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  1. #1
    non-essential Chris's Avatar
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    Voter turnout in a Texas Democratic gubernatorial runoff hasn’t been this low in nearly 100 years


    Democrat Lupe Valdez will face off against Republican Gov. Greg Abbott in the fall. Two in bents in the Texas House lost their runoffs. And Democrats had their worst runoff turnout in almost a century.





    A tiny fraction of Texas registered voters had an outsized impact on the May 22 runoffs. Here’s a look at what you need to know about Tuesday night’s election returns — and what they mean for the November general election:

    Democrat Lupe Valdez will take on Republican Gov. Greg Abbott in November.
    Lupe Valdez has made history. Some 14 years ago, the liberal, gay Latina set her sights on an unlikely goal: Dallas County sheriff. Now, she’ll take on an even bigger challenge — running against the popular in bent Republican governor.

    Valdez officially accepted her party’s nomination Tuesday night, narrowly defeating Andrew White with around 52 percent of the vote. But she faces an uphill battle against Abbott, who touts a high approval rating and a $41 million war chest in an ultraconservative state.

    Democratic voters made some history of their own. And it wasn't pretty.
    As of 11 p.m. Tuesday, just 415,000 Democrats had cast ballots in the gubernatorial runoff. For reference, that's a decline of almost 60 percent from the 1 million Texans who cast ballots in the March Democratic primary.

    That's the largest primary-to-runoff decline — and the smallest number of ballots cast — in the 14 Democratic gubernatorial primary runoffs held since 1920. That year, 449,000 Democrats voted, according to Texas Election Source's analysis of Texas State Historical Association data.

    Some high profile congressional candidates won big.
    Most GOP runoffs for congressional seats were held in Republican strongholds — meaning whoever came out on top became the favorite to win in November. Most Democratic congressional runoffs, meanwhile, were in districts the party has designs on in the fall.

    CD-7: Democrat Lizzie Pannill Fletcher will challenge U.S. Rep. John Culberson, R-Houston, in November. The runoff battle between Fletcher, an attorney, and Laura Moser, an activist and writer, made big headlines just before the March 6 primary when national Democrats backed Fletcher, but the noise quieted in the runoff stretch. Fletcher easily won the party’s nomination Tuesday night with almost 70 percent of the vote.
    CD-21: Republican Chip Roy will face Democrat Joseph Kopser in the race to replace retiring U.S. Rep. Lamar Smith, R-San Antonio. Roy, former chief of staff to U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, bested Matt McCall, a business owner; Kopser, a tech entrepreneur, defeated Mary Wilson, a minister and mathematician.
    CD-23: Gina Ortiz Jones will take on U.S. Rep. Will Hurd, R-Helotes, for what’s considered one of the most compe ive congressional seats in the country. Jones, a former Air Force intelligence officer, defeated Rick Treviño, a former high school teacher.
    In bents in the Texas House didn't survive their runoffs.
    State Rep. René Oliveira, a Brownsville Democrat, fell to a challenge from Cameron County Commissioner Alex Dominguez. The race for Democratic-leaning House District 37 garnered statewide attention last month with Oliveria’s DWI arrest. Dominguez won with roughly 57 percent of the vote Tuesday, ousting an in bent who represented the district from 1981 to 1987 and again beginning in 1991.

    Meanwhile, Republican state Rep. Scott Cosper of Killeen lost to veterinarian Brad Buckley. The runoff for House District 54 didn’t fit traditional Republican battle lines: Cosper had support from establishment groups, but Buckley didn’t visibly campaign to the right of him.

    Moderate candidates running for Texas House seats largely kept hard-line conservatives at bay.
    Steve Allison will likely fill the San Antonio House seat Speaker Joe Straus is vacating; he coasted by Matt Beebe by about 15 percentage points. Beebe, a small-business owner, had unsuccessfully challenged Straus twice before and had support from Empower Texans and Texas Right to Life, two far-right conservative groups. Allison, an attorney, was endorsed by Straus. A handful of other House races played out just like that Tuesday night, following a trend seen in the March 6 primaries.

    Cody Harris is likely to take over the seat that state Rep. Byron Cook, a Corsicana Republican and longtime Straus lieutenant, is vacating. Harris, a local real estate broker backed by Cook and other moderate Republicans, handily defeated Thomas McNutt for the Republican-leaning seat in House District 8. McNutt narrowly lost to Cook in the 2016 primary.
    Ben Leman is poised to replace former state Rep. Leighton Schubert, a Caldwell Republican, in the mostly rural House District 13. Leman, the former Grimes County judge, beat Bellville businesswoman Jill Wolfskill, a staunch conservative who said she’d join the ranks of the Texas House Freedom Caucus if elected.
    Keith Bell is set to represent House District 4 in East Texas. Bell, a more moderate candidate, defeated former state Rep. Stuart Spitzer, a Tea Party-aligned former surgeon.
    Reggie Smith is on track to succeed former state Rep. Larry Phillips, a Sherman Republican who vacated the seat in House District 62 earlier this year. Smith, former chairman of the Grayson County Republican Party, had support from Phillips and got 71 percent of the vote to Brent Lawson’s 28 percent.
    One exception to this rule was Deanna Maria Metzger, who beat Joe Ruzicka for the Republican nomination to take on state Rep. Victoria Neave, D-Dallas, in November. Metzger had support from those same hard-line conservative groups, while Ruzicka was backed by more centrist ones.

