A five-point lead with 28 seconds to go in Game 6 of the NBA Finals was not enough to clinch the Spurs' fifth championship. The peerless historians at ESPN Stats & Information inform us that, over the previous 15 seasons -- including the playoffs -- teams that held five-point leads with between 20 and 30 seconds left on the clock went a tidy 1,850-27.
That's a win probability, dating back basically for as long as Duncan has been in the league, of 98.6 percent.![]()

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