Bonzi's math

[prrao]

From http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/recap?gameId=260502024:
In fact, Game 5 winners in best-of-seven series that are tied at 2 have advanced 107 of 128 times in NBA history, a whopping 83.5 percent.

"We are just going to try and change those percentages," Wells said.

Bonzi, you don't have to try. Those percentages will change themselves anyway

[Phenomanul]

From http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/recap?gameId=260502024:
In fact, Game 5 winners in best-of-seven series that are tied at 2 have advanced 107 of 128 times in NBA history, a whopping 83.5 percent.

"We are just going to try and change those percentages," Wells said.

Bonzi, you don't have to try. Those percentages will change themselves anyway

looks like those percentages will increase...

[NoMoneyDown]

From http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/recap?gameId=260502024:
In fact, Game 5 winners in best-of-seven series that are tied at 2 have advanced 107 of 128 times in NBA history, a whopping 83.5 percent.

"We are just going to try and change those percentages," Wells said.

Bonzi, you don't have to try. Those percentages will change themselves anyway

Some other notable statistics regarding Game #6 and the Spurs ...

Since 2003, the Spurs are 4-1 in Game #6's in a best-of-7 series when the series was tied 2-2 and San Antonio won Game #5.

Since 2003, the Spurs are 3-0 in Game #6's on the road in a best-of-7 series when the series was tied 2-2 and San Antonio won Game #5.

[baseline bum]

From http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/recap?gameId=260502024:
In fact, Game 5 winners in best-of-seven series that are tied at 2 have advanced 107 of 128 times in NBA history, a whopping 83.5 percent.

"We are just going to try and change those percentages," Wells said.

Bonzi, you don't have to try. Those percentages will change themselves anyway

Of course game 5 winners win 84% of the time. On average the best team wins any given game, and now the other team has to win the next two or they're out. Say the worse team (the one that's down 3-2) has a 40% shot of winning a game against the team leading them (since they've won 40% of the games in the series so far). Assuming the games are independent, the probability the trailing team wins game 6 and game 7 is 0.4 * 0.4 = 0.16 = 16%, which means the team up 3-2 should win the series 84% of the time. There is absolutely nothing whopping about that stat.

[kskonn]

the other interesting stat that I saw on ESPN was that the spurs have won their last elimination games on the road. Lets make it 7-0

[Ed Helicopter Jones]

Of course game 5 winners win 84% of the time. On average the best team wins any given game, and now the other team has to win the next two or they're out. Say the worse team (the one that's down 3-2) has a 40% shot of winning a game against the team leading them (since they've won 40% of the games in the series so far). Assuming the games are independent, the probability the trailing team wins game 6 and game 7 is 0.4 * 0.4 = 0.16 = 16%, which means the team up 3-2 should win the series 84% of the time. There is absolutely nothing whopping about that stat.

Nice post, Base. You should teach math! Relate the whole thing to the NBA and you'd probably have a lot of interested kids in there.