    Sheryl Cole came out on top in a hotly contested race to replace Dawnna Dukes.
    Democrat Sheryl Cole will likely replace outgoing state Rep. Dawnna Dukes, the Austin Democrat who lost her bid for re-election in March. Cole, the former Austin mayor pro tem, edged out Chito Vela, an attorney, by about 3 percentage points in the Democratic-leaning House District 46.

    Darla Cameron contributed to this report.

    Disclosure: Joseph Kopser has been a financial supporter of The Texas Tribune, a nonprofit, nonpartisan news organization that is funded in part by donations from members, foundations and corporate sponsors. Financial supporters play no role in the Tribune's journalism.

    https://www.texastribune.org/2018/05...sults-who-won/

  2. #2
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    who can blame them? Dems aren't very excited about their own party in the primaries.

    best the Dems can hope for it hatred of the other side and DJT will sweep them out of office when the election offers someone to hate.

  3. #3
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    it's a close bet. Dems are short of good ideas beyond hating the GOP and DJT.

  4. #4
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    In PA some DSA figures won primaries. Fringy freaks be poppin up on the left too.

  5. #5
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    Winehole seems shook.

  6. #6
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    not at all. I'm not doctrinaire, and the political realignment is dynamic.

    emergent phenomena starting to overtake established parties.

  7. #7
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    GOP can't get done without Dems; their own caucus is too unruly.

    Similar with the Dems: can't hold the line.

  8. #8
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    The GOP is the radical party: quickest to assimilate the fringe.

    The Dems are a little behind. They hope to be the party of the establishment.

  9. #9
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    Not even sure was a Texas Democrat looks like, tbh...

  10. #10
    Veteran LkrFan's Avatar
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    Voter turnout in a Texas Democratic gubernatorial runoff hasn’t been this low in nearly 100 years


    Democrat Lupe Valdez will face off against Republican Gov. Greg Abbott in the fall. Two in bents in the Texas House lost their runoffs. And Democrats had their worst runoff turnout in almost a century.


    Texas is a red state. WGAF? Anywho:




  11. #11
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Much to their detriment I would say, but who knows who wins this standoff between technocratic and populist authoritarianism?

    I certainly don't.

  12. #12
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Not even sure was a Texas Democrat looks like, tbh...
    Hard to say. No statewide officers since the mid 90s. 1994, I think.

  13. #13
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    hilarious fact: Rick Perry was Al Gore's state campaign chair in 1988.

  14. #14
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    Hard to say. No statewide officers since the mid 90s. 1994, I think.
    I only visit there like 15 days a year, tbh, definitely curious. I suspect they would look like Ted Cruz in blue states like NY...

  15. #15
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Texas Dems are more conservative than Dems elsewhere no in doubt. always been that way.

    Have you ever read "The Gay Place" by Billy Lee Brammer?

    It's sort of a political romance, Brammer was an LBJ staffer, until he wrote the politcal romance. It imagines LBJ as Texas governor, which he never was.

  16. #16
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Anyway, LBJ didn't like the book and fired him.

    In 1960 Brammer said all these Texas Democrats are Republicans and they don't know it yet.

    It took them til the mid 1980s, roughly, to figure it out.

  17. #17
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Memories of activist Republican government in Texas during the Reconstruction cast a long shadow.

    I believe some people are still sore about it.

  18. #18
    non-essential Chris's Avatar
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    it's a close bet. Dems are short of good ideas beyond hating the GOP and DJT.
    I wholeheartedly agree. Don't forget open borders and putting illegal aliens in office as well.

  19. #19
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    illegal aliens in office? who do you mean?

  20. #20
    non-essential Chris's Avatar
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    not at all. I'm not doctrinaire, and the political realignment is dynamic.

    emergent phenomena starting to overtake established parties.
    Sounds deep. Trump is the catalyst anyway you look at it.

  21. #21
    non-essential Chris's Avatar
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    illegal aliens in office? who do you mean?
    California

  22. #22
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    As for open borders, Trump will be challenged to exceed Obama's deportation totals. That's the previous high water mark.

    Obama was far from supine compared to the likes of Reagan and the Bushes.

  23. #23
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    o rly who?

  24. #24
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Sounds deep. Trump is the catalyst anyway you look at it.
    The catalyst for what? The quickening?

  25. #25
    non-essential Chris's Avatar
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    GOP can't get done without Dems; their own caucus is too unruly.

    Similar with the Dems: can't hold the line.
    I disagree. The GOP is going to get a lot done with or without the Dems.

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