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  1. #1
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    The polls here tend to be a little all over the place.

    The projections are the blended average from the above mentioned sources.

    In Florida, Wisconsin and Colorado, the odds are from 62–95% that Clinton will take the states.

    In Georgia and Arizona, it’s 52–99% Trump.

    For Ohio, North Carolina, Iowa and Nevada, it’s a giant crapshoot.

    But that doesn’t matter.

    Clinton takes Florida, it’s over. She takes Ohio, it’s over.

    Wisconsin and North Carolina… really, anything that gets 16 electoral votes.

    Trump… he basically needs to take them all.

    That’s.

    Just.

    Not.

    Happening.

    It’s like landing 00 in Roulette twice in a row while getting eaten by a shark.

    And his luck at casinos wasn’t that good.


    This isn’t trying to get into the why. If you want the why, I strongly recommend Dante Chinni’s Politics Counts column in the Wall Street Journal. He’s been tracking demographic shifts in the United States for more than a decade and its impact on the electorate via the American Communities Project. Nor is this trying to get into the politics.

    No, this is just the straight math. And after spending countless hours looking at the polls, following the projections, there’s just no point in the suspense. It’s like watching a Bruckheimer flick: it might look super scary, but that asteroid just ain’t hitting the planet. Cue Aerosmith. Thanks Bruce.

    https://medium.com/@frisch/math-the-...088#.bdpshdtqp


    Last edited by boutons_deux; 10-11-2016 at 10:53 AM.

  2. #2
    bandwagoner fans suck ducks's Avatar
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    yeah the establish on both sides want it over and the media does but it is not over !

  3. #3
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    yeah the establish on both sides want it over and the media does but it is not over !
    It's over.

    It's how bad Trash loses, and

    how many Repug Senate and House seats he loses.

    The Repugs' white racist, xenophobic, white supremacist, bigoted, low-education, low-information, Christian Taliban, misogynist base, so cultivated by Repugs for 50 years, protests, revolts against the Repug establishment, and screws itself yet again.

    btw, the Repug establishment, OWNED by the 1%/corporatocracy, ain't gonna change AT ALL.

    Trash is nothing but ephemeral Repug disaster, then it will be back to Repug business-as-usual of strictly obstructing governance, of ing up govt at all levels.

  4. #4
    Still Hates Small Ball Spurminator's Avatar
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    yeah the establish on both sides want it over and the media does but it is not over !
    Yes, the media wants this to be over. Because they hate ratings.

  5. #5
    bandwagoner fans suck ducks's Avatar
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    THEY HAVE TOLD EMPLOYEES NOT TO ENDORSE TRUMP
    THEY COULD CARE LESS OF RATINGS THEY LIKE TO BE IN BED WITH CLINTON

  6. #6
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    THEY HAVE TOLD EMPLOYEES NOT TO ENDORSE TRUMP
    THEY COULD CARE LESS OF RATINGS THEY LIKE TO BE IN BED WITH CLINTON
    TV wants the race to be PERCEIVED as close, compe ive for bigger audiences, more ad revenue.

    The media has been complicit in promoting your boy Trash, for profit.

    It's America, money, profit, the SUPREME value, TRUMPS everything.

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