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I honestly don't think home court advantage is going to mean anything in this series. The Spurs and Suns are great home teams and great road teams.
Given how great a road team the Spurs are and have been for years in the playoffs is it crucial that the Suns win both these home games to serve notice to the Spurs that they are ready to beat them finally.
I honestly don't think home court advantage is going to mean anything in this series. The Spurs and Suns are great home teams and great road teams.
i feel more confident in the spurs when they're on the road. i've also always felt that the spurs are always most vulnerable in the 1st game of a series... whether it be home or away. if the spurs steal game 1... the suns are in for a long (short really) series.
Spurs need at least one of these, so yes...I suppose that means that these first two are crucial for Phoenix.
If the Suns lose Game 1, you'd have to think that it'd damage their confidence pretty substantially. That's why the Spurs need to go out and get it.
Of course. The Spurs are a better road team than home, but that is in the first couple of games of a series.
suns lose the first 2 it is over
Spurs i feel will be ready to win games 3 and 4 at home. The Denver game 1 was a wake up call for them. They were surprised by how physical the Nuggets played them and they adjusted to it after that. Whatever major adjustments need to be made will probably come in the first 2 games of this series.
Spurs gotta win game one...
Spurs just need to win 1 game of the 2, it doesn't matter which one. Suns must do the same.
suns must win both games
I think the Spurs have their best chance at winning if they win one in phoenix. But Spurs fans should not fool themselves into thinking that if the spurs do get one of the first two, that winning the whole thing is guranteed.
All phoenix needs to do is win one of the games in SA....if they are 2 and 2 at the end of 4 games, they have home court advantage, and that is all they need.
If this series goes 7, it will be 50/50 for the spurs to win it. If the spurs are going to win, their best chance will be in 6, winning one at phoenix, both at home and then closing out at home.
Spurs just need to win this series
This isn't vs. Dallas where any team can win on any court any given night. San Antonio will be a of an out for Phoenix, and if they lose one of the first two, it's going to be near impossible. Not impossible, but it's going to be incredably hard.
I think for this Suns team, yes, they really need to take both games. Put the pressure on San Antonio to win four of five vs. them. That's going to be tough for the Spurs.
If the Suns win both games at home to start, they have better than 80% chance of winning the series. If they lose one of the first two games, itdrops to probably around 30-to-40%. If they lose both, they can kiss their season goodbye, they are losing in six.
Agreed, except I think even if they lose 1, they still have a 40-50% chance of winning. They have experience now.
I say they have 50% tops to win this series.
If they lose one of the first two games in Phoenix, they have to do their damnedest to steal one from San Antonio in the next two. They can't afford to go down 3-1 going back to Phoenix. It's not about experience, so much as probability, and I don't see the Suns having better than a 40% chance of winning this series if they lose one of their first two. They still can, it's just going to be an effer of a time.
As it stands, this series is near a coin flip. If the Spurs had homecourt advantage, I'd be booking my hotel in Oakland or Salt Lake City for Game 3 of that series.
But the Spurs don't have HCA and with a team as explosive and as talented as the Suns, they aren't going to be a pushover by any stretch of the imagination. If Phoenix gets hot, I don't think anyone can guard them ... especially when they get to warm up in the first two games of the series at home.
Spurs will split the first two and win two at home, lose at PHX and win again at home.
Spurs in 6.
It will take either 4 games of running and gunning against the best transition D that has really never let them do it before, or 4 games of being on a shooting tear, made more difficult since the Spurs should be challenging a lot of those shots and wearing down the Suns on both ends of the court. Getting that kind of shooting and execution for 4 games against a grinding type defense that really makes you work is extremely hard to do. Iverson, Anthony, and the rest of the Nuggets tore people up consistently throughout the season after their lineup solidified, but the grinding from game to game against the Spurs D wore them completely out by game 5.
Therefore, if:
1) Spurs play their tempo and offensive game complete with ball movement and decent shooting
2) Spurs play D at consistent level
Spurs win.
I agree, which is why they really need to win both in Phoenix to start the series to have a good shot at winning. I think they may be able to squeek out a win or two in a slowed style, but that's only relevant if they have that 2-0 lead.
It's going to be interesting. I don't think the Spurs can win playing a running game and allowing Amare to go completely nuts again as they did in '05, and I don't think Phoenix can win in a slowed down, grind out style. Tempo over the series will probably decide this one.
Then we disagree, but only slightly. I don't believe either can win consistantly playing the other's style, but I think eacch team is good enough to maybe steal a game or two playing at the other's pace.
Overall, we are very close to being in complete agreement.
What have most of you been smoking?
Spurs going to sweep these es.
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