Trump’s hate and lies are failing. Two new studies show why.
strategy of President Trump and Republicans is often depicted as mainly an effort to galvanize the GOP’s blue-collar white base through
fear-mongering about immigrants and
incitement of racial-cultural tensions around imagery of angry Democratic mobs and
protesting African American athletes.
Trump and Republicans want college-educated white voters, particularly suburban women, to ignore all that unpleasant racial and cultural demagoguery entirely — and focus only on the economy.
it is already discernible in Trump and Republican messaging that
the public has turned on the Trump-era GOP’s agenda— that is,
its peculiar fusion of xenophobic ethno-nationalism
with orthodox GOP regressive and
plutocratic economic priorities.
study looks at long-term economic trends in 70 of the most compe ive House districts, which are represented almost entirely by Republicans. It finds that most of them are relatively prosperous, which should buoy GOP in bents. But here’s the rub (emphasis added):
As a group, the 70 most compe ive districts have not seen their incomes grow more, or their unemployment rates drop faster, than the rest of the country since Mr. Trump took office. But they began the Trump era in better shape than the rest of the country.
In 2017, the median household income in a typical compe ive district was just over $66,000, according to the Census Bureau. For the typical noncompe ive district, it was just under $57,000.
, a number of these districts have more immigrants in them and/or are woven into the globalized economy.
As the study’s author notes, these are “dynamic places where
the status quo is working rather well,” and
where “globalization and immigration aren’t things to be feared.”
Democrats’ top opportunities to capture Republican-held seats are concentrated in well-educated, higher-income and preponderantly white districts.
Most of these seats are centered on economically thriving suburbs around major metropolitan areas where Trump faces widespread resistance among white-collar voters, especially women.
Republicans are mostly on defense in districts that are both
economically prosperous and
are filled with voters who are badly alienated by Trump.
Trumpism’s story is based on lies
the story Trump has told about the economy — and the country — just
isn’t resonating in many of these districts.
That narrative is that
immigration and globalization pose major threats to the well-being of Americans,
He has employed
endless lies and hate-mongering to hype the migrant “caravan” into a national emergency, and
will send in troops as props to dramatize the point.
Republicans are running
ads absurdly depicting immigrants as criminals and invaders alongside
many other ones that indulge in
naked race-baiting.
Trump is vowing an end to birthright citizenship,
confirming the ethno-nationalist underpinnings of Trumpism and
further fanning the xenophobic flames.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs...nl_most&wpmm=1
Note the policies and governance are nowhere to be found.