment?
I didn't intend to start a debate about this Bolten guy...who ing cares?
That does not make him an idiot or a hate-monger.Bolton is clearly a right-wing conservative republican.
It does if you're a Demoncrat.
That is just my opinion.
You can make him out to be what ever you want.
And I don't care about the "yellow dog" comment.
There are indeed many Democratic voters who do not like Bush but realize that a Kerry presidency would be a disaster.What about the "Yellow Dog" Demoncrat's comment?
Voting for W so he can clean up his mess in Iraq is like throwing dry kindling into a raging fire hoping it will smother the flames.
"In a way, I want to say, you know what, let's let Bush win this election, because he's never had to clean up one mess he ever made in his life. Let him clean up this mess. Because it's sort of unfair that he leaves another -- another mess, just like he did with the baseball team and oil company and everything else. And somebody else is going to come along and fix it for him." - Bill Maher
Whatever gets 'em to pull the lever for Bush.
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