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  1. #1
    Rising above the Fray spursncowboys's Avatar
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  2. #2
    Rising above the Fray spursncowboys's Avatar
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    The electoral map reveals how perilous is President Obama’s grip on the White House. Let’s start, as RealClearPolitics does, with a base of 170 electoral votes for Mitt Romney. It’s hard to imagine that Obama could win any of even the less-red states that comprise that batch (e.g. Georgia, Indiana, South Carolina, Montana). To get 100 more and seize the presidency, Romney only needs some states that routinely went Republican before the 2008 race (Nevada, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia) and needs to hold on to a few that Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) managed to win (Arizona, Missouri). This gets Romney to 273.

  3. #3
    Rising above the Fray spursncowboys's Avatar
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    Second, if you think of some of the issues that matter in these states (trade, Cuba policy, jobs) Romney is well positioned. Virginia (in part from government-related hiring in Northern Virginia) is the only one of the three with unemployment below 7 percent. Florida’s is over 9 percent. Romney need not rethink or restyle his agenda, nor (as liberals keep arguing) move “to the center.” He simply has to communicate over and over again why his middle-of-the-road Republican policies and his background in the private sector would be better for those states and the country.

  4. #4
    I don't really care... Yonivore's Avatar
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    I've heard one prediction he'll take 40 states.

    This is from a pundit that predicted Republicans would pick up 51 seats in Congress in 2010. They picked up 63.

    Meh, we'll see.

  5. #5
    Rising above the Fray spursncowboys's Avatar
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    She makes a good point. But She acts as if Virginia and Florida are gurantees.

  6. #6
    Real Warrior Warlord23's Avatar
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    Talk about optimism. So Romney's only path to 270+ is to win a string of states where he's trailing. If he loses any of these, he'll fall short. If this is a bright landscape for Romney, I don't know what a gloomy one will look like.

    Nevada
    Ohio
    Florida

    If Obama's lead holds up in these 3 states, he is at 280 even without looking at PA, VA, CO, NH, NC (and you can expect him to win at least 2 out of these 5). Romney would do well to keep Obama below 300 and not let this turn into a blowout, but that's about it.

  7. #7
    keep asking questions George Gervin's Afro's Avatar
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    Republican-lite..lol

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