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It's got a good curved banding structure and is organizing nicely, but I'd like to see more of a cold CDO before I started thinking hurricane. T#s are pretty low still.
Will be a hurricane in a few days and is in the Atlantic ocean with a destination unknown. If this were to come to Texas life in the coastal bend could change forever.
It's got a good curved banding structure and is organizing nicely, but I'd like to see more of a cold CDO before I started thinking hurricane. T#s are pretty low still.
Plenty of high octane SST fuel along the path of Irma.
Waters across the main development region of the Atlantic have warmed considerably since mid-August. Now trail only 2010 and 2005.
It's supposed to bend west-southwest into the Caribbean. Could be a potential low rider major (Yucatan/Mexico storm) like, say, Emily in 2005 or Dean in 2007.
ECMWF track takes it hard WSW into the central Caribbean with the chance to strike back to the northwest then, but GFS takes it out to sea... obviously rooting for the ECMWF solution.
Irma's eye isn't forecast to reach 60W until Wedneday morning. A prolific ACE producer. This will be a marathon to track. Though changes in the 5 day forecast are likely, communities in the Antilles should have no surprises with such a long lead-up to potential impact. The WSW 500mb steering flow grabs attention. Certainly does not hurt to sure up a plan and have one it in place just in case. Start minor preparations. It's been a number of years since a major hurricane impacted the Leewards.
East Coast
Pretty much certain to be another US major hit.
Category 5, 175 mph winds.
Crazy...and it looks like Haiti/Dominican Republic is going to get smacked around again.
Up to 180 mph. Going straight west.
Moving very slowly, almost stalled.
Irma is the strongest hurricane in our basin since Hurricane Wilma of 2005. Also stronger than both Katrina and Rita at peak intensity.
GFS has a direct hit on Miami going NNW. ECMFW (Euro) model has a hit on the SW coast of FL and going north from there. Others take her near Tampa.Moving very slowly, almost stalled.
Man congress is going to have a ed month. Increase the debt ceiling or crash the economy if the US defaults. Come up with a budget to stave off a government shutdown. Fund aid for the worst disaster to hit the nation since Katrina. Then fund aid for a Cat 5 hurricane about to rape Puerto Rico and probably Florida too.
No, no, no. Trump said it's build the wall and give him a tax cut and that's what is going to happen.
Obama wouldn't let these disasters happen!
Not as bad as Trump has been smacking you s around.Crazy...and it looks like Haiti/Dominican Republic is going to get smacked around again.
Lol Ahmed
Jeff Piotrowski is salivating. Is he crazy enough to do his livestream from the heart of the storm if it touches down as a Category 5?
Well he went into the eye of Andrew supposedly, so I imagine he'll do the same for Irma.
Irma is much stronger than Andrew.
High rates of rain and lightning in the eyewall now.
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/...=meso1-13-48-1
That is a perfect eye. I expect the NHC to upgrade Irma to at least 195mph winds with a pressure around ~905 with the next invest. I believe Irma will become the strongest hurricane ever in the Atlantic and could continue to strengthen afterward.
SSTs support 200mph sustained winds and there is absolutely no shear in the atmosphere to speak of. These are virtually the most ideal conditions possible for a Hurricane to achieve peak strength. The only limit now is how warm the water is.
that's basically a Category 7 if they were to keep incrementing the scale
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