The northern Gulf is still relatively warm right now, but by the time this thing gets there 10 days from now... I don't think Wilma will be anything more than a rainmaker.
I REALLY hope you're right.
Wilma?
ES, hardly.
It won't be coming to Texas at all, but it will be a lot more than a rainmaker when it curves to the NE and hits Florida.
Manny, why Florida. I'm serious. And why more than a rainmaker. I would have thought the Gulf would be cooling off some since we have a few fronts come thru.
I know you follow these things so I'm not trying to be a smart butt, but would like to know your reasoning.
Current projections for Hurricane Wilma...
Once Wilma reaches 25 longitude I feel fairly certain she will strike Florida.
Although more difficult to predict at this time of year because of lower water temperatures and increased shearing, using the same method I used to predict landfall for Hurricane Rita within 100 miles, right now, I have Wilma striking land near Crystal River Florida, N-NW of Orlando if it follows it's current path. If it fails to reach 25 degress la ude it will go into NE Mexico.
Wind shear potential alone could drive Wilma in NE Mexico...
Wilma is now a Category 5
000
WTNT64 KNHC 190629
TCUAT4
HURRICANE WILMA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
230 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2005
DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT HURRICANE WILMA
HAS BECOME AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE MEASURED
175 MPH WINDS AND ESTIMATED A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 892 MB. THIS IS
THE LOWEST PRESSURE OBSERVED IN 2005 AND IS EQUIVALENT TO THE
MINIMUM PRESSURE OF THE 1935 LABOR DAY HURRICANE IN THE FLORIDA
Wilma's projected path:
5 of 7 weather models have shifted their predictions to the western Florida coast more than 24 hours after I predicted this is precisely where Wilma is headed...
Unfortunatley, Wilma looks to be another catastrophic hurricane
Hurricane season ain't over yet boys. Look what is directly behind Wilma
For point of reference:
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