More Bad News for GOP: Democrats Now Favored to Retain Senate

[Nbadan]

Democrats Now Favored to Retain Senate
September 18, 2012

Nate Silver's latest forecast has the odds of Democrats retining control of the U.S. Senate after November's election -- either by having at least 50 seats and the presidency, or 51 without it -- have increased in recent weeks to a 70% chance.

"The trend toward Democrats is a relatively recent one. Part of the shift may reflect the bounce President Obama received from the Democratic convention... But our analysis also suggests that the Democratic advantage has probably been building over the past few weeks, and may not have any one root cause. Instead, Republicans risk death by a thousand cuts, with a gradual deterioration in their standing in several important races, and their inability to field optimal candidates in others."

http://politicalwire.com/archives/20...in_senate.html

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes...opes-slipping/


Not only retain the Senate but unexpectedly wins four additional seats..

..maybe

[Clipper Nation]

GOP
Should have nominated Ron Paul
Irrelevant third party by 2016

[Wild Cobra]

GOP
Should have nominated Ron Paul
Irrelevant third party by 2016

I would have preferred Paul over Romney this time around, which is a change of preference from my 2008 stance. Still, and I have been thinking about it for a week or so now...

Unless I find a candidate to vote for that is republican or democrat, I am going to vote strait 3rd party this time. I am disgusted with both the democrats and republicans. That change of rules in the middle of the process is unforgivable.

Every republican candidate on my ballot, I am going to contact their office and let them know that instead of voting for the lesser of two evils like I normally do, which is almost always republican, that I am voting for someone else this year. I will explain that it is because of what they did at the convention. Let the roll up hill.

[cheguevara]

same , different white haired men.

[Nbadan]

Republicans no longer think they're going to retake the Senate, according to the latest National Journal Political Insiders Poll, "a stunning drop in optimism for a party that began 2012 confident it would regain control of the chamber."

Just 4% of GOP insiders rate their chances as "high," a free fall in confidence from February when 66% of Republicans were bullish they'd win the four seats necessary to take control.

http://politicalwire.com/archives/20..._takeover.html